環境保護這個議題隨著全球經濟發展已經不斷慢慢地擴張,其中包含的項目有:都市沙漠化、雨林減少、環境污染…等,而目前最炙熱的議題則屬溫室氣體。各國為了提倡環境保護的重要,紛紛提出了適合自已國家的政策與配套措施。 台灣在國際上的地位雖然較為敏感,但仍屬於這個地球村的一份子,對於環境保護在近幾年來也漸漸受到重視,而政府預計在今年(2010)課徵「能源稅」,其目的是為能兼顧節能、財政、環保…等目標,並根據污染者付費、使用者成本、能源安全等原則所制訂,政府為了讓民眾能適應且調速生產製程與生活習慣,將課稅的金額分十年逐步調整。 除了課徵能源稅外,我國目前能源政策還包括了能源效率提升、綠色產業發展…等,而本文主要的研究方向是利用可計算一般均衡模型(Computable General Equilibrium, CGE),透過能源機制、投資分配與動態預期的建立,評估在課徵能源稅的情況下,藉由比較各變數來分析能源效率提升及綠色產業發展這兩個情境下,國內經濟效果的呈現並探討其差異的原因。
The topic of environmental protection is become more and more popular, it is included: desertification, destruction of rainforest and pollution…etc; Nowadays the not topic is Green House Gases. Each country set up different fitted policies and supplementary measures. In Taiwan, the government will implement energy tax system at 2010; the purpose of this policy is to give consideration to save energy, finance and environmental protection. Energy tax is determined by user pay, the cost of user and safe energy, the taxation is adjusted the amount by 10 years, because the government let the public can accommodate to the new policy. Except the policy of energy tax, nowadays the policies are included: increasing the energy-efficiency, developing the green industries…etc. I used the CGE model (Computable General Equilibrium, CGE), energy formula, invest formula and moving anticipate formula to evaluate the economic and environment effects from different scenarios which consider multiple policies. In this thesis can found developing green industries is the best policy by face of economy, welfare and industries.