土木学会論文集B1(水工学)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
水工学論文集第58巻
水温環境の変化に伴う源流域における底生動物群集の将来変化
新井 涼允糠澤 桂風間 聡竹門 康弘
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2014 年 70 巻 4 号 p. I_1303-I_1308

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As expected global increase in stream temperature triggered by climate change would alter benthic community composition of streams, it is necessary to understand the future variation of benthic invertevrates. First, we developed simple linear regression model to estimate the density of invertebrates by a water temperature metric as predictor variable. These data for the model were monthly collected during May-October within headwater streams which were homogenous in hydro-morphological characteristics. Secondly, we projected water temperature distribution within this basin for the two period in future using a distributed hydro-thermal simulation model which needed GCM data as inputs. Finally, we projected the variation of the density of benthic assemblage based on the regression model by annual mean of water temperature.

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