Cars sit in multiple lanes of traffic on a congested road in Mexico. A man in a business suit with a yellow object under his arm is crossing the road in front of the vehicles with his back to the camera.
Fossil fuel burning is the biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions in Mexico. Credit: Curt Carnemark, World Bank Photo Collection/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
Source: Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences

Mexico’s greenhouse gas emissions are the second highest among Latin American countries, trailing only Brazil according to the World Bank. But until now, no one had leveraged the full spectrum of available scientific data to make an estimate of sources (such as fossil fuel burning and agriculture) and sinks (such as healthy forests and soils) of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Calculating the country’s greenhouse gas budget could help policymakers develop effective emissions reduction strategies.

Murray-Tortarolo et al. calculate Mexico’s first comprehensive greenhouse gas budget based on estimates from multiple data sources of greenhouse gas fluxes in the country between 2000 and 2019. The team used data from the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Phase 2, official national budgets, and several other scientific reports and studies in their analysis. They found that different sources of data broadly told the same story about anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions from sources including fossil fuel burning and agriculture. However, there were discrepancies when it came to natural emissions sources such as wetlands and natural sinks such as forests and soils. In particular, the researchers found that studies may be overestimating the role that land ecosystems play in removing carbon from the atmosphere.

The analysis comes at a particularly important time for Mexico, which recently reported an increase in greenhouse gas emissions after more than a decade of reductions. The researchers note that limited data exist about areas such as the role of aquatic systems and methane consumption by soil. They believe their findings can help guide future scientific research and enable lawmakers to target the greatest sources of emissions. (Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007667, 2024)

—Rachel Fritts (@rachel_fritts), Science Writer

Citation: Fritts, R. (2024), Researchers develop Mexico’s first comprehensive greenhouse gas budget, Eos, 105, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EO240013. Published on 8 January 2024.
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