Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-wq484 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T06:03:13.868Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Denominational Conflicts and Party Breakthrough: The Negative Case of the All-German People’s Party

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 April 2022

Matthias Dilling*
Affiliation:
Department of Politics and International Relations, Oxford University, OxfordOX1 3UQ, UK

Abstract

National party breakthrough has often been attributed to new or previously minor parties seizing favorable political opportunities. The role of their strategic choices in response to political opportunities, however, has been underexplored because less attention has been paid to relevant negative cases, that is instances when parties encounter favorable conditions without breaking through. This article argues for a historical perspective when selecting these cases and investigates an often overlooked case from Germany’s early postwar democracy: Gustav Heinemann’s All-German People’s Party (GVP). Relying on archival data and historical research, this article reconstructs the conflicts between Catholics and Protestants that provided Heinemann with initially favorable conditions for party breakthrough. Strategic decisions on coalition building, the timing of party formation, and organization building explain the GVP’s failure to seize the opportunity. These findings highlight the importance of case selection as a part of the “historical turn” in political science and of new parties’ agency when explaining (the lack of) party breakthrough. The implications of these findings for the literature on new parties, case selection, and party system development are discussed.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Social Science History Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Archival Sources

Adenauer, Konrad (1952) Letter to Kaiser. October 2, BA-NL18/460-1.Google Scholar
Bach, Ernst (1951a) Letter to Adenauer. November 13, ACDP-04-001-008/1.Google Scholar
Bach, Ernst (1951b) Letter to Ehlers. December 7, ACDP-04-001-008/1.Google Scholar
Blumenfeld, Erik (1953) Letter to Ehlers. May 9, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Buchstab, Günter (1986) Adenauer: “Es mußte alles neu gemacht werden.” Stuttgart: Klett-Cotta, leadership committee minutes July 3, 1951; September 6, 1951; September 27, 1951; October 29, 1951; October 17, 1952; May 22, 1953.Google Scholar
Bundesarchiv online (1950) Dokumente. www.bundesarchiv.de/cocoon/barch/0001/k/k1950k/kap1_4/index.html (accessed July 23, 2021).Google Scholar
Deutscher Bundestag (1952) 240. Sitzung. Minutes, December 3, dip21.bundestag.de/dip21/btp/01/01240.pdf (accessed September 18, 2020).Google Scholar
Deutschland-Union-Dienst (1950) “Der Fall Gereke.” June 14, www.kas.de/c/document_library/get_file?uuid=9c2a179c-5453-c10b-7eca-f826b6466480&groupId=252038 (accessed July 14, 2021).Google Scholar
dpa (1950) “Eine Partei Heinemann?” December 3, BA-NL 18/460-1.Google Scholar
EAK [Evangelischer Arbeitskreis] (1952) Entschließung Siegener Tagung. ACDP-01-483-053/3.Google Scholar
EAK (1953) Geschäftsführender Ausschuss. Minutes, February 3, ACDP-04-001-002/2.Google Scholar
Ehlers, Hermann (1953) Letter to Heinemann. July 30, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Heinemann, Gustav (1952a) Letter to Kaiser. October 27, BA-NL18/460-1.Google Scholar
Heinemann, Gustav (1952b) Letter to Simpfendörfer. October 13, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Heinemann, Gustav (1953a) Letter to Böhrnsen. January 9, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Heinemann, Gustav (1953b) Letter to Ehlers. April 30, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Kaiser, Jakob (1950) Letter to Toussaint. November 21, BA-NL 18/460-1.Google Scholar
Kaiser, Jakob (1951) Letter to Adenauer. November 12, BA-NL18/460-1.Google Scholar
Lehr, Robert (1950) Letter to Dibelius. November 24, StBKAH-B3-021-298.Google Scholar
Sethe, Paul (1950) “Arnold gegen Adenauer. Und Heinemann?” FAZ, December 5, BA-NL 18/460-2.Google Scholar
Simpfendörfer, Wilhem (1952a) Letter to Heinemann. September 17, ACDP-01-369-007/1.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simpfendörfer, Wilhem (1952b) Letter to Heinemann. October 30, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar
Simpfendörfer, Wilhem (1953) Letter to Ehlers. March 21, ACDP-01-369-007/1.Google Scholar

