Estimating the Under-Five Mortality Rate Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Time Series Model
Figure 4
Estimates of U5MR for Pakistan, Latvia, Bhutan, Australia, India and Nigeria.
The median U5MR estimates from the Bayesian model (BM) are shown in red, and the IGME estimates are shown in blue. The 95% credible/confidence and projection intervals are represented by the red area for the Bayesian model, and the blue area for the IGME estimates. Observations are represented by the black dots.