台灣股票市場中,投資者如何做正確適當的投資就越來越重要。根據股票投資的方法大致分為基本面、技術面及籌碼面分析,基本面分析是股價變動的根本原因,基於總體經濟變數等外在因素及內在因素影響,根據以往研究指出總體經濟與股價之間有相當程度的波動關係,且有一定的預測力,因而使用總體經濟變數作為本研究探討標的。 現今國際股票市場具有連動性的情勢越來越明顯,本研究以總體經濟變數探討特定地區、區域及全球三層概念進行各國與各國之間的連動研究,以往研究大多使用財務計量模型來衡量,而本研究利用資料探勘中的關聯規則方法探討台灣類股之間與台灣、日本、中國及美國總經之間的關聯性。針對探勘出來的規則模型,本研究建構一個可互動之視覺化平台呈現模型資訊,提供投資者一個便利使用的支援決策模型平台,以協助投資人做為投資股市時的參考。
In the Taiwan stock market, it is increasingly important for investors to do the correct investment. According to the methods of stock investment, it is divided into fundamental, technical and chip analysis. Fundamental analysis which based on the external variables such as macro-economic factors and the internal variables is the fundamental reason for the change of stock price. According to the previous research, there is a considerable degree of volatility relation, and there is a predictable ability to certain extent. Base on the above viewpoints, this study utilized macro-economic factors as the subject of this research. The gearing effect of international stock market is more obvious now. This study utilizes macro-economic factors to explore the specific region, local and global three-tier concept between country and country of volatility relation research. In the past, most of studies utilized financial measurement model to measure. This study explores the correlational analysis between Taiwan stock market and Taiwan, Japan, China and the US macro-economic factors by using association rules in data mining. In this paper, we construct an interactive visualization platform to present the model information, providing a support decision model platform which is more convenient to use for investors, and help investors as a reference for investing in the stock market.