Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Estimation of Seismic Hazards of Low-Active Areas: Case Study of Kerch–Taman Region

  • Published:
Seismic Instruments Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The paper presents the results of recent paleoseismological and archeoseismological investigations of the Kerch–Taman region. Data are obtained on local potential sources of large earthquakes that determine the seismic hazard level. The investigations convincingly show that the seismic activity level of the instrumental period of observations does not always characterize the real seismic hazard, even very generally. Seismogenerating zones with expected magnitudes of subsequent earthquakes ranging from 6.0 to 7.0 are revealed. The results allow us to conclude that the region is presently at the stage of seismic quiescence, probably before a large earthquake.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 7.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. Belik, Yu.M., Korzhenkov, A.M., Kulikov, A.S., Larkov, A.S., Marahanov, A.V., Ovsyuchenko, A.N., and Rogozhin, E.A., Seismogenic deformations in the walls of the late medieval Yeni-Kale fortress in Eastern Crimea, Seism. Instrum., 2017, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 17–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Borisenko, L.S., Pustovitenko, B.G., Dublyanskii, V.N., Vakhrushev, B.A., Klyukin, A.A., Ena, A.V., and Kitin, M.A., Seismodislocation and paleoseismicity of Crimea, in Seismologicheskii byulleten’ Ukrainy za 1997 god (Seismological Bulletin of Ukraine for 1997), Simferopol: Inst. Geofiz. Nats. Akad. Nauk. Ukr., 1999, pp. 101–132.

  3. Geologiya i geodinamika raiona Krymskoi AES (Geology and Geodynamics of the Crimean NPP Area), Gavrilenko, N.M. and Chekunov, A.V., eds., Kiev: Naukova dumka, 1992.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Korzhenkov, A.M. and Mazor, E., Structural reconstruction of seismic events: Ruins of ancient buildings as fossil seismographs, Sci. New Technol., 1999, no. 1, pp. 62–74.

  5. Korzhenkov, A.M. and Mazor, E., Structural reconstruction of seismic events: Seismographic evidence from ruins of ancient cities, Izv. Minist. Obraz. Nauki Resp. Kaz., Nats. Akad. Nauk Resp. Kaz., Ser. Obshchestv. Nauk, 2001, no. 1, pp. 108–125.

  6. Korzhenkov, A.M., Ovsyuchenko, A.N., and Lar’kov, A.S., Seismic deformations in the ancient town of Ilurat, Priroda, 2016a, no. 10, pp. 30–38.

  7. Korzhenkov, A.M., Lar’kov, A.S., Marakhanov, A.V., Molev, E.A., Ovsyuchenko, A.N., Rogozhin, E.A., and Khrshanovskii, V.A., Traces of strong earthquakes in defensive walls of the ancient town of Kytaion, Kerch Peninsula, in Elita Bospora i bosporskaya elitarnaya kul’tura: Materialy mezhdunarodnogo kruglogo stola (Noblemen of Cimmerian Bosporus and Their Culture: Proceedings of the International Workshop), St. Petersburg: PALLATsO, 2016b, pp. 372–381.

  8. Kulikov, A.V., On chronology of cultural layers in the Akra ancient settlement, in Bosporskii fenomen: problemy khronologii i datirovki pamyatnikov, Ch. 1 (The Phenomenon of Bosporus: Problems of Chronology and Dating Its Monuments, Pt. 1), St. Petersburg: Izd. Gos. Ermitazha, 2004, pp. 160–163.

  9. Nikonov, A.A., Signs of recent tectonic activity in the zones of the South Azov and Kerch faults, Geotektonika, 1994, no. 5, pp. 16–28.

  10. Nikonov, A.A., Seismic potential of the Crimean region: Comparison of regional maps and parameters of recognized events, Izv., Phys. Solid Earth, 2000, vol. 33, no. 7, pp. 575−584.

    Google Scholar 

  11. Nikonov, A.A., Specified solutions for the macroseismic field and focal mechanisms of the 1927 Crimean earthquakes, Geofiz. Issled., 2012, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 50–78.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Nikonov, A.A., Ancient destructive earthquakes in Chersonesus Taurica and their importane for a long-term seismic hazard assessment of the Southwestern Crimea region, Seism. Instrum., 2016, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 164–194.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Ovsyuchenko, A.N., Shvarev, S.V., Lar’kov, A.S., Marakhanov, A.V., Traces of strong earthquakes in the Kerch–Taman region from geological data, Vopr. Inzh. Seismol., 2015, vol. 42, no. 3, pp. 33–54.

