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Article

A New Distribution for Modeling Data with Increasing Hazard Rate: A Case of COVID-19 Pandemic and Vinyl Chloride Data

by
Ahlam H. Tolba
1,*,
Chrisogonus K. Onyekwere
2,
Ahmed R. El-Saeed
3,
Najwan Alsadat
4,
Hanan Alohali
5 and
Okechukwu J. Obulezi
2,*
1
Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt
2
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Physical Sciences, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka 420110, Nigeria
3
Department of Basic Sciences, Obour High Institute for Management & Informatics, Al-Obour City 11848, Egypt
4
Department of Quantitative Analysis, College of Business Administration, King Saud University, P.O. Box 71115, Riyadh 11587, Saudi Arabia
5
Department of Mathematics, College of Science, King Saud University, P.O. Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2023, 15(17), 12782; https://doi.org/10.3390/su151712782
Submission received: 28 July 2023 / Revised: 14 August 2023 / Accepted: 15 August 2023 / Published: 23 August 2023

Abstract

:
A novel lifetime distribution has been defined and examined in this study. The odd Lindley–Pareto (OLiP) distribution is the name we give to the new distribution. The new density function can be written as an odd Lindley-G distribution with Pareto amplification. The moment-generating function and characteristic function, entropy and asymptotic behavior, order statistics and moments, mode, variance, skewness, and kurtosis are some of the aspects of the OLiP distribution that are discovered. Seven non-Bayesian estimation techniques and Bayesian estimation utilizing Markov chain Monte Carlo were compared for performance. Additionally, when the lifetime test is truncated after a predetermined period, single acceptance sampling plans (SASPs) are created for the newly suggested, OLiP distribution. The median lifetime of the OLiP distribution with pre-specified factors is taken as the truncation time. To guarantee that the specific life test is obtained at the defined risk to the user, the minimum sample size is required. For a particular consumer’s risk, the OLiP distribution’s parameters, and the truncation time, numerical results are obtained. The new distribution is illustrated using mortality rates of COVID-19 patients in Canada and vinyl chloride data in (g/L) from ground-water monitoring wells that are located in clean-up-gradient areas.

1. Introduction

Due to their flexibility and stability in use, new distributions created from newly developing families of distributions and other probability distribution generators have drawn a lot of interest in the literature. Accordingly, John, Kotz, and Balakrishnan [1,2] provide a thorough analysis of hundreds of continuous univariate distributions. According to Gomes-Silva et al. [3], recent research has instead concentrated on the definition of new families of distributions that expand well-known distributions while also offering a great deal of modeling flexibility for lifetime data. The work of Taketomi et al. [4] provides a thorough analysis of parametric distributions for lifetime models.
Furthermore, Shakil and Kibria [5] and Shakil et al. [6] have developed a family of lifetime distributions based on a generalized Pearson differential equation. The Lindley distribution was originally proposed by Lindley [7] as a counter-example of fiducial statistics. Ghitany, Atieh, and Nadarajah [8] showed through a numerical example that the hazard function of the Lindley distribution does not exhibit a constant hazard rate, indicating its improved flexibility over the exponential distribution. The Lindley distribution has recently received considerable attention as an appropriate model to analyze lifetime data, for instance, in Zakerzadeh and Dolati [9], Mazucheli and Achcar [10], Gupta and Singh [11], Warahena-Liyanage and Pararai [12], Onyekwere and Obulezi [13], and very recently Anabike et al. [14], Shakil et al. [15], among others. An expanded generalized cosine family of distributions was investigated for use in dependability modeling and modeling the COVID-19 mortality rate with a new flexible modification of the log-logistic distribution by Muse et al. [16]. Several other authors including Sankaran [17], Nadarajah et al. [18], and Asgharzedah, Bakouch, and Esmaeli [19] developed some structural properties of various generalized Lindley distributions. Furthermore, Ramadan et al. [20] discussed the generalized alpha power Akshaya distribution and some statistical inferences for the unknown parameters. An acceptance sample plan is used when testing is damaging, 100% examination would be highly expensive, or 100% examination would take too long, according to Lu et al. [21]. Gui and Zhang [22] argued that it is typical to end a lifetime test by the predetermined period in order to save money and time because the predicted lifetime of a product is relatively high and it may take a long time to wait until all the items fail. Another argument is that the goal of these tests is to determine a given mean life, t 0 , with a probability of at least P , which is the amount of trust the consumer has in it. Al-Omari [23] stated that the procedure begins with collecting the smallest sample size required to highlight a particular average life when the life test is terminated after a predetermined period; hence, such tests are known as truncated lifetime tests.
The primary objective of this article is to present the odd Lindley–Pareto distribution, a novel lifetime distribution, and some of its characteristics. We will also develop a single acceptance sampling strategy using the new distribution, specify its operating characteristic function, and provide the important decision rule. Usually, modification of existing distributions yields new distributions that have a better goodness of fit with respect to some scenarios. However, the superiority in performance of modified distributions has some trade-offs in usage. Hence, the lifetime distribution proposed in this article has the potential of modeling data strictly with increasing hazard rates. In addition, the advantages of deploying the single acceptance sampling plans include being economical and easy to understand, the comparatively small computation work involved, and that scheduling and delivery times are improved due to the quick inspection process. The distribution is capable of being used in survival analysis of patients suffering from common diseases such as COVID-19, chickenpox, tuberculosis, etc., and can also be used to model the volatility of organic molecules which are relevant to environmental studies, such as vinyl chloride, but we cannot guarantee its applicability in situations where the hazard function is either a bathtub or reversed bathtub shape. Essentially, a major motivation for this study is to demonstrate that the proposed distribution has the potential to model the COVID-19 data just as Yiu et al. [24] and Lü et al. [25] demonstrated. In terms of application, the scope of this study is non-censored data, and a simulation study is also involved.
The following is the order of this article. We introduce the odd Lindley–Pareto (OLiP) distribution in Section 2. The statistical properties of the OLiP distribution are described in Section 3. The non-Bayesian parameter estimation of the OLiP distribution is covered in Section 4. The Bayesian estimation of the OLiP distribution’s parameters is shown in Section 5. Section 6 investigates the single acceptance sampling strategies. Numerical computations and real data analysis are analyzed in Section 7. The conclusions are provided in Section 8.

2. The New Distribution

Let X be a random variable with the cumulative distribution function (cdf) F ( x , λ , θ ) , and probability density function (pdf) f ( x , λ , θ ) , from the odd Lindley-G family of distributions. Gomes-Silva et al. [3] defined the cdf and pdf of the odd Lindley-G family of distributions as
F ( x ; λ , ϑ ) = 1 λ + G ¯ ( x ; ϑ ) ( 1 + λ ) G ¯ ( x ; ϑ ) e λ G ( x ; ϑ ) G ¯ ( x ; ϑ ) , x 0 .
f ( x ; λ , ϑ ) = λ 2 g ( x ; ϑ ) ( 1 + λ ) G ¯ ( x ; ϑ ) 3 e λ G ( x ; ϑ ) G ¯ ( x ; ϑ ) , x 0 .
G ( x ) and g ( x ) , respectively, denote the cdf and pdf of the Pareto distribution and are due to Vilfredo [26]:
g ( x ) = k θ k x k + 1 , x θ , k > 0
G ( x ) = 1 x θ k .
Noting that G ¯ ( . ) = 1 G ( . ) , the pdf of the OLiP distribution is obtained by substituting (3) and (4) into (2). Simplifying, we obtain
f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 , x θ , θ , λ , k > 0 , θ 0
By applying a little algebra to (5), we obtain the cdf of the OLiP distribution. Thus,
F O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = 1 λ x θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ x θ k 1
To show that (5) is a proper pdf, recall that
θ f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) d x = 1 .
Proof. 
θ f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) d x = θ λ 2 1 + λ ( k x ) x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 d x , = λ 2 k e λ ( 1 + λ ) θ 2 k θ x 2 k 1 e λ x θ k d x , L e t   u = λ x θ k x = θ u λ k ; d x = θ k λ k u 1 k 1 d u θ f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) d x = e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ u e u d u . N o t e   t h a t   f o r   u p p e r   i n c o m p l e t e   G a m m a   f u n c t i o n z x α 1 e x d x = Γ ( α , z ) θ f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) d x = e λ ( 1 + λ ) Γ ( 2 , λ ) = e λ Γ ( 2 , λ ) ( 1 + λ ) Γ ( n , z ) = Γ ( n ) e z m = 0 n 1 z m m ! Γ ( 2 , λ ) = Γ ( 2 ) e λ m = 0 n 1 λ m m ! = ( 1 + λ ) e λ θ f O L i P ( x ; λ , θ , k ) d x = e λ ( 1 + λ ) ( 1 + λ ) e λ = 1
The following methods are used to determine the OLiP distribution’s reliability and hazard rate functions:
R ( x ) = 1 F ( x ) = λ x θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ x θ k 1 ,
and
h ( x ) = f ( x ) R ( x ) = λ 2 k x x θ k 1 + θ x k .
Figure 1 and Figure 2 illustrate, respectively, the pdf and cdf of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters. For varying values of λ , k, and θ , Figure 3 and Figure 4 show the shapes of the plots of h ( x ) and S ( x ) , respectively. Furthermore, Figure 3 shows that the OLiP distribution has an increasing hazard rate function.

3. Statistical Properties of OLiP Distribution

We go through a few of the important statistical properties of the OLiP distribution in this section.

