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強制性財務預測誤差與盈餘管理關係:20%門檻限制影響之研究

Mandatory Management Forecast Errors as a Variable to Earnings Manipulation, with a 20% Hurdle Set by TAIEX Regulators

摘要


本研究探討國內企業是否改變帳面盈餘降低強制性財測誤差,檢視20%誤差限制盈餘管理影響。由於20%門檻為我國特有,本研究以全屬原創之主題與設計,探究企業因應管制規範之「對策」與可能扭曲。實証發現(1)全體強制性財測樣本(流動)裁決性應計盈餘顯著為正;進一步劃分樣本,財測高估與低估組(流動)裁決性應計盈餘都顯著為正;(2)操控前財測誤差高(低)估者會調高(降)(流動)裁決性應計盈餘;(3)操控前財測高(低)估者似藉票券損益調高(降)盈餘;觀諸操控後數據,不論帳面誤差高、低估者,在誤差趨近但未逾20%時,(流動)裁決性應計絕對顯著大於逾門檻者,也大於未超出但離門檻較遠公司。

並列摘要


This study explores whether firms listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange manipulate their mandatory management forecast errors (FE's) for fear of regulators' stop orders for the pending debt/equity offerings . We also examine the extent to which the 20% hurdle for FE's affects the significance of these FE's in explaining the magnitude of companies ' earnings management. Our empirical results support the notion of strategic manipulation. First, in our full, optimistic and pessimistic sample firms. companies' discretionary current accrual components (DCA's) in reported earnings are all significantly positive. Second, greater (less) DCA's appear to follow firms' optimistic (pessimistic) forecasts. Third, firms with negative (positive) pre-manipulation FE's appear to boost their security gains (losses). Consistently, DCA's for firms with percentage FE's immediately below 20% are significantly greater as opposed to those of the observations substantially beyond or below the hurdle.

被引用紀錄


蔡謹薇(2013)。專業承諾與盈餘管理意圖關聯性之探討:以個人利益為干擾變數〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2013.00349
洪小芬(2005)。盈餘及盈餘管理特性對分析師預測之影響〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2005.00688
黃姿晴(2014)。投資現金流量敏感度對自願性財務預測之關聯性〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201400320
洪珮綾(2010)。分擔式意見對盈餘屬性及盈餘資訊性之影響〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201000256
李叔寶(2007)。盈餘管理與報酬關係之研究─以宣告贖回可轉換公司債為例〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu200700373

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