Sociologija 2011 Volume 53, Issue 2, Pages: 149-176
https://doi.org/10.2298/SOC1102149B
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Second demographic transition de-blocked?
Bobić Mirjana (Filozofski fakultet, Beograd)
Vukelić Jelisaveta (Filozofski fakultet, Beograd), vukelic.jelisaveta@gmail.com
The text is re-examining the previously established dilemma related to
whether Serbia (without Kosovo and Metohija) is the country of second
demographic transition, i.e.: has the transition been de-blocked, under the
assumption that this is a worldwide historical process of transformation of
industrialized countries. The last thesis, around which there exists a lot of
controversy in the contemporary population theory, is however not dealt with
in detail; to the contrary, it is used as the general theoretical framework
for the exploration of the most recent tendencies in the transformation of
nuptiality and fertility regime in Serbia, as well as in the western and
countries in post-socialist transformation. Special attention is given to the
ideational changes, more precisely to the specific features of the value
profile of the Serbian population, which is one of the most important
determinants of the societal framework, that acts in the back of the afore
mentioned aggregate demographic indicators. Finally, the hypothesis is posed
(which should be further investigated by means of in-depth research and
complementary approach) that the speeding-up of the second demographic
transition and intensification of the individualisation not only of the
partnership but of the parenthood as well, accompanied with the rise of
living standard and social support to balancing work and family, would have
produced important emancipating and, concomitantly, positive socioeconomic
and demographic effects.
Keywords: marriage, fertility, Serbia, second demographic transition
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