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Evidence-based health: mathematical strategies for translating scientific findings into routine clinical care

Currently, in the health area, several experimental studies (investigating an intervention versus placebo/control) attempt to demonstrate the relevance of outcomes through statistically significant results11 Krause MS. Statistical significance testing and clinical trials. Psychotherapy (Chic). 2011;48(3):217-22. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0022088
https://doi.org/10.1037/a0022088...
. However, statistical significance (i.e., p<0.05) does not indicate clinical relevance (Figure 1)22 Andrei AC. Statistical significance: is there a way out of it? J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2021;161(4):1377-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.04.138
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.04....
,33 Vishnu VY, Vinny PW. Statistical significance and clinical importance. Neurol India. 2021;69(5):1509. https://doi.org/10.4103/0028-3886.329535
https://doi.org/10.4103/0028-3886.329535...
. In fact, it is possible to find a statistically significant result with no clinical relevance, just as it is possible to find a statistically significant result with clinical relevance44 Sharma H. Statistical significance or clinical significance? A researcher’s dilemma for appropriate interpretation of research results. Saudi J Anaesth. 2021;15(4):431-4. https://doi.org/10.4103/sja.sja_158_21
https://doi.org/10.4103/sja.sja_158_21...
.

Figure 1
Statistical significance (i.e., p≤0.05) does not show clinical relevance.

A challenge in longitudinal studies (e.g., clinical trials) is the difficulty in translating numbers (outcome) into something applicable to the clinical context (real world) because the p-value (<0.05 or >0.05) only indicates statistical significance55 Amrhein V, Greenland S, McShane B. Scientists rise up against statistical significance. Nature. 2019;567(7748):305-7. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-00857-9
https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-00857...
,66 Chander NG. Beyond statistical significance. J Indian Prosthodont Soc. 2019;19(3):201-2. https://doi.org/10.4103/jips.jips_207_19
https://doi.org/10.4103/jips.jips_207_19...
, in which interpretation only translates a hypothesis test governed by a previously defined probability of error alpha (H0 versus H1)77 Andrade C. The P value and statistical significance: misunderstandings, explanations, challenges, and alternatives. Indian J Psychol Med. 2019;41(3):210-5. https://doi.org/10.4103/IJPSYM.IJPSYM_193_19
https://doi.org/10.4103/IJPSYM.IJPSYM_19...
. The language of health is biostatistics88 Villeneuve PJ, Paradis G, Muhajarine N. Always better together: the Canadian journal of public health and the Canadian society for epidemiology and biostatistics. Can J Public Health. 2020;111(3):305-7. https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-020-00362-x
https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-020-0036...
,99 Shim S, Yoon BH, Shin IS, Bae JM. Network meta-analysis: application and practice using stata. Epidemiol Health. 2017;39:e2017047. https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2017047
https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2017047...
, but patients are not numbers1010 Pontes-Silva A. Statistical significance does not show clinical relevance: we need to go beyond the P-value. J Clin Exp Hepatol. 2022;12(5):1402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.017
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.0...
. Therefore, numerical conclusions should be translated into applicability to routine clinical care1111 McClellan J. Clinical relevance versus statistical significance. J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2017;56(12):1008-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaac.2017.09.431
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaac.2017.09.4...
. As such, science should be combined with clinical context so that patients could receive optimal treatment1212 Greenhalgh T, Howick J, Maskrey N, Evidence Based Medicine Renaissance Group. Evidence based medicine: a movement in crisis? BMJ. 2014;348:g3725. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g3725
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g3725...
. How to solve it? It could be done simply by evaluating the clinical relevance of the results1010 Pontes-Silva A. Statistical significance does not show clinical relevance: we need to go beyond the P-value. J Clin Exp Hepatol. 2022;12(5):1402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.017
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.0...
.

One way to verify the clinical relevance of results is through health economic evaluations1313 Jiang S, Wang Y, Si L, Zang X, Gu YY, Jiang Y, et al. Incorporating productivity loss in health economic evaluations: a review of guidelines and practices worldwide for research agenda in China. BMJ Glob Health. 2022;7(8):e009777. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009777
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-00977...
, effect size assessments1414 Pandis N. The effect size. Am J Orthod Dentofacial Orthop. 2012;142(5):739-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06.011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06....
, or estimates of minimal clinically important differences and minimal detectable change1515 Terwee CB. Estimating minimal clinically important differences and minimal detectable change. J Hand Surg Am. 2019;44(12):e1. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhsa.2019.10.001
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhsa.2019.10.0...
. I suggest that new studies describe Cohen’s effect size1414 Pandis N. The effect size. Am J Orthod Dentofacial Orthop. 2012;142(5):739-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06.011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06....
,1616 Kelley K, Preacher KJ. On effect size. Psychol Methods. 2012;17(2):137-52. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0028086
https://doi.org/10.1037/a0028086...
(e.g., d-value or w-value). Cohen’s d can be used to assess effect sizes when comparing two means (0.2=small effect, 0.5=moderate effect, and 0.8=large effect)1717 Cohen J. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. Cambridge, MA: Academic Press; 2013. and the Cohen’s w can be used to assess effect sizes using a chi-squared test (0.1=small effect, 0.3=moderate effect, and 0.5=large effect)1818 Cohen J. Quantitative methods in psychology: a power primer. Psychol Bull. 1992;112:1155-9. https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909.112.1.155
https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909.112.1...
.

