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Predicting the Role of Islamic Banking on Sustainable Economic Development: An Analysis for Turkey With ARIMA Model

Serkan Eti, Hakan Kalkavan, Hasan Dinçer, Serhat Yüksel

Source Title: Handbook of Research on Creating Sustainable Value in the Global Economy

ISBN13: 9781799811961|ISBN10: 1799811964|ISBN13 Softcover: 9781799811978|EISBN13: 9781799811985

DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1196-1.ch009

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MLA

Eti, Serkan, et al. "Predicting the Role of Islamic Banking on Sustainable Economic Development: An Analysis for Turkey With ARIMA Model." Handbook of Research on Creating Sustainable Value in the Global Economy, edited by Ulas Akkucuk, IGI Global, 2020, pp. 146-164. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-1196-1.ch009

APA

Eti, S., Kalkavan, H., Dinçer, H., & Yüksel, S. (2020). Predicting the Role of Islamic Banking on Sustainable Economic Development: An Analysis for Turkey With ARIMA Model. In U. Akkucuk (Ed.), Handbook of Research on Creating Sustainable Value in the Global Economy (pp. 146-164). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-1196-1.ch009

Chicago

Eti, Serkan, et al. "Predicting the Role of Islamic Banking on Sustainable Economic Development: An Analysis for Turkey With ARIMA Model." In Handbook of Research on Creating Sustainable Value in the Global Economy, edited by Ulas Akkucuk, 146-164. Hershey, PA: IGI Global, 2020. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-1196-1.ch009

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Abstract

This chapter aims to predict the future of Islamic banking in Turkey. Three different Islamic banks operating in Turkey were taken to the scope of review. Within this framework, six different variables that are important for the banking sector have been identified. The data of these variables in the 2010-2018 period were analyzed by ARIMA method, and six different models were established. As a result, it is predicted that Islamic banking will grow in the future, and its profitability will increase. However, the ratio of non-performing loans is expected to increase, and capital is expected to decrease. Therefore, Islamic banks should be more cautious in this growth process. In this context, it is important to conduct an effective credibility analysis of customers to be loaned. This situation has a contributing effect on the sustainable economic development of the country.

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Predicting the Role of Islamic Banking on Sustainable Economic Development: An Analysis for Turkey With ARIMA Model

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