References

Abou-Chadi, Tarik (2016) “Niche party success and mainstream party policy shifts: How Green and radical right parties differ in their impact.British Journal of Political Science 46 (2): 417–36.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Art, David (2011) Inside the Radical Right. Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Arzheimer, Kai, and Carter, Elisabeth (2006) “Political opportunity structures and right-wing extremist party success.European Journal of Political Research 45 (3): 419–43.Google Scholar
Backes, Uwe, and Mudde, Cas (2000) “Germany: Extremism without successful parties.Parliamentary Affairs 53 (3): 457–68.Google Scholar
Bennett, George (2010) “Process tracing and causal inference,” in Brady, Henry and Collier, David (eds.) Rethinking Social Inquiry. Rowman and Littlefield: 179–89.Google Scholar
Birnir, Jóhanna (2004) “Stabilizing party systems and excluding segments of society? The effects of formation costs on new party foundation in Latin America.Studies in Comparative International Development 39 (3): 327.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bösch, Frank (2001) Die Adenauer-CDU: Gründung, Aufstieg und Krise einer Erfolgspartei. Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt.Google Scholar
Bolleyer, Nicole (2013) New Parties in Old Party Systems: Persistence and Decline. Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bolleyer, Nicole, and Bytzek, Evelyn (2017) “New party performance after breakthrough: Party origin, building, and leadership.Party Politics 23 (6): 772–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bundeswahlleiter (2018) Ergebnisse früherer Bundestagswahlen. Bundeswahlleiter.Google Scholar
Butterfield, Herbert (1959 [1931]) The Whig Interpretation of History. Bell and Sons.Google Scholar
Capoccia, Giovanni, and Ziblatt, Daniel (2010) “The historical turn in democratization studies: A new research agenda for Europe and beyond.Comparative Political Studies 43 (8/9): 931–68.Google Scholar
Cary, Noel (1996) The Path to Christian Democracy: German Catholics and the Party System from Windthorst to Adenauer. Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conway, John (1992) “The political role of German Protestantism, 1870–1990.Journal of Church and State 34 (4) 819–42.Google Scholar
Dalton, Russell (2006) Citizen Politics: Public Opinion and Political Parties in Advanced Industrial Democracies. Congressional Quarterly Press.Google Scholar
De Jonge, Léonie (2021) “The curious case of Belgium: Why is there no right-wing populism in Wallonia?Government and Opposition 56 (4) 598614.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dietzfelbinger, Eckart (1984) Die westdeutsche Friedensbewegung 1948 bis 1955: Die Protestaktionen gegen die Remilitarisierung der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Pahl-Rugenstein.Google Scholar
Dinas, Elias, Georgiadou, Vassiliki, and Konstantinidis, Iannis (2016) “From dusk to dawn: Local party organization and party success of right-wing extremism.Party Politics 22 (1): 8092.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Drummond, Gordon (1982) The German Social Democrats in Opposition, 1949–1960. University of Oklahoma Press.Google Scholar
Emigh, Rebecca (1997) “The power of negative thinking: The use of negative case methodology in the development of sociological theory.Theory and Society 26 (5): 649–84.Google Scholar
Farrer, Benjamin (2015) “Connecting niche party vote change in first- and second-order elections.Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 25 (4): 482503.Google Scholar
Frøland, Hans Otto, Georg Jakobson, Tor, and Berrefjord Osa, Peder (2019) “Two Germanys? Investigating the religious and social base of the 1930 Nazi electorate.Social Science History 43 (4): 765–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Golder, Matt (2003) “Explaining variation in the success of extreme right parties in Western Europe.Comparative Political Studies 36 (4): 432–66.Google Scholar
Görtemaker, Manfred (1999) Geschichte der Bundesrepublik Deutschland: Von der Gründung bis zur Gegenwart. Beck.Google Scholar
Hanley, Séan, Szczerbiak, Aleks, Haughton, Tim, and Fowler, Brigid (2008) “Sticking together: Explaining comparative center-right party success in post-communist central and eastern Europe.Party Politics 14 (4): 407–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hehl, Ulrich von (1999) “Konfessionelle Irritationen in der frühen Bundesrepublik.” Historisch-Politische Mitteilungen (6): 167–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heimann, Siegfried (1984) “Die Gesamtdeutsche Volkspartei,” in Stöss, Richard (ed.) Parteien-Handbuch: Die Parteien der Bundesrepublik Deutschland 1945–1980: FDP – WAV. Opladen: Westdeutscher Verlag: 14781508.Google Scholar
