Sen'i Kikai Gakkaishi (Journal of the Textile Machinery Society of Japan)
Online ISSN : 1880-1994
Print ISSN : 0371-0580
ISSN-L : 0371-0580
Optimization of Problems of Production and Inventory Control in the Textile Industry
Part 1 : Determination to Safety Allowance for Forecasted Demand
Hideo KuwadaAkira Horikawa
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1983 Volume 36 Issue 10 Pages T151-T157

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Abstract

The inventory has an important function which controls time and quantity between productions and sales. It is, however, liable for financial cost and also a prolonged stock tends to be the dead stock. It is, therefore, made an effort to minimize. But, if the stock is too small quantity, an opportunity loss will be suffered because of the shortage of it. It is always an important subject, from this point of view, to establish an.economic inventory which minimizes the total amount of inventory-earring cost and shortage loss. As a usual equation for the inventory control of purchasing, there is the ordering point K as follows : K= x + Ka σx, where.x is the average demand, and Ka and σx are the safety coefficient and the standard deviation of the monthly demand respectively. For convenience' sake, σx was simply applied from the standard devision of demand in the past. But in the actual production and sales management system, σx in the production planning of the next month should be necessarily equivalent to the forecasted demand D. However, the related function between.x and σx, has never been known. This paper intends to clarify the relation between.x and σx, and to improve the accuracy of safety allowance Ka· σx and the standard inventory K.These parameters are then applied to an actual production and inventory control system. As the following regression formula has been found to come into existence between x and σx, it may be made possible to estimateσx with accuracy.
σx=ax+b√x
where, a and b are the regression coefficients depending on the products. By putting the forecasted demand D of a unit period in x in order to obtain the σD the standard inventory KT may be then obtained as follows :
KT=TD+Ka√TσD.
As a result, the KT may be applicable to any production planning and inventory cotrol systems. This relation is found in any product group. It maybe, therefore, applied to any production and inventory control when the similar regression formula has been obtained.

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