3.1. The OLiP Distribution’s Moment

The r t h moment of the OLiP distribution is given by
μ r = E ( X r ) = θ x r λ 2 1 + λ k x ( x θ ) 2 k e λ x θ k 1 d x = θ r e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ r k Γ ( r + 2 k k , θ ) , r = 1 , 2 , 3 ,
We obtain the first four moments of the OLiP distribution for r = 1, 2, 3, and 4. As a result, we have
μ 1 = θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) ,
μ 2 = θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) ,
μ 3 = θ 3 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 3 k Γ ( 3 + 2 k k , θ ) ,
and
μ 4 = θ 4 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 4 k Γ ( 4 + 2 k k , θ ) .
The mode of the OLiP distribution can be obtained by taking the first derivative of (5) and solving the nonlinear equation. Thus,
X m o d e = θ 2 k 1 λ k 1 k .
Using (11) and (12), and employing the relationship between moments about zero and central moments, we obtain the variance of (5) as follows
σ 2 = μ 2 ( μ 1 ) 2 = θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 2 .

3.2. Skewness and Kurtosis Coefficients for the OLiP Distribution

We will calculate the coefficient of skewness and kurtosis below in order to determine the degree of asymmetry and peakedness of the OLiP distribution. The following methods are used to determine the OLiP distribution’s coefficient of skewness:
β 1 = μ 3 3 μ 1 μ 2 + 2 ( μ 1 ) 2 σ 3 2 = θ 3 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 3 k Γ ( 3 + 2 k k , θ ) 3 θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) + 2 θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 2 θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 2 3 2 .
Similarly, the OLiP distribution’s coefficient of kurtosis is calculated as follows;
β 3 = μ 4 4 μ 1 μ 3 + 6 ( μ 1 ) 2 μ 2 4 ( μ 1 ) 4 σ 4 = θ 4 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 4 k Γ ( 4 + 2 k k , θ ) 4 θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) θ 3 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 3 k Γ ( 3 + 2 k k , θ ) + 6 θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 2 θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) 4 θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 4 θ 2 e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 2 k Γ ( 2 + 2 k k , θ ) θ e λ ( 1 + λ ) λ 1 k Γ ( 1 + 2 k k , θ ) 2 2 .

3.3. The OLiP Distribution’s Moment-Generating and Characteristic Functions

The moment-generating function M X ( t ) of the OLiP distribution is obtained as follows
M X ( t ) = E ( e t x ) = θ e t x f ( x ) d x = θ e t x λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 d x = λ 2 k e λ ( 1 + λ ) θ 2 k n = 0 t n n ! λ x n + 2 k 1 e λ x θ k 1 d x = e λ ( 1 + λ ) n = 0 ( θ t ) n n ! λ n k Γ n k + 2 , θ .
The characteristic function of the OLiP distribution has also been discovered in a similar manner. As a result, we obtain
ϕ x ( i t ) = e λ ( 1 + λ ) n = 0 ( θ i t ) n n ! λ n k Γ n k + 2 , θ .

3.4. Order Statistics of the OLiP Distribution

Let X 1 , X 2 , , X n denote a random sample of size n from the OLiP distribution with parameters λ , θ , k and X r . ( r = 1 , 2 , , n ) are the r t h -order statistics obtained by arranging X r in ascending order, then the pdf of the r t h -order statistics is obtained as follows:
f r : n ( x ) = n ! ( r 1 ) ! ( n r ) ! f O L i P ( x ) [ F O L i P ( x ) ] r 1 [ 1 F O L i P ( x ) ] n r ,
where f O L i P ( x ) and F O L i P ( x ) are, respectively, the pdf and cdf of the OLiP distribution given in (5) and (6). Using the binomial series expansion of [ 1 F O L i P ( x ) ] n r in (21), we obtain
f r : n ( x ) = t = 0 n r n ! ( 1 ) t ( r 1 ) ! ( n r + t ) ! f O L i P ( x ) [ F O L i P ( x ) ] r + t 1 .
Therefore, the pdf of the r t h -order statistics for the OLiP distribution is given by
f r : n ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = t = 0 n r n ! ( 1 ) t ( r 1 ) ! ( n r + t ) ! λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 1 λ x θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ x θ k 1 r + t 1 .
The pdf of the largest-order statistics of the OLiP distribution is obtained by substituting n for r in (23)
f n : n ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = n ! ( 1 ) t ( n 1 ) ! t ! λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 1 λ x θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ x θ k 1 n + t 1 .
While the pdf of the smallest-order statistics of the OLiP distribution is obtained by substituting 1 for r in (23)
f 1 : n ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = n ! ( 1 ) t ( n + t 1 ) ! λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 1 λ x θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ x θ k 1 t .

3.5. Entropy and Asymptotic Behavior of the OLiP Distribution

Entropy is a measure of how much uncertainty or randomness there is in a system. It belongs to the class of non-negative ω 1 information measures. For the OLiP distributed random variable X, the Rényi entropy is
R ω ( x ) = lim n ( I ω ( f n ) log n ) = 1 1 ω log θ f ω ( x ) d x ,
where f ( x ) is the pdf of the OLiP distribution in (5). Therefore,
R ω ( x ) = λ k θ ω 1 e λ ω ω 2 ω k ω + 1 k Γ 2 ω k ω + 1 k , θ ( 1 ω ) ( 1 + λ ) ω .
By taking the limit of the pdf in (5) as x and as x 0 , the asymptotic behavior of the OLiP distributed random variable is examined.
lim x f ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = lim n λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 = 0 .
Additionally, it is simple to see that
lim x 0 f ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = lim x 0 λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 = 0 .
The OLiP distribution’s unimodality is thus justified (29).

3.6. Stochastic Ordering of OLiP Distribution

An important tool for evaluating the behavior of system components is the stochastic ordering of a non-negative continuous random variable. It is stated that a random variable X is smaller than a random variable Y in the following equation:
(i)
Stochastic order ( X s t Y ) if F X ( x ) F Y ( x ) x .
(ii)
Hazard rate order ( X h r Y ) if h X ( x ) h Y ( x ) x .
(iii)
Mean residual life order ( X m r l Y ) if m X ( x ) m Y ( x ) x .
(iv)
Likelihood ratio order ( X l r Y ) if f X ( x ) F Y ( x ) decreases in x.
This implies that
X l r Y X h r Y X s t Y X m r l Y .
Here, we establish the theorem below, which states that the OLiP distribution is ordered in accordance with the strongest “likelihood ratio”.
Theorem 1.
Let X O L i P ( λ 1 , k 1 , θ 1 ) and Y O L i P ( λ 2 , k 2 , θ 2 ) . If any of λ 1 > λ 2 , k 1 > k 2 , or θ 1 > θ 2 , then X l r Y , hence X h r Y , X m r l Y , and X s t Y .
Proof. 
f X ( x ) f Y ( x ) = λ 1 λ 2 2 1 + λ 2 1 + λ 1 k 1 θ 2 k 2 θ 1 x 2 ( k 1 k 2 ) e λ 1 x θ 1 k 1 + λ 2 x θ 2 k 2 + λ 1 λ 2 . Taking natural log of the ratio will yield ln f X ( x ) f Y ( x ) = 2 ln λ 1 λ 2 + ln 1 + λ 2 1 + λ 1 + ln k 1 θ 2 k 2 θ 1 + 2 ( k 1 k 2 ) ln x + 2 ( k 1 k 2 ) ln θ 2 θ 1 λ 1 x θ 1 k 1 + λ 2 x θ 2 k 2 + ( λ 1 λ 2 ) . Differentiating the natural log of the ratio   w r t   x   will yield d d x ln f X ( x ) f Y ( x ) = 2 ( k 1 k 2 ) x λ 1 k 1 θ 1 k 1 x k 1 1 + λ 2 k 2 θ 2 k 2 x k 2 1 If   k 2 > k 1 , d d x ln f X ( x ) f Y ( x ) < 0 ,   and   f X ( x ; λ 1 , k 1 , θ 1 ) f Y ( x ; λ 2 , k 2 , θ 2 )   is decreaasing in   x . That is , X l r Y   and   hence ,   X h r Y , X m r l Y   and   X s t Y .
□.

4. Non-Bayesian Estimation of OLiP Distribution Parameters

Different approaches to parameter estimates will be discussed in this section. For a similar study refer to [27]. Numerical computation using the R program and the optim() function will be used in this section.

4.1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)

Let x 1 , x 2 , , x n be n random samples drawn from the OLiP distribution, then the likelihood function, as studied extensively by [28], is given as
( ϕ ) = i = 1 n f ( x ; λ , θ , k ) = i = 1 n λ 2 1 + λ k x x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 = λ 2 k ( 1 + λ ) n θ 2 n k n i = 1 n x 2 k 1 e λ x θ k 1 .
Taking the natural logarithm of (30) yields
ln ( ϕ ) = ln λ 2 n k n ( 1 + λ ) n θ 2 n k λ i = 1 n x θ k + n λ + i = 1 n ln x 2 k 1 = 2 n ln λ + n ln k n ln ( 1 + λ ) 2 n k ln θ λ i = 1 n x θ k + n λ + ( 2 k 1 ) i = 1 n ln x i .
We consider the estimated value of θ to be equal to the minimum value of the random variable X in case the maximum likelihood approach for estimation is used in this lifetime OLiP distribution, where there is a relation between the random variable X and the parameter θ ( x > θ ) . Additionally, we estimate the other two parameters, k and λ , using the projected value of θ as the minimum value of X. Equations (32) and (33) are produced by differentiating (31) with respect to λ and k and equating the results to zero.
2 n λ ^ n 1 + λ = x θ k n ,
n k λ i = 1 n x θ k ln x θ = 2 ( n ln θ + ln x ) .
Since there is no closed-form solution for Equations (32) and (33), estimations of λ and k are determined iteratively using the Newton–Raphson method (Albert [29] and Gelman [30]).

