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2006年杜哈亞運7人制橄欖球錦標賽各隊攻防勝負差異比較分析

An Analysis of Variance in offense-defense and Winning Games of the Sevens Rugby at Doha Asian Games 2007

摘要


本研究在探討2006年杜哈亞運7人制橄欖球錦標賽各對攻防勝負差異分析,以大會統計的11項攻防技術項目做為研究資料,運用共同因素分析、成對資料的t檢定、單因子變異數來進行統計分析。 研究發現10項攻防技術可聚成「團隊攻防行為」、「團隊二次進攻行為」、「團隊自由意識行為」等三項因素;透過成對資料t檢定,因素一「團隊攻防行為」達顯著;再以單因子變異數分析法進行差異比較在「團隊自由意識行為」因素達顯著差異,事後比較發現,韓國顯著高於印度、卡達;斯里蘭卡、泰國顯著高於印度,進一步分析瞭解在戰術上的成功擒抱次數較多其防守的積極性愈強,而在踢球次數愈少則能有效控制球權,方能把握突襲得分。 研究顯示,比賽的各項攻防記錄有其參考價值,未來可將橄欖球競賽中所呈現之戰力技術列入攻防記錄之項目;在採用「相對」概念的因素層面分數,能瞭解勝負隊之間最大差異點在達陣次數的多寡、達陣後的射門成功率、不成功擒抱的降低及嚴密有效的勒克來轉換球權並有效的掌控球權技術做深入的探討;在戰術上之運用應朝提升成功擒抱的次數與降低踢球之次數來進行訓練。

並列摘要


This study aims to analyze the variance in offense-defense on winning at the Asian Games in Doha, 2007, based on the data provided by the Games organizers, with statistic tools including common factor analysis, paired t-test, and ANOVA. The study shows that the 10 offense-defense techniques can be clustered into therr factors ”group offense-defense actions”, ”group second offensive actions”, and ”group free-will actions”. Paired t-test shows that the first factor ”offense-defense actions” reaches level of significance. One variable analysis of variance shows that ”group free-will actions” reaches level of significance. Ad hoc comparison shows that Korea to be significantly higher than India and Qatar, while Sri Lanka and Thailand were significantly higher than India. Further analysis discovers that activeness as shown in the higher ration of successful tackle to defense, together with the fewer occasions of kicking, then is the effective control of the ball higher, which in turn leads to raiding for score. The research shows that records on all items of defemse and offense are valuable material of reference, and it would be appropriate in the future to include game skill and tactics in such records. The points asigned to facors that are ”relative” in nature will help us to explore in depth the most decisive differences between the winning and losing teams lie in the number of touch downs, rate of success in gate kicks, the lowering of unsuccessful tackles, and effective locks for the transfer of ball control, as well as the fact that application in tactics can be achieved through training in raising the number of successful tackles and lowering the number of kicks.

參考文獻


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林宜德(2017)。我國國中橄欖球隊比賽技術現況分析與探討〔碩士論文,長榮大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0015-2406201718072100

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