Estimating the Under-Five Mortality Rate Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Time Series Model
Figure 9
Estimates of the average rate of decline for the six countries with the highest/lowest estimates.
Median estimates (dots) and 95% credible intervals (horizontal line) for average rate of decline in the six countries with the highest, and the six countries with the lowest median estimate. The red vertical line is the median of all country estimates, which is at 3.4%. The green line is drawn at a rate of decline of 4.4%, which corresponds to Millennium Development Goal 4. (*SVG = St Vincent and the Grenadines).