4.2. Maximum Product Space Estimators (MPSE)

The maximum product spacing method, which approaches the Kullback–Leibler information measure, is an acceptable substitute for the highest likelihood strategy. Assume for a moment that the data are now arranged in ascending order. Following that, the OLiP’s maximum product spacing is provided as follows.
G s ( λ , k , θ | d a t a ) = i = 1 n + 1 D l ( x i , λ , k , θ ) 1 n + 1 ,
where D l ( x i , λ , k , θ ) = F ( x i ; λ , k , θ ) F ( x i 1 ; λ , k , θ ) , i = 1 , 2 , 3 , , n
In a similar manner, one may decide to increase the function.
H ( λ , k , θ ) = 1 n + 1 i = 1 n + 1 ln D i ( λ , k , θ ) .
The parameter estimates are determined by calculating the first derivative of the function H ( ϑ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ , and solving the resulting nonlinear equations at H ( ϕ ) λ = 0, H ( ϕ ) k = 0, and H ( ϕ ) θ = 0, where ϕ = ( λ , k , θ ) ,

4.3. Least Squares Estimation (LSE)

Swain et al. [31] suggested using the least squares estimation to estimate the Beta distribution’s parameters. Using the inferences from the study of Swain et al. [31], we write
E [ F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) ] = i n + 1 .
V [ F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) ] = i ( n i + 1 ) ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) .
The least squares estimates λ ^ L S E , k ^ L S E , and θ ^ L S E of the parameters λ , k, and θ are obtained by minimizing the function L ( λ , k , θ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ :
L ( λ , k , θ ) = arg min ( λ , k , θ ) i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 2 .
The estimates are obtained by solving the following nonlinear equations:
i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 2 Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 2 Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 2 Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 ,
where
Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = e λ x θ k 1 λ x θ k + 1 x θ k x θ k ( 1 + λ ) 2 , Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = λ 2 x θ 2 k ln x θ 1 + λ e λ x θ k 1 , Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = k θ λ 2 1 + λ x θ 2 k e λ x θ k 1 .

4.4. Weighted Least Squares Estimation (WLSE)

The weighted least squares estimates λ ^ W L S E , k ^ W L S E , and θ ^ W L S E of the OLiP distribution parameters λ , k, and θ are obtained by minimizing the function W ( λ , k , θ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ :
W ( λ , k , θ ) = arg min ( λ , k , θ ) i = 1 n ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) i ( n i + 1 ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 2 .
Solving the following nonlinear equations yields the estimates
i = 1 n ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) i ( n i + 1 ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 , i = 1 n ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) i ( n i + 1 ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 , i = 1 n ( n + 1 ) 2 ( n + 2 ) i ( n i + 1 ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) i n + 1 Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 ,
where Δ 1 ( x . | λ , k , θ ) , Δ 2 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , and Δ 3 ( . | λ , k , θ ) are as defined in (38).

4.5. Cramér–von Mises Estimation (CVME)

The Cramér–von Mises estimates λ ^ C V M E , k ^ C V M E , and θ ^ C V M E of the OLiP distribution parameters λ , k, and θ are obtained by minimizing the function C ( λ , k , θ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ
C ( λ , k , θ ) = arg min ( λ , k , θ ) 1 12 n + i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) 2 i 1 2 n 2 .
The estimates are obtained by solving the following nonlinear equations:
i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) 2 i 1 2 n Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) 2 i 1 2 n Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) 2 i 1 2 n Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 .
where Δ 1 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , Δ 2 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , and Δ 3 ( . | λ , k , θ ) are as defined in (38).

4.6. Anderson–Darling Estimation (ADE)

The Anderson–Darling estimates λ ^ A D E , k ^ A D E , and θ ^ A D E of the OLiP distribution parameters λ , k, and θ are obtained by minimizing the function A ( λ , k , θ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ
A ( λ , k , θ ) = arg min ( λ , k , θ ) i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) ln F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) + ln 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) .
The estimates are obtained by solving the following sets of nonlinear equations:
i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) Δ 1 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) Δ 2 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) Δ 3 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 ,
where Δ 1 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , Δ 2 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , and Δ 3 ( . | λ , k , θ ) are as defined in (38).

4.7. Right-Tailed Anderson–Darling Estimation (RTADE)

The right-tailed Anderson–Darling estimates λ ^ R T A D E , k ^ R T A D E , and θ ^ R T A D E of the OLiP distribution parameters λ , k, and θ are obtained by minimizing the function R ( λ , k , θ ) with respect to λ , k, and θ
R ( λ , k , θ ) = arg min ( λ , k , θ ) n 2 2 i = 1 n F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) ln 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) .
The following set of nonlinear equations can be solved to obtain the estimates:
2 i = 1 n Δ 1 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) + 1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 1 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 2 i = 1 n Δ 2 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) + 1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 2 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 , 2 i = 1 n Δ 3 ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) F ( x i : n | λ , k , θ ) + 1 n i = 1 n ( 2 i 1 ) Δ 3 ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) 1 F ( x n + 1 i : n | λ , k , θ ) = 0 ,
where Δ 1 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , Δ 2 ( . | λ , k , θ ) , and Δ 3 ( x . | λ , k , θ ) are as defined in (38). The estimates given in (33), (9), (37), (40), (42), (44), and (46) are obtained using the optim() function in R with the Newton–Raphson iterative algorithm.

5. Bayesian Estimation of OLiP Distribution Parameters

This section deals with the Bayesian estimate (BE) of the unknown parameters of the OLiP distribution. For Bayesian parameter estimation, many loss functions, including squared error, LINEX, and generalized entropy loss functions, can be taken into consideration by Albert [29] and Mood [32]. We can consider applying independent gamma priors for the variables λ , k , and θ with pdfs in the parameter prior distributions of OLiP.
π 1 ( λ ) λ s 1 1 e q 1 λ λ > 0 , s 1 > 0 , q 1 > 0 , π 2 ( k ) k s 2 1 e q 2 k k > 0 , s 2 > 0 , q 2 > 0 , π 3 ( θ ) θ s 3 1 e q 3 θ θ > 0 , s 3 > 0 , q 3 > 0 ,
where the hyper-parameters s j , q j , j = 1 , 2 , 3 are selected to reflect the prior knowledge about the unknown parameters. The joint prior for ϕ = ( λ , k , θ ) is given by
π ( ϕ ) = π 1 ( λ ) π 2 ( k ) π 3 ( θ ) π ( ϕ ) λ s 1 1 k s 2 1 θ s 3 1 e q 1 λ q 2 k q 3 θ .
The corresponding posterior density given the observed data x = x 1 , x 2 , , x n is given by:
π ( ϕ x ) = π ( ϕ ) ( ϕ ) ϕ π ( ϕ ) ( ϕ ) d ϕ ,
Consequently, the posterior density function is denoted by:
π ( ϕ x ) λ 2 n + s 1 1 k n + s 2 1 ( 1 + λ ) n θ 2 n k s 3 + 1 e q 1 λ q 3 k q 3 θ i = 1 n x 2 k 1 e λ x θ k 1 .
Given any function, such as l ( ϕ ) under the squared error loss (SEL) function, the Bayes estimator is given by
ϕ ^ B E S E L = E l ( ϕ ) | x = ϕ l ( ϕ ) π ( ϕ | x ) d ϕ .
The SEL impacts underestimation and overestimation equally because it has an asymmetric loss function. In many actual situations, both underestimation and overestimation can have serious implications. A proposed LINEX loss can be made in certain instances as an alternative to the SE loss given by
l ( ϕ ) , l ^ ( ϕ ) = e l ^ ( ϕ ) l ( ϕ ) v l ^ ( ϕ ) l ( ϕ ) 1 .
where v 0 is a shape parameter. Here, v > 1 suggests that an overestimation is more serious than an underestimation, and vice versa for v < 0 . Further, v approaching zero replicates the SE loss function itself. One may refer to Varian [33] and Doostparast et al. [34] for more details in this regard. The BE of l ( ϕ ) under this loss can be derived as
ϕ ^ B E L I N E X = E e v l ( ϕ ) | x = 1 v log [ ϕ e v l ( ϕ ) π ( ϕ | x ) d ϕ ] .
Additionally, we take into account the general entropy loss (GEL) function suggested by Calabria and Pulcini [35], which is defined as follows:
l ( ϕ ) , l ^ ( ϕ ) = l ^ ( ϕ ) l ( ϕ ) τ τ log l ^ ( ϕ ) l ( ϕ ) 1 ,
where the shape parameter τ 0 denotes a departure from symmetry. It views overestimation as more significant than underestimation when τ > 0 and the opposite is true when τ < 0 . Given below is the Bayes estimator with regard to the GE loss function.
ϕ ^ B E G E L = E l ( ϕ ) τ | x 1 / τ = ϕ l ( ϕ ) τ π ( ϕ | x ) d ϕ 1 / τ .
The estimations produced by (50), (51), and (52) can be seen to not be able to be transformed into closed-form expressions. We then use the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to generate posterior samples and arrive at suitable BEs. A general simulation technique for computing posterior quantities of interest and sampling from posterior distributions is the MCMC technique (read Ravenzwaaij et al. [36] and Albert [29] for further details on MCMC). In fact, using a kernel estimate of the posterior distribution and the MCMC samples, it is possible to properly quantify the posterior uncertainty with regard to the parameter ϕ .
Finally, part of the initial samples can be eliminated (burn-in) from the random samples of size M derived from the posterior density, and the remaining samples can then be used to calculate Bayes estimates. Using MCMC under the SEL, LINEX, and GEL functions, the BEs of ϕ ( i ) = λ ( i ) , k ( i ) , θ ( i ) can be calculated as follows:
ϕ ^ B E S E L = 1 M l B i = l B M ϕ ( i ) ,
ϕ ^ B E L I N E X = 1 v log 1 M l B i = l B M e v ϕ ( i ) ,
ϕ ^ B E G E L = 1 M l B i = l B M ϕ ( i ) τ 1 / τ ,
where l B represents the number of burn-in samples.

