Estimation of the Average Values of the Wolf Numbers of Cycles of the Dalton Minimum Based on the Characteristics of Reliable Cycles of a Series

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription Access

Abstract

The source material for the number of Wolf numbers is both archival records of disparate observations
and regular observatory observations. Many researchers rely on a series of Wolf numbers, including
restored data of archival records, although the properties and characteristics of the restored and reliable parts
of the series differ significantly. The parameters of the restored part itself are also contradictory. Naturally,
matching the properties of the reconstructed and reliable series will smooth the contradictions and expand
the array of more reliable data. Taking the relationship between the characteristics of significant cycles into
account, options for group correction of the average values of cycles I–IX are presented. Since local data
residuals play a lesser role when comparing extended fragments, by relying on the integral estimates of these
fragments (without detailing the conditions for their formation) we obtained more weighted interval estimates.
The parameters of intervals (groups of cycles) of a reliable series serve as the basis for correction.

About the authors

I. G. Shibaev

Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation,
Russian Academy of Sciences (IZMIRAN)

Author for correspondence.
Email: ishib@izmiran.ru
Moscow, Troitsk, 108840 Russia

References

  1. – Витинский Ю.И., Копецкий М., Куклин Г.В. Статистика пятнообразовательной деятельности Солнца. М.: Наука, 296 с. 1986.
  2. – Иванов–Холодный Г.С., Чертопруд В.Е. Солнечная активность // Исследование космического пространства. Т. 33. С. 3–99. 1990. (Итоги науки и техники. ВИНИТИ АН СССР).
  3. – Ишков В.Н., Шибаев И.Г. Циклы солнечной активности: общие характеристики и современные границы прогнозирования // Изв. РАН. Сер. физ. Т. 70. № 10. С. 1439–1442. 2006.
  4. – Отсука К., Корнелиссен Г., Халберг Ф. Хроном климатических измерений ширины древесных колец // Геофизические процессы и биосфера. Т. 8. № 1. С. 63–72. 2009.
  5. – Шибаев А.И. Сопоставление характерных параметров солнечных циклов новой и старой версий рядов чисел Вольфа и динамика длиннопериодных компонент рядов // Тр. XIV конференции молодых ученых – 2017. ИКИ РАН, Москва. С. 143–148. 2017.
  6. – Шибаев И.Г. Оценка восстановленной части ряда ежемесячных чисел Вольфа (1700–1849 гг.) по характеристикам его достоверной части (1849–2009) и температурным рядам / Тр. Всер. Конф."ССЗФ-2010”. СПб: ГАО РАН. С. 455–458. 2010.
  7. – Hathaway D.H. The Solar Cycle // Living Rev. Solar Phys. V. 12. № 4. 2015. https://doi.org/10.1007/lrsp-2015-4
  8. – Feynman J., Gabriel S.B. Period and phase of the 88-year Solar cycle and the Maunder minimum: evidence for a chaotic Sun // Solar Phys. V. 127. № 2. P. 393–403. 1990.
  9. – Gleissberg W. A long-periodic Fluctuation of the Sun-spot Numbers // Observatory. V. 62. P. 158–159. 1939.
  10. – Gleissberg W. Die Persistenz des 80 Jahrigen Sonnenfleckenzyklus Durch 16 Jahrhunderte // İ.Ü. Fen Fak. Mecm. Seri C. № 20. P. 263–271. 1955. = Publ. Istanbul Univ. Obs. № 57. 9 p. Ref. AJB 1955.
  11. – Gleissberg W. Secularly smoothed data on the minima and maxima of sunspot frequency // Solar Phys. V. 2. № 2. P. 231–233. 1967.
  12. – Shibaev A. Connection between period of low-frequency component Wolf’s numbers (WNS) and length of Wolf’s numbers series // Aerospace Research in Bulgaria. V. 29. P. 5–9. 2017.
  13. – Shibaev I.G. Estimation of the reconstructed part of the Wolf series and the possibility of its correction // Solar Syst. Res. V. 42. № 1. P. 63–71. 2008.
  14. – Solar-Terrestrial Influences on Weather and Climate // Proceeding of a Symposium. The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, 24–28 August 1978. Dordrecht, Holland. 348 p. 1979.
  15. – Usoskin I.G., Mursula K., Kovaltsov G.A. The lost sunspot cycle: Reanalysis of sunspot statistics // Astron. Astrophys. V. 403. № 2. P. 743–748. 2003.

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
Action
1. JATS XML
2.

Download (54KB)
3.

Download (59KB)
4.

Download (56KB)
5.

Download (29KB)

Copyright (c) 2023 И.Г. Шибаев

This website uses cookies

You consent to our cookies if you continue to use our website.

About Cookies