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Short-range Streamflow Forecasting for Russian Rivers Using the HBV-96 Model and the COSMO-Ru System

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Abstract

A method for short-range forecasting of average daily streamflow is proposed. The method uses the HBV-96 conceptual model of river runoff formation and the COSMO-Ru operational numerical weather prediction system. The method has been implemented for 546 river basins located throughout Russia. An archive of the required hydrometeorological information for the period from 2010 to 2019 has been formed. The method has been developed using the data for the first seven years and verified on independent material with the ones for the last three years. The verification results have shown that the method allows obtaining satisfactory forecasts for a quite large number of river basins. The results make it possible to use the proposed method within the framework of an automated system for preparing and issuing short-range forecasts for the Russian river streamflow.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation, 123242, Moscow, Russia

    Yu. A. Simonov, S. V. Borsch, N. K. Semenova & A. V. Khristoforov

Authors
  1. Yu. A. Simonov
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  2. S. V. Borsch
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  3. N. K. Semenova
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  4. A. V. Khristoforov
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Correspondence to Yu. A. Simonov.

Additional information

Translated from Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2023, No. 12, pp. 37-46. https://doi.org/10.52002/0130-2906-2023-12-37-46.

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Simonov, Y.A., Borsch, S.V., Semenova, N.K. et al. Short-range Streamflow Forecasting for Russian Rivers Using the HBV-96 Model and the COSMO-Ru System. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 48, 1011–1018 (2023). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373923120014

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373923120014

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