6. Single Acceptance Sampling Plans

Assume that a product’s lifetime is based on the OLiP distribution, which has the parameters ( λ , k , θ ) stated in Equation (6), and that the producer’s claimed industry standard for the lifetime of units is represented by M 0 . The main goal is to determine if the proposed lot should be accepted or rejected based on the fact that the actual median life cycle of the units, m, is longer than the recommended lifetime, M 0 . It is important to remember that it is standard procedure in lifetime testing to end the test by the time indicated by T 0 and count the number of failures.
Singh et al. [37] provided us with some guidelines on how to accept the proposed lot based on the evidence that M M 0 , given a probability of at least α (consumer’s risk), using a single acceptance sampling plan. The experiment is run for T 0 = M 0 units of time, a multiple of the claimed median lifetime with any positive constant a. These are the actions:
(1)
Take n units at random from the proposed lot as a sample.
(2)
Run the following test for T 0 units of time.
Accept the entire lot if c or fewer units (the acceptance number) fail throughout the experiment; else, reject the entire lot.
Be aware that the proposed sampling plan is given by the equation below and that the chance of accepting a lot considers suitably large lots to help with the application of the binomial distribution.
L ( p ) = i = 0 c n i p i ( 1 p ) n i , i = 1 , 2 , , n ,
where p is defined as p = F O L i P T 0 ; λ , k , θ , according to Equation (6). The sampling plan’s operating characteristic function, or the acceptance probability of the lot as a function of the failure probability, is represented by the function L ( p ) . Using T 0 = a M 0 , further, p 0 can be written as follows:
p 0 = F O L i P ( T 0 = a M 0 ; λ , k , θ ) = 1 λ T 0 θ k + 1 ( 1 + λ ) e λ T 0 θ k 1 .
Now, the problem is to determine for given values of α 0 < α < 1 , k M 0 , and c, the smallest positive integer n such that
L p 0 = i = 0 c n i p 0 i 1 p 0 n i 1 α ,
where p 0 is given by Equation (57). The minimum values of n satisfying the inequality (58) and its corresponding operating characteristic probability are determined and shown in Table 1, Table 2, Table 3 and Table 4 for the following assumed parameters:
  • The consumer’s risk α is given as 0.30 , 0.60 , and 0.95 .
  • The acceptance number c is given as 0 , 2 , 4 , 8 , and 10.
  • The constant a is assumed to be 0.10 , 0.25 , 0.50 , and 0.75 . If a = 1 , thus T 0 is the median life time M 0 = 0.5 ( λ , k , θ ).
  • The parameters ( λ , k , θ ) of the OLiP distribution are assumed as:
    λ = ( 0.15 , 0.25 , 0.30 , 0.50 ) & k = ( 0.20 , 0.30 , 0.40 , 0.50 ) & θ = 0.5 .
From the results obtained in Table 1, Table 2 and Table 3, we notice that:
  • With increasing α and c, the required sample size n increases and L ( p 0 ) decreases.
  • With increasing a, the required sample size n decreases and L ( p 0 ) increases.
  • With increasing λ and fixed k, the required sample size n increases and L ( p 0 ) decreases.
  • With increasing k and fixed λ , the required sample size n increases and L ( p 0 ) decreases.
Finally, for all results we have obtained, we checked that L p 0 1 α . Moreover, when a = 1 , we have p 0 = 0.5 as T 0 = M 0 and hence all results n , L p 0 for any vector of parameter ( λ , k , θ ) are the same.
Table 1. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.20 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
Table 1. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.20 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
α c a = 0.10 a = 0.25 a = 0.50 a = 0.75 a = 1
n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n     L ( p 0 )
λ = 0.15
0.3011.0000011.0000011.0000011.0000011.00000
270.7762160.7788750.8139740.8918840.87500
4130.76870110.7712390.8171180.8103180.77344
8250.78632210.78889180.78665160.75800150.78802
10320.76146270.75451230.75429190.81809190.75966
0.6050.2651940.2863930.3529930.2741620.50000
2130.29732110.2818690.3032580.2670970.34375
4220.25067180.25979150.26432120.33005120.27441
8370.27468310.25731260.25397220.25670210.25172
10450.26454370.27098310.26938260.28741250.27063
0.950100.0504780.0540660.0740350.0751750.06250
2210.05022170.05253140.05319110.07334110.05469
4300.05742250.05100200.06303170.05694160.05923
8480.05605390.05989330.05022270.06216260.05388
10570.05281460.06056380.06282320.06123300.06802
λ = 0.30
0.3011.0000011.0000011.0000011.0000011.00000
270.7927960.7887850.8182640.8924640.87500
4130.79167110.7850290.8229180.8115880.77344
8260.77873220.75731180.79573160.76010150.78802
10330.76316270.77690230.76541190.82002190.75966
0.6050.2795440.2950930.3573730.2750620.50000
2140.26784110.2970390.3108280.2686270.34375
4220.28229180.27875150.27361120.33215120.27441
8390.25313310.28247260.26611220.25925210.25172
10470.25310380.26165310.28309260.29036250.27063
0.950100.0568280.0579760.0763550.0756650.06250
2210.06019170.05851140.05610110.07410110.05469
4310.05865250.05829200.06709170.05772160.05923
8500.05397400.05778330.05467270.06323260.05388
10590.05351470.06018390.05417320.06239300.06802
Table 2. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.30 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
Table 2. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.30 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
α c a = 0.10 a = 0.25 a = 0.50 a = 0.75 a = 1
n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 )
λ = 0.15
0.3020.7991011.0000011.0000011.0000011.00000
290.7949370.7914950.8615740.8996340.87500
4180.75514130.78988100.8070580.8271480.77344
8350.76897260.77609200.78240160.78580150.78802
10440.76647330.76008250.78077200.77903190.75966
0.6070.2603750.2783740.2594630.2865130.25000
2190.26824140.26584100.3095080.2883970.34375
4310.25136220.27968170.25543130.26907120.27441
8530.25658380.28106290.26327220.29266210.25172
10640.25448460.27784350.26216270.26821250.27063
0.950140.05417100.0562970.0673250.0820950.06250
2300.05085210.05934160.05100120.05375110.05469
4430.05643310.05761230.05708170.06839160.05923
8690.05283500.05273370.05411280.05753260.05388
10810.05430590.05216440.05038330.05923300.06802
λ = 0.30
0.3020.8130811.0000011.0000011.0000011.00000
2100.7721570.8083860.7545240.9004640.87500
4190.76429140.75839100.8169780.8289580.77344
8380.75562270.77279200.79750160.78877150.78802
10470.76987340.76604250.79771200.78241190.75966
0.6070.2889450.2939840.2663630.2879020.50000
2200.28253140.29287100.3221280.2908070.34375
4330.25997230.27314170.27066130.27209120.27441
8570.25660400.26437290.28379220.29679210.25172
10690.25151480.27113350.28475270.27261250.27063
0.950150.05519100.0636470.0709550.0828850.06250
2320.05354220.05730160.05573120.05469110.05469
4470.05191320.06025230.06343170.06976160.05923
8740.05475520.05264370.06205280.05909260.05388
10880.05058610.05475440.05864330.06097300.06802
Table 3. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.40 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
Table 3. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.40 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
α c a = 0.10 a = 0.25 a = 0.50 a = 0.75 a = 1
n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 )
λ = 0.25
0.3030.7611920.7919911.0000011.0000011.00000
2140.7750990.7790160.8141450.7556740.87500
4270.76882170.77361120.7515380.8442980.77344
8550.75395340.76504230.76293160.81375150.78802
10690.75482430.75508290.75058200.81082190.75966
0.60110.2555460.3115940.3190330.3001630.25000
2300.26615180.28173120.2715880.3123170.34375
4490.25054290.27902190.27906130.29919120.27441
8840.25338510.26042330.27249230.26968210.25172
101010.25630620.25028400.26645280.25611250.27063
0.950220.05697130.0609080.0695550.0901050.06250
2480.05082290.05024180.05878120.06346110.05469
4700.05054420.05232270.05169180.05754160.05923
81100.05308670.05016430.05115290.05521260.05388
101300.05136780.05512500.05771340.05941300.06802
λ = 0.50
0.3040.7721420.8250211.0000011.0000011.00000
2220.75144110.7516960.8397650.7614040.87500
4420.75192200.77122120.7944280.8498780.77344
8840.75434400.76710240.77786160.82273150.78802
101060.75085510.75011300.77865210.75693190.75966
0.60170.2517980.2601640.3461830.3048820.50000
2470.25659220.26239130.2580280.3206670.34375
4750.25871350.26637200.28916130.30979120.27441
81300.25307610.25515350.27671230.28328210.25172
101570.25084730.26411430.25314280.27079250.27063
0.950350.05336160.0558490.0590860.0513250.06250
2750.05016340.05560190.06224120.06706110.05469
41090.05058500.05395280.06191180.06171160.05923
81720.05112800.05074460.05019290.06044260.05388
102020.05173940.05146540.05186340.06544300.06802
Table 4. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.50 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
Table 4. SASPs for OLiP distribution with parameters k = 0.50 and θ = 0.5 and different values of λ .
α c a = 0.10 a = 0.25 a = 0.50 a = 0.75 a = 1
n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 ) n L ( p 0 )
λ = 0.25
0.3040.7799420.8419711.0000011.0000011.00000
2220.76905120.7540770.7846250.7711640.87500
4430.76064220.77088130.7803990.7576280.77344
8870.75630440.76927260.76214170.76874150.78802
101100.75118560.75546320.77997210.77768190.75966
0.60170.2656590.2525650.2723430.3131320.50000
2490.25425240.27226140.2555680.3353370.34375
4780.25776390.26133220.26630130.32855120.27441
81350.25344670.26496380.26332230.30761210.25172
101630.25154810.26237460.25842280.29721250.27063
0.950370.05066180.05370100.0535860.0548750.06250
2780.05001380.05407210.05505120.07366110.05469
41130.05132560.05141310.05246180.06948160.05923
81790.05058890.05005490.05490300.05285260.05388
102100.051571040.05302580.05308350.05924300.06802
λ = 0.50
0.30110.7618830.7783711.0000011.0000011.00000
2650.75374150.7771370.8243650.7781540.87500
41260.75438290.77171140.7840690.7675080.77344
82560.75151590.76083280.77160170.78207150.78802
103220.75297740.76305350.77353210.79217190.75966
0.60510.25671120.2520850.3098930.3192120.50000
21460.25064330.25609150.2700580.3462170.34375
42330.25238530.25194240.26901140.26245120.27441
84020.25055910.25367420.25194240.26569210.25172
104840.251741100.25032500.26764290.26295250.27063
0.9501110.05021240.05606110.0534660.0575750.06250
22330.05050520.05127230.05605130.05223110.05469
43390.05049760.05040340.05311190.05346160.05923
85350.050531200.05094540.05341300.05940260.05388
106290.050451410.05145640.05084360.05154300.06802

