Theoretical and Applied Mechanics Japan
Online ISSN : 1349-4244
Print ISSN : 1348-0693
ISSN-L : 1348-0693
IV. NUMERICAL COMPUTATIONS
Selection of Plausible Time Series Models for the Nikkei 225 Index
Shiwei ZUOKazou KISHIMOTO
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2004 Volume 53 Pages 281-289

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Abstract

This paper tries to select a plausibe heteroskedastic time series model which explains the daily logarithmic returns of the Nikkei 225 index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange from Jan.4, 1950 through Dec.30, 1999. Several new summary statistics are presented for this purpose. The results depend on its subperiods. On the average, among AR(1), ARMA(1,1) and nine GARCH type models we studied, ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model is found to be plausible.

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© 2004 by National Committee for IUTAM
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