    Google Scholar 

  14. Ovsyuchenko, A.N., Korzhenkov, A.M., Lar’kov, A.S., Marakhanov, A.N., and Rogozhin, E.A., New findings on the sources of strong earthquakes in Kerch Peninsula based on paleoseismological data, Dokl. Earth Sci., 2017, vol. 472, no. 1, pp. 53–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Paleoseismology, vol. 95 of Int. Geophys. Ser., McCalpin, J.P., Ed., 2nd ed., New York: Academic, 2009.

  16. Pustovitenko, B.G., Kul’chitskii, V.E., and Goryachun, A.V., Zemletryaseniya Krymsko-Chernomorskogo regiona (Earthquakes of the Crimean–Black-Sea Region), Kiev: Nauk. dumka, 1989.

  17. Rogozhin, E.A., Ocherki regional’noi seismotektoniki (Overview of Regional Seismotectonics), Moscow: Inst. Fiz. Zemli Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2012.

  18. Rogozhin, E.A., Gorbatikov, A.V., and Ovsyuchenko, A.N., Active faults and deep structure of the Kerch Strait zone, Geol. Geofiz.Yuga Ross., 2015, no. 1, pp. 63–66.

  19. Florensov, N.A., Neotectonics and seismicity of the Mongolian–Baikalian mountain region, Geol. Geofiz., 1960, no. 1, pp. 74–90.

  20. Shebalin, N.V. and Leydecker, G., Earthquake Catalogue for the Former Soviet Union and Borders up to 1988, Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the EC, 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  21. Shilik, K.K., Another city on the bottom of the Kerch Strait, in Chelovek, more, tekhnika (Human, Sea, and Technics), Leningrad: Sudostroenie, 1988, pp. 191–193.

  22. Solonenko, V.P., Detection of epicentral zones of earthquakes from geological signs, Izv. Akad. Nauk SSSR. Ser. Geol., 1962, no. 11, pp. 58–74.

  23. SP 47.13330.2012. Inzhenernye izyskaniya dlya stroitel’stva. Osnovnye polozheniya. Aktualizirovannaya redaktsiya SNiP 11-02-96 (Guidelines 47.13330.2012. Engineering Prospecting for Building Purposes: Main Statements. Updated Version of SNiP 11-02-96), Moscow, 2013.

  24. United Geophysical Survey of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Bulletins and cataologs, 2016. http://www.ceme. gsras.ru/cgi-bin/new/catalog.pl?l=1. Accessed August 1, 2018.

  25. Vakhoneev, V.V., Akra submerged settlement and the sea level changes in the 4th century BC, in Bospor Kimmeriiskii i varvarskii mir v period antichnosti i srednevekov’ya. Geograficheskaya sreda i sotsium (Cimmerian Bosporus and Barbarians in the Antiquity and Middle Ages: Geographic Environment and Society), vol. XVI of Bosporskie chteniya (Reading on Cimmerian Bosporus), Kerch, 2015, pp. 43–47.

    Google Scholar 

  26. Vinokurov, N.I., Korzhenkov, A.M., and Rodkin, M.V., Seismic hazard assessment of the Kerch Strait region by archeoseismology data, Vopr. Inzh. Seismol., 2015, vol. 42, no. 2, pp. 51–66.

    Google Scholar 

  27. Yudin, V.V., Geodinamika Kryma (Geodynamics of Crimea), Simferopol: DIAIPI, 2011.

Download references

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The study was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (project no. 15-05-06197).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, 123242, Moscow, Russia

    A. N. Ovsyuchenko, A. M. Korzhenkov, A. S. Larkov, A. V. Marahanov & E. A. Rogozhin

Authors
  1. A. N. Ovsyuchenko
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. A. M. Korzhenkov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. A. S. Larkov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. A. V. Marahanov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. E. A. Rogozhin
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to A. N. Ovsyuchenko, A. M. Korzhenkov, A. S. Larkov, A. V. Marahanov or E. A. Rogozhin.

Additional information

Translated by N. Astafiev

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Ovsyuchenko, A.N., Korzhenkov, A.M., Larkov, A.S. et al. Estimation of Seismic Hazards of Low-Active Areas: Case Study of Kerch–Taman Region. Seism. Instr. 54, 565–572 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923918050109

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923918050109

Keywords:

Search

Navigation