7. Numerical Computations and Real Data Analysis

We introduce the numerical calculations for the underlying distribution in this section, including simulation research and the use of real data sets.

7.1. Simulation Study

In order to evaluate the efficacy of the estimation methods (non-BEs and BEs) outlined in the previous part, we simulate data for the OLiP in this subsection. From the OLiP distribution, we produce 1000 data by using the initial parameter values:
  • λ = 0.50 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
  • λ = 0.75 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
  • λ = 0.50 , k = 1.25 and θ = 1.5 .
  • λ = 0.75 , k = 1.25 and θ = 1.5 .
  • λ = 1.25 , k = 1.50 and θ = 2.5 .
  • λ = 1.50 , k = 1.50 and θ = 2.5 .
  • λ = 1.25 , k = 2.00 and θ = 2.5 .
  • λ = 1.50 , k = 2.00 , and θ = 2.5 ,
and sample sizes n = 25 , 50 , 75 , 100 . For each estimate ϕ ^ = ( λ ^ , k ^ , θ ^ ) , we compute the bias and root mean squared error (RMSE), respectively, as
B i a s ( ϕ ^ ) = 1 B i = 1 B ( ϕ ^ i ϕ ) ,
and
R M S E ( ϕ ^ ) = 1 B i = 1 B ( ϕ ^ i ϕ ) 2 .
We used the Newton–Raphson algorithm to find the desired estimates for the non-Bayesian procedure. For the Bayesian method, BEs were generated using MCMC and the MH algorithm with an informative prior. We made the assumption that all gamma distribution hyperparameters were equal to twice the parameter values while calculating the informative prior. The desired estimations were then calculated using these data as inputs. The MH algorithm was applied by the MLEs while taking into account the initial estimate values. Out of the total 10,000 samples created from the posterior density and subsequently obtained BEs under various loss functions, SEL, LINEX at v = 1.5 , 1.5 , and finally GEL at τ = 0.5 , 0.5 , 2000 burn-in samples were ultimately deleted. We calculated the bias and RMSE for each strategy.
The following conclusions can be drawn from the simulation results in Table 5, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8, Table 9, Table 10, Table 11 and Table 12:
  • In most cases, as the sample size increases, all estimators’ bias and RMSE values fall, demonstrating improved accuracy in the model parameter estimation.
  • The least biased parameters across all the parameters and various sample sizes are LSE, WLSE, ADE, and RTADE.
  • For all sample sizes, the estimators’ biases are positive.
Table 5. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.5 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
Table 5. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.5 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.263980.470370.133370.252120.081910.173910.062770.13892
k0.018500.178480.014060.122370.006500.097450.005640.08215
θ 0.472920.649960.246920.345900.166150.229490.130220.18184
MPSE λ 0.194170.526440.099790.264720.061730.180350.049580.14316
k0.063630.192330.043070.131960.029580.103270.025200.08667
θ 0.019960.577750.012370.275340.010300.172090.014000.13451
LSE λ 0.096090.871230.019850.352080.007100.269600.010130.22639
k0.011560.218450.005510.158670.002910.128590.003240.11018
θ 0.306440.880780.207360.674750.179590.550520.144160.46822
WLSE λ 0.069470.562180.023030.271590.005100.190710.004230.15130
k0.002170.207130.001700.144880.005740.112810.004370.09451
θ 0.233410.753040.108670.451680.069340.293040.040510.20738
CVME λ 0.087770.767410.026010.340480.001610.263520.005080.22106
k0.032660.233190.014370.162880.015690.131390.012550.11182
θ 0.152520.856500.116380.649300.117000.530570.093990.44559
ADE λ 0.099050.543770.030880.266050.004360.187570.000610.15072
k0.004580.195640.004010.137620.009020.109940.007500.09233
θ 0.067880.698380.059750.453000.055030.306320.039770.23216
RTADE λ 0.095530.626320.037580.372710.000790.301280.006440.26335
k0.014420.212730.001020.146980.007540.121800.007110.10560
θ 0.156780.980240.128400.779040.149230.674350.133230.60210
B E S E L λ 0.012190.221200.056150.159990.077380.137740.076780.12748
k0.412850.430890.348680.359250.300800.309400.262360.26939
θ 1.417291.419361.357511.359531.296511.299441.227001.23079
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.005200.229910.053720.160760.075920.137500.075670.12715
k0.406460.425120.344110.354920.297470.306210.259940.26708
θ 1.412891.415331.349681.352041.285561.288861.213261.21749
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.019330.212940.058610.159260.078850.138000.077900.12782
k0.419240.436690.353260.363590.304130.312600.264760.27171
θ 1.421381.423141.364821.366561.306791.309401.239991.24339
B E G E L 1 λ 0.025350.214490.061480.160420.080790.139140.079410.12881
k0.437760.456430.361530.372250.308640.317250.267430.27442
θ 1.453981.455171.409531.410931.352361.354951.279971.28356
B E G E L 2 λ 0.055460.205760.072850.162300.087800.142350.084750.13169
k0.498580.520180.389550.401150.324820.333560.277720.28465
θ 1.494991.495221.485191.485551.449081.450861.380571.38362
Table 6. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.75 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
Table 6. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.75 , k = 0.75 , and θ = 1.5 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.308590.666310.152480.356290.089290.243830.068250.19576
k0.009100.209230.009950.143850.002800.115080.003190.09692
θ 0.253050.351290.130600.184390.087370.121370.068570.09619
MPSE λ 0.321370.886290.157820.406760.095420.268530.075940.21298
k0.065980.228930.049780.155440.034180.121990.029540.10252
θ 0.010550.309940.009410.139370.006160.088870.008010.07019
LSE λ 0.270461.785440.078440.526810.025930.357810.018430.28720
k0.001510.268130.002510.194670.005340.156630.002970.13133
θ 0.226960.611590.116290.406960.087290.300840.058440.22251
WLSE λ 0.205261.411740.065830.398170.025580.266720.018680.21310
k0.004080.253620.002000.173670.006320.134060.004130.11161
θ 0.141120.468910.044450.224370.027920.135620.016160.10120
CVME λ 0.205761.473930.069490.497030.022630.347520.016450.28078
k0.048370.285480.020150.198810.020060.159250.013810.13274
θ 0.128420.576450.062860.383090.051600.284400.031860.20919
ADE λ 0.201151.228710.066860.385540.021150.259050.013030.20851
k0.010570.236460.005180.164590.010340.130200.007820.10869
θ 0.045640.425180.022780.230950.021740.148850.015180.10793
RTADE λ 0.181131.112620.068120.493330.024270.367820.014940.31141
k0.025220.253840.006220.176200.011410.144810.009200.12416
θ 0.166510.690900.097660.509440.076950.390310.060470.32979
B E S E L λ 0.037350.351460.076380.257870.098450.208570.093330.18711
k0.349150.379490.278690.296410.227410.242810.190320.20277
θ 1.380941.383631.267671.270961.150221.155501.029661.03661
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.025730.369910.072820.259760.096360.208510.091730.18681
k0.343850.375080.275380.293500.225160.240800.188720.20135
θ 1.375571.378581.256601.260231.135551.141171.013291.02053
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.049370.333450.079980.255980.100550.208670.094920.18743
k0.354450.383940.282000.299330.229660.244830.191920.20419
θ 1.386011.388431.278171.281171.164271.169241.045471.05215
B E G E L 1 λ 0.050630.341790.081230.257600.101550.209510.095730.18810
k0.365240.395690.286100.303520.231840.247030.193200.20545
θ 1.421491.423571.319431.322601.196561.202121.067511.07490
B E G E L 2 λ 0.080490.324840.091260.257440.107850.211570.100590.19020
k0.402320.434480.301470.318520.240820.255690.199010.21089
θ 1.479521.480461.416551.419201.289751.295961.144351.15276
Table 7. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.5 , k = 1.25 , and θ = 1.5 .
Table 7. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.5 , k = 1.25 , and θ = 1.5 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.264040.470460.133390.252130.081930.173900.062770.13891
k0.030850.297480.023450.203960.010850.162410.009410.13691
θ 0.258560.343630.140180.191850.095980.130430.075750.10440
MPSE λ 0.186860.525950.099820.264710.061730.180340.049570.14316
k0.100680.321290.071820.219920.049310.172110.041990.14444
θ 0.058710.400420.001680.161900.003970.100280.007040.07845
LSE λ 0.101260.899550.022970.347880.005090.266070.008940.22393
k0.019280.363990.009230.264420.004820.214280.005370.18359
θ 0.275190.648740.172970.485740.138250.388080.107790.32156
WLSE λ 0.071630.560280.023810.270220.005280.190260.004230.15129
k0.003250.345590.002730.241170.009560.187980.007280.15751
θ 0.202280.537840.084630.306440.049310.190770.028010.12824
CVME λ 0.087190.685060.028550.336990.000470.259790.004030.21885
k0.054330.388290.023810.271280.026080.218870.020830.18621
θ 0.163690.592320.112390.455620.095270.362250.074310.29882
ADE λ 0.100920.542220.031790.264420.004670.186780.000710.15040
k0.007720.326100.006610.229280.015020.183220.012520.15387
θ 0.088570.477640.055870.310650.042110.207120.028840.15157
RTADE λ 0.100920.622290.042420.366580.004680.295190.004090.25896
k0.024110.354680.001750.245020.012470.202920.011830.17588
θ 0.186750.674540.133820.539640.132870.471150.116730.42370
B E S E L λ 0.147000.344510.056500.198970.020140.138580.010250.11608
k0.177670.319470.104420.208710.048440.157440.007900.12460
θ 0.817400.845860.597980.620170.453580.475240.340330.36394
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.148130.346580.056970.199430.020450.138770.010510.11619
k0.170780.316930.099540.207100.044650.156660.004920.12478
θ 0.799100.828380.581590.603980.439920.461570.328990.35274
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.145870.342420.056030.198510.019840.138390.009990.11596
k0.184560.322160.109290.210450.052220.158320.010880.12451
θ 0.835220.862930.614130.636140.467090.488780.351570.37509
B E G E L 1 λ 0.145720.343060.055730.198530.019580.138380.009750.11597
k0.184240.323340.108690.210790.051620.158540.010300.12475
θ 0.847860.877510.617510.640450.467340.489620.350480.37442
B E G E L 2 λ 0.143140.340150.054170.197650.018450.137990.008750.11576
k0.197540.331550.117270.215240.057980.160970.015110.12521
θ 0.910230.942660.657140.681790.495110.518750.370920.39557
Table 8. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.75 , k = 1.25 , and θ = 1.5 .
Table 8. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 0.75 , k = 1.25 , and θ = 1.5 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.308670.666400.152370.356080.089310.243830.067570.19579
k0.015220.348730.016530.239660.004690.191810.004720.16183
θ 0.143610.194880.075920.105620.051330.070610.040290.05610
MPSE λ 0.321350.885870.157860.406730.095430.268550.075180.21283
k0.109980.381490.083000.259070.056970.203300.048720.17090
θ 0.014670.193730.004200.081400.003090.052280.004200.04124
LSE λ 0.282591.926630.079650.525200.026370.356940.016480.28720
k0.002770.446570.004270.324250.008870.260980.006630.21978
θ 0.173380.433910.085070.278330.060790.201850.040330.14214
WLSE λ 0.201081.298200.066190.397640.025580.266720.017440.21339
k0.006720.422740.003190.289150.010520.223430.007920.18672
θ 0.106890.325610.030200.139650.018290.082960.011020.06099
CVME λ 0.206741.459110.070070.496000.023130.346530.014450.28102
k0.081060.477580.033740.331640.033330.265220.024710.22230
θ 0.108530.395250.051320.257190.037660.185520.023970.13283
ADE λ 0.191760.999060.066980.385300.021220.258880.011650.20889
k0.017710.393940.008610.274290.017220.216960.014150.18189
θ 0.043840.286520.018570.150490.014940.095040.010660.06615