Hobolt, Sara, and de Vries, Catherine (2015) “Issue entrepreneurship and multiparty competition.Comparative Political Studies 48 (9): 1159–85.Google Scholar
Hoeth, Lutz (2007) “Die Evangelische Kirche und die Wiederbewaffnung Deutschlands in den Jahren 1945-1958.” PhD diss., Technische Universität Berlin.Google Scholar
Holl, Karl (1988) Pazifismus in Deutschland. Suhrkamp.Google Scholar
Hug, Simon (2001) Altering Party Systems: Strategic Behavior and the Emergence of New Political Parties in Western Democracies. University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hüllen, Rudolf van (n.d.) “Neonazistische Kleinstparteien: ‘Die Rechte’ und ‘Der III. Weg.’” Konrad Adenauer Foundation, www.kas.de/de/web/rechtsextremismus/neonazistische-kleinstparteien-die-rechte-und-der-iii.-weg- (accessed August 18, 2020).Google Scholar
Ignazi, Piero (1992) “The silent counter-revolution: Hypothesis on the emergence of extreme right-wing parties in Europe.European Journal of Political Research 22 (1): 334.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jobke, Barbara (1974) “Aufsteig und Verfall einer wertorientierten Bewegung: Dargestellt am Beispiel der Gesamtdeutschen Volkspartei.” PhD diss., Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen.Google Scholar
King, Gary, and Zeng, Langche (2001) “Logistic regression in rare events data.Political Analysis 9 (2): 137–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kitschelt, Herbert (1988) “Left-libertarian parties: Explaining innovation in competitive party systems.World Politics 40 (2): 194234.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kitschelt, Herbert (1994) The Transformation of European Social Democracy. Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klein, Michael (2005) Westdeutscher Protestantismus und politische Parteien: Anti-Parteien-Mentalität und parteipolitisches Engagement von 1945 bis 1963. Mohr Siebeck.Google Scholar
Koch, Dieter (1972) Heinemann und die Deutschlandfrage. Kaiser.Google Scholar
Kreuzer, Marcus (2009) “How party systems form: Path dependency and the institutionalization of the post-war German party system.British Journal of Political Science 39 (4): 669–97.Google Scholar
Lipset, Seymour, and Rokkan, Stein (1967) “Cleavage structures, party systems and voter alignments: An introduction,” in Lipset, Seymour, and Rokkan, Stein (eds.) Party Systems and Voter Alignments. Free Press: 164.Google Scholar
Loewenberg, Gerhard (1971) “The remaking of the German party system,” in Dogan, Mattei and Rose, Richard (eds.) European Politics: A Reader. Little Brown: 259–80.Google Scholar
Löwke, Udo (1969) Für den Fall, dass: Die Haltung der SPD zur Wehrfrage 1949–1955. Verlag für Literatur und Zeitgeschehen.Google Scholar
Lucardie, Paul (2000) “Prophets, purifiers, and prolocutors.Party Politics 6 (2): 175–85.Google Scholar
Mahoney, James, and Goertz, Garry (2004) “The possibility principle: Choosing negative cases in comparative research.American Political Science Review 98 (4): 653–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marzouki, Nadia, and McDonnell, Duncan (2016) “Populism and religion,” in Marzouki, Nadia, McDonnell, Duncan , and Roy, Olivier (eds.) Saving the People: How Populists Hijack Religion. Hurst: 111.Google Scholar
Meguid, Bonnie (2008) Party Competition between Unequals: Strategies and Electoral Fortunes in Western Europe. Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Merritt, Richard, and James Puchala, Donald (1968) Western European Perspectives on International Affairs: Public Opinion Studies and Evaluations. Praeger.Google Scholar
Meyer, David, and Minkoff, Debra (2004) “Conceptualizing political opportunity.Social Forces 82 (4): 1457–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meyn, Hermann (1965) Die Deutsche Partei: Entwicklung und Problematik einer national-konservativen Rechtspartei nach 1945. Düsseldorf.Google Scholar
Mitchell, Maria (2012) The Origins of Christian Democracy: Politics and Confession in Modern Germany. University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Møller, Jørgen (2017) “The birth of representative institutions: The case of the crown of Aragon.Social Science History 41 (2): 175200.Google Scholar