  • Funding: APS was funded by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP, grant 2022/08646-6). This study was partially supported by the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES, code 001). The funding source had no role in the study design, collection, analysis, interpretation of data, and writing of the report, or in the decision to submit the article for publication.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

I would like to thank the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES), National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq), São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), Federal University of Maranhão (UFMA), Federal University of São Carlos (UFSCar), and Maria de Fátima Pontes-Silva.

REFERENCES

  • 1
    Krause MS. Statistical significance testing and clinical trials. Psychotherapy (Chic). 2011;48(3):217-22. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0022088
    » https://doi.org/10.1037/a0022088
  • 2
    Andrei AC. Statistical significance: is there a way out of it? J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2021;161(4):1377-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.04.138
    » https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.04.138
  • 3
    Vishnu VY, Vinny PW. Statistical significance and clinical importance. Neurol India. 2021;69(5):1509. https://doi.org/10.4103/0028-3886.329535
    » https://doi.org/10.4103/0028-3886.329535
  • 4
    Sharma H. Statistical significance or clinical significance? A researcher’s dilemma for appropriate interpretation of research results. Saudi J Anaesth. 2021;15(4):431-4. https://doi.org/10.4103/sja.sja_158_21
    » https://doi.org/10.4103/sja.sja_158_21
  • 5
    Amrhein V, Greenland S, McShane B. Scientists rise up against statistical significance. Nature. 2019;567(7748):305-7. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-00857-9
    » https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-00857-9
  • 6
    Chander NG. Beyond statistical significance. J Indian Prosthodont Soc. 2019;19(3):201-2. https://doi.org/10.4103/jips.jips_207_19
    » https://doi.org/10.4103/jips.jips_207_19
  • 7
    Andrade C. The P value and statistical significance: misunderstandings, explanations, challenges, and alternatives. Indian J Psychol Med. 2019;41(3):210-5. https://doi.org/10.4103/IJPSYM.IJPSYM_193_19
    » https://doi.org/10.4103/IJPSYM.IJPSYM_193_19
  • 8
    Villeneuve PJ, Paradis G, Muhajarine N. Always better together: the Canadian journal of public health and the Canadian society for epidemiology and biostatistics. Can J Public Health. 2020;111(3):305-7. https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-020-00362-x
    » https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-020-00362-x
  • 9
    Shim S, Yoon BH, Shin IS, Bae JM. Network meta-analysis: application and practice using stata. Epidemiol Health. 2017;39:e2017047. https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2017047
    » https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2017047
  • 10
    Pontes-Silva A. Statistical significance does not show clinical relevance: we need to go beyond the P-value. J Clin Exp Hepatol. 2022;12(5):1402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.017
    » https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jceh.2022.04.017
  • 11
    McClellan J. Clinical relevance versus statistical significance. J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2017;56(12):1008-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaac.2017.09.431
    » https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaac.2017.09.431
  • 12
    Greenhalgh T, Howick J, Maskrey N, Evidence Based Medicine Renaissance Group. Evidence based medicine: a movement in crisis? BMJ. 2014;348:g3725. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g3725
    » https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g3725
  • 13
    Jiang S, Wang Y, Si L, Zang X, Gu YY, Jiang Y, et al. Incorporating productivity loss in health economic evaluations: a review of guidelines and practices worldwide for research agenda in China. BMJ Glob Health. 2022;7(8):e009777. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009777
    » https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2022-009777
  • 14
    Pandis N. The effect size. Am J Orthod Dentofacial Orthop. 2012;142(5):739-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06.011
    » https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajodo.2012.06.011
  • 15
    Terwee CB. Estimating minimal clinically important differences and minimal detectable change. J Hand Surg Am. 2019;44(12):e1. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhsa.2019.10.001
    » https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhsa.2019.10.001
  • 16
    Kelley K, Preacher KJ. On effect size. Psychol Methods. 2012;17(2):137-52. https://doi.org/10.1037/a0028086
    » https://doi.org/10.1037/a0028086
  • 17
    Cohen J. Statistical power analysis for the behavioral sciences. Cambridge, MA: Academic Press; 2013.
  • 18
    Cohen J. Quantitative methods in psychology: a power primer. Psychol Bull. 1992;112:1155-9. https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909.112.1.155
    » https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909.112.1.155

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    13 Nov 2023
  • Date of issue
    2023

History

  • Received
    21 July 2023
  • Accepted
    24 July 2023
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