RTADE λ 0.187461.123000.070870.489360.025540.365320.014620.30947
k0.041840.422910.010240.293400.018930.241190.016160.20703
θ 0.142970.478090.081390.348800.059410.261510.045880.21819
B E S E L λ 0.086480.447890.017380.268120.058890.196830.069880.17186
k0.071530.315050.002970.207440.068560.185390.107700.17958
θ 0.758740.780270.531140.546260.381760.397580.279910.29675
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.088050.450690.016770.268480.058500.196890.069560.17183
k0.065830.315350.006780.208400.071350.186830.109770.18111
θ 0.745970.767540.521020.536020.374270.389940.274260.29101
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.084910.445060.017990.267750.059280.196770.070200.17188
k0.077220.314880.000840.206560.065780.183990.105620.17807
θ 0.771290.792770.541160.556410.389200.405180.285530.30247
B E G E L 1 λ 0.085150.446570.018140.267970.059430.196890.070340.17199
k0.076380.316070.000050.207200.066450.184570.106180.17859
θ 0.778040.800670.542120.557730.388710.404880.284670.30172
B E G E L 2 λ 0.082480.443930.019680.267680.060510.197020.071250.17227
k0.086170.318410.006120.206910.062220.183020.103130.17665
θ 0.817230.842350.564250.580940.402650.419580.294180.31169
Table 9. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.25 , k = 1.50 , and θ = 2.50 .
Table 9. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.25 , k = 1.50 , and θ = 2.50 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.583922.048250.239190.750510.126630.451100.093060.35804
k0.018880.555530.004020.380370.008590.305270.005120.25783
θ 0.095870.131870.049920.070130.033510.046410.026230.03672
MPSE λ 1.528377.214570.388881.389870.202650.547310.154060.41841
k0.163830.605720.128720.412270.088630.323710.076170.27260
θ 0.002610.115430.003440.052310.002250.033660.002820.02666
LSE λ 1.166455.020360.373391.798800.144890.855790.088580.59572
k0.020830.741080.006860.533540.012030.424700.008200.35530
θ 0.118580.345970.041320.162090.027920.101830.019670.07647
WLSE λ 0.986404.684540.254221.324880.090500.540320.058860.41886
k0.021020.697980.002380.468350.015150.360940.011820.30197
θ 0.064300.242040.013820.077100.009450.049230.005970.03822
CVME λ 0.903794.440900.313501.775090.113060.763960.070560.57665
k0.151070.789520.053940.543580.051970.430540.037740.35888
θ 0.069490.306030.019750.149550.013930.095470.009440.07294
ADE λ 0.810063.952650.243571.362890.076180.517660.046300.40851
k0.035830.639950.010790.441100.025660.348160.021410.29227
θ 0.024990.214080.007020.085600.007160.051880.005830.04032
RTADE λ 0.808084.075460.225031.148250.096040.617560.063850.49744
k0.080210.679300.019550.466690.028270.375280.023380.32030
θ 0.102390.386870.039060.226040.022880.149750.016030.10906
B E S E L λ 0.337321.432600.124540.691670.044430.426140.029490.34645
k0.213560.518300.164730.360740.106420.289280.079550.24346
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.344601.462430.125810.693000.045110.426500.029970.34663
k0.210120.518470.162960.360700.105340.289310.078860.24350
θ 1.067821.096770.673680.690650.460710.478190.328650.34461
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.329681.400870.123260.690310.043750.425780.029020.34628
k0.216990.518170.166510.360790.107500.289260.080250.24341
θ 1.109221.139900.696900.714640.474030.492100.336460.35285
B E G E L 1 λ 0.335231.429040.123710.691320.043920.426030.029130.34641
k0.216080.518940.165990.361010.107160.289390.080020.24349
θ 1.105181.136540.691960.709670.470750.488730.334400.35070
B E G E L 2 λ 0.330991.421830.122040.690620.042910.425820.028390.34633
k0.221150.520290.168500.361570.108650.289620.080960.24356
θ 1.138261.173070.705190.723660.477460.495870.338070.35462
Table 10. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.5 , k = 1.5 , and θ = 2.5 .
Table 10. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.5 , k = 1.5 , and θ = 2.5 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 1.4613610.52030.326561.282090.156730.594910.113240.46504
k0.038250.628050.004290.428900.015970.344340.010630.29080
θ 0.074750.103260.038750.054580.025960.036020.020300.02847
MPSE λ 3.1705413.75760.722424.212580.285830.767040.212160.56417
k0.178150.677870.143800.464740.099330.365260.085590.30777
θ 0.001300.089980.002760.040420.001780.025990.002190.02061
LSE λ 1.803356.818460.661342.925220.269611.410890.154920.91673
k0.035370.839820.007860.605200.012370.483850.008420.40473
θ 0.089300.273130.028550.114450.019900.074090.014360.05771
WLSE λ 1.736427.290510.481552.667390.150000.787170.094820.58928
k0.029120.790330.002120.531600.016580.410700.013150.34359
θ 0.046230.184440.009810.057390.006930.037570.004410.02940
CVME λ 1.372615.829080.563352.778430.212581.272910.126910.92837
k0.179280.893830.061180.617380.058120.490340.042250.40872
θ 0.052560.245720.011960.105440.009170.069960.006450.05524
ADE λ 1.347345.810640.425212.328860.128130.755610.078020.58107
k0.044160.719810.011440.498230.028190.394930.023720.33168
θ 0.015030.156580.004440.060350.005210.039150.004360.03088
RTADE λ 1.255835.631750.381821.975150.153290.842040.100470.64540
k0.095190.762830.021240.522750.030510.420010.025100.35779
θ 0.073720.301560.024080.161980.014690.109570.010290.08001
B E S E L λ 0.429001.730980.211681.205280.080850.572300.057860.45524
k0.161480.567120.123710.392000.068610.318460.049310.27250
θ 0.960030.991280.554610.572860.353740.369980.240600.25598
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.437091.756470.213321.209530.081550.572710.058330.45547
k0.158630.567880.122370.392340.067860.318680.048840.27264
θ 0.941790.971920.546110.563980.349510.365520.238310.25353
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.440541.820750.209991.200300.080140.571890.057380.45500
k0.164330.566390.125060.391670.069350.318250.049780.27235
θ 0.977911.010300.563050.581670.357960.374430.242880.25843
B E G E L 1 λ 0.426951.727820.210901.204860.080410.572200.057550.45518
k0.163430.567240.124610.391980.069090.318420.049620.27245
θ 0.973351.006420.559100.577630.355750.372130.241630.25710
B E G E L 2 λ 0.422811.721430.209331.204030.079540.572010.056940.45508
k0.167350.567510.126400.391950.070070.318320.050230.27237
θ 1.000171.037360.568050.587190.359760.376420.243690.25933
Table 11. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.25 , k = 2 , and θ = 2.50 .
Table 11. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.25 , k = 2 , and θ = 2.50 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE Bias RMSE
MLE λ 0.584742.062450.239180.750780.126480.450840.093010.35797
k0.025200.740720.005320.507190.011550.407000.006840.34375
θ 0.071270.097670.037250.052210.025040.034640.019610.02743
MPSE λ 1.631108.342370.390931.428840.202580.547300.154050.41844
k0.218500.807910.171610.549790.118130.431610.101540.36354
θ 0.002420.086650.002460.039060.001630.025170.002080.01994
LSE λ 1.175175.107220.374631.790440.141120.800360.089480.60991
k0.027670.987860.009210.711600.016140.566050.010940.47384
θ 0.092020.267520.031740.122640.021360.077330.014980.05760
WLSE λ 1.009714.939570.256721.360620.090450.540270.058810.41881
k0.028150.931100.003180.624540.020240.481250.015790.40262
θ 0.049200.184170.010600.058080.007190.036960.004540.02867
CVME λ 0.928234.918940.308961.705350.114580.786710.070530.57658
k0.201741.051360.071910.724560.069280.574150.050340.47851
θ 0.056110.243360.015480.113450.010800.072270.007290.05485
ADE λ 0.856804.435720.239861.312890.076130.517600.046250.40851
k0.047590.853510.014450.588020.034250.464210.028580.38970
θ 0.020300.167920.005560.065180.005480.039060.004450.03029
RTADE λ 0.809784.092850.225781.155750.096040.617590.063840.49744
k0.107030.905970.026020.622150.037700.500390.031180.42707
θ 0.081750.301760.031130.175140.018100.116130.012490.08249
B E S E L λ 0.090221.010620.100600.506610.175340.362850.195760.32268
k0.378670.794310.460440.659900.543100.666010.580960.66762
θ 0.487330.509760.259000.275290.148780.165200.082450.10337
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.091441.014120.100240.506850.175130.362820.195600.32264
k0.383020.798160.462980.662450.544850.667770.582240.66896
θ 0.480710.502820.255880.272040.147050.163410.081390.10228
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.089001.007210.100960.506360.175550.362880.195920.32272
k0.374320.790490.457900.657370.541350.664250.579670.66629
θ 0.493890.516650.262100.278520.150510.166990.083510.10445
B E G E L 1 λ 0.089681.010080.100880.506600.175530.362930.195910.32275
k0.376950.793170.459460.659030.542430.665390.580470.66715
θ 0.490700.513370.260410.276770.149520.165980.082900.10382
B E G E L 2 λ 0.088601.009000.101450.506590.175920.363090.196200.32291
k0.373500.790880.457480.657310.541090.664140.579500.66620
θ 0.497400.520590.263210.279730.151000.167530.083780.10474
Table 12. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.50 , k = 2.00 , and θ = 2.50 .
Table 12. Average estimated biases and RMSEs of different estimation methods for OLiP distribution at different sample sizes n and parameter values of λ = 1.50 , k = 2.00 , and θ = 2.50 .
Method n = 25 n = 50 n = 75 n = 100
BiasRMSEBiasRMSEBiasRMSEBiasRMSE
MLE λ 1.3926410.77660.326731.284160.156740.594870.113230.46502
k0.051070.837210.005710.571880.021270.459110.014170.38777
θ 0.055680.076670.028950.040710.019420.026920.015200.02129
MPSE λ 3.1058013.070010.681253.440420.285770.766670.212270.56427
k0.237530.903880.191800.619610.132450.486980.114190.41037
θ 0.001250.067790.002010.030200.001310.019440.001630.01542
LSE λ 1.743886.493610.645822.779690.263221.331190.158570.98361
k0.047401.118750.010440.806570.016540.644900.011160.53977
θ 0.069290.211630.021910.087430.015140.055920.010900.04340
WLSE λ 1.696906.844160.469302.557520.150030.787190.094840.58927
k0.038861.054190.002910.708520.022090.547600.017510.45812
θ 0.035580.141380.007480.043100.005250.028180.003340.02205
CVME λ 1.394915.974650.533762.616370.207541.198190.124480.88223
k0.237151.184780.081950.822200.077510.653640.056340.54486
θ 0.041360.193600.009450.080700.007070.052720.004950.04150
ADE λ 1.373315.696570.431952.422880.128170.755690.078040.58111
k0.058700.961200.015210.664350.037560.526590.031600.44224
θ 0.013100.125520.003470.045420.003960.029430.003310.02318
RTADE λ 1.180045.103340.383811.983770.153290.842130.100460.64540
k0.127151.016470.028220.696850.040690.560030.033470.47706
θ 0.057680.231460.018700.122580.011550.084800.007960.06030
B E S E L λ 0.079011.382590.161850.697250.256760.462160.281760.41645
k0.516200.946510.593470.802860.676730.806570.710670.80268
θ 0.419520.439360.209680.225200.113670.128560.056190.07608
B E L i n e x 1 λ 0.080881.391150.161460.697730.256540.462120.281610.41639
k0.520070.950340.595540.805030.678140.808040.711700.80378
θ 0.414490.434090.207550.222980.112550.127400.055550.07543
B E L i n e x 2 λ 0.077201.374620.162240.696770.256980.462210.281920.41652
k0.512350.942710.591410.800700.675320.805100.709640.80157
θ 0.424500.444590.211800.227410.114780.129720.056840.07672
B E G E L 1 λ 0.078461.381850.162110.697250.256930.462250.281890.41653
k0.514790.945410.592720.802160.676220.806080.710310.80231
θ 0.421980.441990.210620.226190.114140.129060.056460.07635
B E G E L 2 λ 0.077361.380370.162630.697250.257280.462420.282140.41670
k0.511960.943220.591220.800760.675210.805090.709580.80156
θ 0.426870.447240.212490.228170.115080.130050.056990.07689