Møller, Jørgen (2020) “Feet of clay? How to review political science papers that make use of the work of historians.PS: Political Science & Politics 53 (2): 253–57.Google Scholar
Møller, Jørgen (2021) “Reading history forward.PS: Political Science & Politics 54 (2): 249–53.Google Scholar
Müller, Josef (1990) Die Gesamtdeutsche Volkspartei: Entstehung und Politik unter dem Primat nationaler Wiedervereiningung, 1950–1957. Droste.Google Scholar
Noelle-Neumann, Elisabeth, and Neumann, Erich (1975) Jahrbuch der Öffentlichen Meinung, 1947–1955, 3rd ed. Allensbach: Verlag für Demoskopie.Google Scholar
O’Malley, Eoin (2008) “Why is there no radical right party in Ireland?West European Politics 31 (5): 960–77.Google Scholar
Pearson, Benjamin (2010) “The pluralization of Protestant politics: Public responsibility, rearmament, and division at the 1950s Kirchentage.Central European History 43 (2): 270300.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pridham, Geoffrey (1977) Christian Democracy in Western Germany: The CDU/CSU in Government and Opposition. 1945–1976. Croom Helm.Google Scholar
Przeworski, Adam, and Sprague, John (1986) Paper Stones: A History of Electoral Socialism. Chicago University Press.Google Scholar
Reigrotzki, Erich (2015) Bundesstudie 1953. GESIS Datenarchiv, Köln. ZA0145 Datenfile Version 2.0.0: doi:10.4232/1.11992.Google Scholar
Riker, William (1986) The Art of Political Manipulation. Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Rogers, Daniel (1995) Politics after Hitler: The Western Allies and the German Party System. Macmillan.Google Scholar
Rohrschneider, Robert (2015) “Is there a regional cleavage in Germany’s party system? Ideological congruence in Germany 1980–2013.German Politics 24 (3): 354–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rohrschneider, Robert, and Whitefield, Stephen (2012) The Strain of Representation: How Parties Represent Diverse Voters in Western and Eastern Europe. Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rovny, Jan (2013) “Where do radical right parties stand? Position blurring in multidimensional competition.European Political Science Review 5 (1): 126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sauer, Thomas (1999) Westorientierung im Deutschen Protestantismus? Vorstellungen und Tätigkeit des Kronberger Kreises. Oldenbourg.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schmollinger, Horst (1984) “Die Deutsche Partei,” in Stöss, Richard (ed.) Parteien-Handbuch: Die Parteien der Bundesrepublik Deutschland 1945–1980: FDP–WAV. Westdeutscher Verlag: 10251111.Google Scholar
Schoenberg, Hans (1971) Germans from the East: A Study of Their Migration, Resettlement and Subsequent Group History since 1945. Nijhoff.Google Scholar
Schröder, Valentin (2013) Bundestagswahlen. Wahlkreisabsprachen, www.wahlen-in-deutschland.de/buWkrabsprachen.htm (accessed June 3, 2021).Google Scholar
Schubert, Klaus von (1970) Wiederbewaffnung und Westintegration: Die Innere Auseinandersetzung um die militärische und außenpolitische Orientierung der Bundesrepublik 1950–1952. Stuttgart: Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schwarz, Hans-Peter (1995) Konrad Adenauer: A German Politician and Statesman in a Period of War, Revolution and Reconstruction. Vol. 1, From the German Empire to the Federal Republic, 1876–1952. Berghain.Google Scholar
Sikk, Allan (2012) “Newness as a winning formula for new political parties.Party Politics 18 (4): 465–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stubager, Rune (2018) “What is issue ownership and how should we measure it?Political Behavior 40 (2): 345–70.Google Scholar
Volkmann, Hans-Erich (1988) “Adenauer und die deutschlandpolitischen Opponenten in CDU und CSU,” in Forschepoth, Josef (ed.) Adenauer und die deutsche Frage. Vandenhoeck & Ruprecht: 183206.Google Scholar
Von Alemann, Ulrich (2010) Das Parteiensystem der Bundesrepublik Deutschland. Bundeszentrale für Politische Bildung.Google Scholar
Vosskamp, Sabine (2007) Katholische Kirche und Vertriebene in Westdeutschland: Integration, Identität und ostpolitischer Diskurs 1945–1972. Stuttgart.Google Scholar
Warner, Carolyn (2000) Confessions of an Interest Group: The Catholic Church and Political Parties in Europe. Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Dilling supplementary material

Dilling supplementary material

Download Dilling supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 407.5 KB