EGU24-19897, updated on 18 Apr 2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19897
EGU General Assembly 2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Long-Term Trends and Drivers of Hailstorms in Switzerland

Lena Wilhelm1, Olivia Martius1, Katharina Schröer2, and Cornelia Schwierz3
Lena Wilhelm et al.
  • 1Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
  • 2Institute of Environmental Social Sciences and Geography, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
  • 3Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology, MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland

Climate change affects the severity and frequency of extreme meteorological events, including hailstorms. In this regard, it is imperative to understand the factors driving the intra- and interannual variability of hailstorms. In Switzerland, this remains insufficiently understood. To address this knowledge gap, our study conducts a long-term analysis to identify potential drivers and precursors of Swiss hailstorm variability. Due to the lack of long-term data on Swiss hailstorms, we developed statistical models reconstructing hail days from 1959 to 2022, utilizing radar-based hail observations and environmental data from ERA-5. Our hailday time series shows a statistically significant positive trend in yearly hail days in both southern and northern Switzerland. This trend is mainly attributed to heightened atmospheric instability and moisture content evident in recent decades' ERA-5 data. Noteworthy natural variability is observed in both regions. To delve into the large-scale mechanisms influencing Swiss hail activity, our study uses composites to explore potential drivers and precursors. Those include soil moisture conditions, sea surface temperature anomalies, large-scale variability patterns (Piper and Kunz 2017), central European weather types (e.g., Rohrer et al. 2018), cold fronts (Schemm et al. 2015, 2016), and atmospheric blocks (e.g. Barras et al. 2021). 

How to cite: Wilhelm, L., Martius, O., Schröer, K., and Schwierz, C.: Long-Term Trends and Drivers of Hailstorms in Switzerland, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-19897, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-19897, 2024.