7.2. Applications to Real Data Set

This section uses two real data sets to show how well the OLiP distribution models fit data sets.

7.2.1. Vinyl Chloride Data Set

The first data set, as reported by [38], displays vinyl chloride data (g/L) from ground-water monitoring wells that are located in clean-up-gradient areas. Given that vinyl chloride is both anthropogenic and carcinogenic, it is believed to be a volatile organic molecule, a property that is relevant to environmental studies. In order to compare the performance of the OLiP distribution with other distributions, the vinyl chloride data must be fitted to the OLiP distribution.
5.11.21.30.60.52.40.51.18.00.80.40.6
0.90.42.00.55.33.22.72.92.52.31.00.2
0.10.11.80.92.04.06.81.20.40.2
The results in Table 13 are derived from the vinyl chloride data fitted to the OLiP distribution and compared with those from the Pareto distribution (PD), Lindley distribution (LD), odds generalized exponential (OGE), odds generalized exponential-power Lomax (OG-EPL), and Weibull (WE) distributions. The criteria log-likelihood, Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic were employed to distinguish between the models, as shown below.
A I C = 2 ( Φ ^ ) + 2 q
B I C = 2 ( Φ ^ ) + q ln n
where ( Φ ^ ) denotes the log-likelihood at maximum likelihood estimates, q is the number of parameters, while n is sample size. Given an ordered random sample X 1 , X 2 , . . . , X n from OLiP( λ ^ , k ^ , θ ^ ), the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic is
K S = max i 1 n F ( x i , λ ^ , k ^ , θ ^ ) , F ( x i , λ ^ , k ^ , θ ^ ) i 1 n
The examination of the real data set I yield the results in Table 13, which demonstrate that the OLiP distribution has the lowest values for all the criteria LL, AIC, BIC, and KS for the data set when compared to other distributions. Consequently, the suggested model presents a desirable alternative. Figure 5 compares the OLiP, OG-EPL, OGE, LD, PD, and WE distributions using the density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots of the real data set. Figure 6 also includes the PP plot for this date. To be more specific, the first real data set is better suited to the OLiP distribution. The findings are shown in Table 14 and include the estimates and standard error (std. err) for the unknown parameters of the OLiP distribution based on the underlying estimation techniques covered in earlier sections. The p-value is compared to an α level of 0.05 . The criterion is that the p-value of any of the fitted distributions must be greater than 0.05 in order to fit the data, and the distribution whose p-values meet the first condition and is also greater than the rest has the best goodness of fit. It is obvious from both Table 13 and Table 15 that the proposed OLiP distribution best fits the two data sets.

