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中国农学通报 ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (12): 81-88.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18030049

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

甘肃陇东黄土高原暖冬异常气候事件特征分析

张天峰, 王位泰, 姜惠峰, 刘翔, 杨智强   

  1. 庆阳市气象局
  • 收稿日期:2018-03-09 修回日期:2019-04-10 接受日期:2018-06-19 出版日期:2019-04-26 发布日期:2019-04-26
  • 通讯作者: 张天峰
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省气象局成果转化项目“庆阳市苹果气象灾害风险的综合评估技术应用”(GSMACg2018-15)。

Characteristics of Abnormal Warm Winter Climate Events on Longdong Loess Plateau in Gansu

  • Received:2018-03-09 Revised:2019-04-10 Accepted:2018-06-19 Online:2019-04-26 Published:2019-04-26

摘要: 利用西峰国家基本气象站1950~2017年气温记录序列,采用WMO极端气候指数和线性倾向估计、M-K检验、EEMD等方法,结合暖冬等级的国家标准,统计分析甘肃陇东黄土高原庆阳市冬季气温的气候变化特征。结果表明:近60年以来,极端气候指数具有明显的突变特征,突变大多出现在上世纪80年代末期到21世纪初,并且这种突变并不表现为同步位相,冬季平均气温、平均最低气温、平均最高气温等年代际变化是梯次上升的,呈持续增暖趋势,暖冬气候事件明显增多,夜间最低气温升高对冬季增暖的贡献更大。2017年冬季的极端最低气温、平均气温、平均最低和平均最高气温均突破气象历史记录,即2017年冬季为1951年以来最暖的冬季。

关键词: 农业机械, 农业机械, 移栽机, 钵苗, 取送苗系统

Abstract: The climate characteristics of winter temperature in Qingyang, Loess Plateau of east Gansu, were analyzed according to the temperature record sequence of Xifeng National Basic Meteorological Observing Station from 1950 to 2017 by WMO extreme climate index linear propensity estimation, M-K test, EEMD, etc., following the national standard of warm winter grade. The results showed that the extreme climate index had abrupt change in the past 60 years, especially from the late 1980s to the early 21st century, besides, the abrupt change did not have synchronous phrase, the interdecadal variation including mean temperature, mean maximum and minimum temperature in winter rose in echelon, moreover, there was a continuing warming trend in winter and the events leading to climate warming were increasing, in particular, the rise of the minimum temperature at night contributed greatly to winter climate warming. In 2017, the extreme minimum temperature, mean air temperature, mean maximum and minimum temperature all broke the history record, in other words, the winter in 2017 was the warmest winter since 1951.