7.2.2. COVID-19 Data Set

The second data set, which consists of 36 observations and shows the mortality rates of COVID-19 patients in Canada, is presented in this subsection. Access to this information can be found at [https://covid19.who.int/ (accessed on 27 July 2023)]. Additionally, the information is offered below and may be found in the article authored by [39]:
3.10913.38253.14443.21352.49463.51464.92743.37696.86863.09144.9378
3.10913.28233.85944.04804.16853.6426,3.21102.86363.22182.9073.6346
2.79574.27814.22021.51572.60293.35922.83493.13482.52611.5806
2.77042.19012.41411.9048
The COVID-19 data are fitted to the OLiP distribution in order to assess its suitability, and the results are shown in Table 15 with comparison to some other models such as the generalized exponential (Gen-Ex), inverse gamma (Inv-Ga), OEPL, and WE distributions. The same criteria in the data set will be used to compare these models.
The examination of the real data set II yields the results in Table 15, which demonstrate that the OLiP distribution has the least values for all the criteria LL, AIC, BIC, and KS for the data set when compared to the other distributions taken into consideration. Consequently, the suggested model presents a desirable alternative. Figure 7 compares the OLiP, Gen-Ex, Inv-Ga, OEPL, and WE distributions using the density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots of the real data set. Figure 8 also includes the PP plot for this date. To be more specific, the second real data set is better suited to the OLiP distribution.
The findings are shown in Table 16 and include the estimates and standard error (std. err) obtained using the underlying estimating techniques covered in earlier sections for the unknown parameters of the OLiP distribution.

8. Conclusions

A new model has been introduced in this article. Several properties are derived and thoroughly examined, including moments and their measures, the moment-generating function, the characteristic function, the hazard rate, Rényi entropy, order statistics and stochastic ordering. To estimate and study the parameters, eight methods are considered and comparisons are made. The techniques looked at include maximum likelihood estimation, maximum product spacing, least squares, weighted least squares, Cramer–von Mises, right-tailed Anderson–Darling, and Bayesian techniques. We ran a simulated study to contrast the different approaches. In terms of bias and mean squared error, we have compared the estimators. According to the simulation’s findings, the most competitive method is maximum product spacing. Applications to vinyl chloride data from clean-up-gradient ground-water monitoring wells in g/L, and COVID-19 data from Canada also complement the findings by demonstrating that the OLiP distribution strongly fits the data sets. From the two analytical measures of fitness and performance (LL, AD, CVM, AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC, K-S, and p-value), the proposed OLiP distribution is preferred to the following fitted distributions, Pareto (PD), Lindley (LD), odds generalized exponential (OGE), odds generalized exponential-power Lomax (OG-EPL), and Weibull (WE) distributions. The OLiP distribution outperformed the competing distributions based on the AIC, BIC, CAIC, HQIC, LL, KS, and probability values. When the lifetime test is terminated at the median life of the proposed distribution, the SASPs have also been computed based on the OLiP distribution. The required sample size was calculated using numerous truncation times at various parameter values and degrees of consumer risk. Additionally, the probability of acceptance was assessed for various values of n, the collected sample sizes, to make sure that it is less than or equal to the complement of the consumer’s risk α .

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, O.J.O.; Methodology, A.H.T., C.K.O., N.A. and O.J.O.; Software, A.H.T., A.R.E.-S. and O.J.O.; Validation, C.K.O. and O.J.O.; Formal analysis, A.R.E.-S.; Investigation, C.K.O. and N.A.; Resources, H.A.; Data curation, N.A. and H.A.; Writing—original draft, A.H.T., A.R.E.-S. and O.J.O.; Writing—review & editing, H.A. unding acquisition N.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research is supported by researcher support project number (RSPD2023R548), King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Data Availability Statement

Data sets are available in this paper.

Acknowledgments

This research is supported by researcher support project number (RSPD2023R548), King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. The pdf of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
Figure 1. The pdf of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
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Figure 2. The cdf of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
Figure 2. The cdf of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
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Figure 3. The hazard rate function of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
Figure 3. The hazard rate function of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
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Figure 4. The reliability function of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
Figure 4. The reliability function of the OLiP distribution for various values of the parameters.
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Figure 5. The density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots for the first real data set.
Figure 5. The density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots for the first real data set.
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Figure 6. The PP plot for the first real data set.
Figure 6. The PP plot for the first real data set.
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Figure 7. The density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots for the second real data set.
Figure 7. The density, CDF, empirical reliability, and TTT plots for the second real data set.
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Figure 8. The P-P plot for the second real data set.
Figure 8. The P-P plot for the second real data set.
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Table 13. MLEs, LL, AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC, KS, the p-value of the real data set I.
Table 13. MLEs, LL, AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC, KS, the p-value of the real data set I.
ModelMLEsLLAICCAICBICHQICKSp-Value
OLiP λ = 0.41717 −53.35211110.69382111.08090113.74651111.734810.075060.99091
k = 0.59434
θ = 0.10000
OGE λ = 2.82592 −55.14256118.37101119.75024124.47631120.453100.097670.90190
β = 0.57813
γ = 1.23910
θ = 2.30869
OEPL λ = 3.40603 −51.40121112.83102114.20711118.93334114.913150.109480.80981
β = 0.40108
δ = 1.33945
θ = 2.32600
PD θ = 54.0098 −55.44012114.87893115.26611117.93162115.922140.081380.97791
α = 29.7229
WE α = 0.9739 −56.54913117.0983117.4854120.1510118.13930.122150.69071
β = 1.8341
LD θ = 0.82383 −56.32051114.60647114.73232116.13360115.127810.132620.58823
Table 14. Estimates and standard errors of various estimation procedures of the OLiP distribution for the real data set I.
Table 14. Estimates and standard errors of various estimation procedures of the OLiP distribution for the real data set I.
Method λ k θ
EstimateStd. ErrEstimateStd. ErrEstimateStd. Err
MLE0.417170.087100.594340.096260.10000
MPS0.307150.233910.578510.105910.059080.04616
LSE0.303552.272540.576330.642120.057320.54144
WLSE0.253040.106030.591560.034710.046910.02469
CVME0.336292.317200.593180.688620.073190.58988
ADE0.262750.561240.613080.210230.055510.13789
RTADE0.291241.405650.605530.326730.062450.39334
BE SEL 0.319900.039320.650060.048270.096200.00202
Table 15. MLEs, LL, AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC, KS, the p-value of the COVID-19 data set.
Table 15. MLEs, LL, AIC, CAIC, BIC, HQIC, KS, the p-value of the COVID-19 data set.
ModelMLEsLLAICCAICBICHQICKSp-Value
OLiP λ = 0.35251 −48.29042100.58230100.94591103.74931101.687720.120660.67101
k = 2.16421
θ = 1.51570
Gen-Ex α = 29.07834 −48.51342101.02681101.39050104.19387102.132200.123580.64156
λ = 0.83437
Inv-Ga θ = 54.0098 −48.93963101.87931102.24286105.04631102.984610.137830.50092
α = 29.7229
OEPL λ = 2.33980 −57.38508122.77016124.06048129.10424124.980920.155000.35266
β = 0.22465
δ = 5.28708
θ = 171.9655
WE α = 3.31387 −51.47427106.94852107.31224110.115603108.053850.149970.39296
λ = 3.63702
Table 16. Estimates and standard errors of various estimation procedures of the OLiP distribution for COVID-19 data set.
Table 16. Estimates and standard errors of various estimation procedures of the OLiP distribution for COVID-19 data set.
Method λ k θ
Estimate Std. Err Estimate Std. Err Estimate Std. Err
MLE0.352510.117732.164210.323321.51570
MPS0.251260.221762.062420.331711.260420.37469
LSE0.053210.480643.112152.606811.052613.14173
WLSE0.024590.007362.906580.146490.748610.09298
CVME0.065610.745473.278902.761801.186674.10497
ADE0.106950.583642.712850.754421.159822.14264
RTADE0.618311.203032.229821.216071.910671.00573
BE SEL 0.381710.054492.101730.224641.513370.06459
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Tolba, A.H.; Onyekwere, C.K.; El-Saeed, A.R.; Alsadat, N.; Alohali, H.; Obulezi, O.J. A New Distribution for Modeling Data with Increasing Hazard Rate: A Case of COVID-19 Pandemic and Vinyl Chloride Data. Sustainability 2023, 15, 12782. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151712782

AMA Style

Tolba AH, Onyekwere CK, El-Saeed AR, Alsadat N, Alohali H, Obulezi OJ. A New Distribution for Modeling Data with Increasing Hazard Rate: A Case of COVID-19 Pandemic and Vinyl Chloride Data. Sustainability. 2023; 15(17):12782. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151712782

Chicago/Turabian Style

Tolba, Ahlam H., Chrisogonus K. Onyekwere, Ahmed R. El-Saeed, Najwan Alsadat, Hanan Alohali, and Okechukwu J. Obulezi. 2023. "A New Distribution for Modeling Data with Increasing Hazard Rate: A Case of COVID-19 Pandemic and Vinyl Chloride Data" Sustainability 15, no. 17: 12782. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151712782

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