Endometrial compaction and serum progesterone measurements at the day of embryo transfer cannot predict pregnancy outcomes in frozen-thaw embryo transfer cycles

Endometrial receptivity plays a basic role in successful embryo implantation and pregnancy outcomes and can be assessed by many of non-invasive markers. Our study evaluated the impact of two of these markers speci(cid:977)ically serum progesterone and endometrial thickness at embryo transfer day in prediction pregnancy outcomes on (60) patients attempting medicated frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles. All patients were received sequential estrogen & progesterone medications for endometrial preparation then submitted to measurements of endometrial thickness (EMT) by transvaginal-ultrasound (TV-US) & serums progesterone (P) analysis at the embryo transfer day, there-after day 3 veri(cid:977)ied-thawed embryos grades (A (cid:6) B) were transferred. Compacted (decreased) EMT was seen in 48.3% of patients with higher pregnancy rate (PR) of 58.6%t than non-compacted EMT (no change or increased) which was seen in 51.7% of patients with (PR) of 29.0%, (P value=0.021). How-ever ongoing pregnancy rate (Ong PR) not differed signi(cid:977)icantly between both groups (44.8% in compacted vs 25.8% in non-compacted, P value=0.053), also the means of serum P not differed between pregnant and non-pregnant patients (P value=0.374). ROC curves for Ong PR prediction in relations to endometrial compaction & serum progesterone at embryo transfer day were poor (AUC= 0.630, & AUC=0.576, respectively). This study suggested that endometrial compaction or serum P levels measurements at embryo transfer day were poor predictors for ongoing pregnancy where any kind of EMT changes (decreased or not) seen after P administration not signi(cid:977)icantly affect pregnancy outcomes in frozen-thaw cycles of cleavage stage embryos transfer.


INTRODUCTION
In our time frozen-thaw embryo transfer considers as a fundamental part of IVF cycles owing to the availability of advance cryopreservation techniques, its safety & increment of cumulative life birth rates (LBR) (Bosch et al., 2020). However, its implantation and pregnancy rates are not always superior compared to fresh cycles (Basirat et al., 2016). Recent attention has been paid more toward the endometrium since both euploid embryo & receptive endometrium sharing as equal as a role in determining embryo implantation and pregnancy out-comes (Casper, 2020).
EMT measurement by the US is one of the noninvasive markers of endometrial receptivity that had been suggested to predict pregnancy outcomes in IVF cycles. It's widely accepted since the US is a simple, cost-effective & more convenient tool (Zhao et al., 2012). A lot of studies evaluated EMT measurement before embryo transfer day as a predictive sign for pregnancy outcomes in medicated-FET cycles (El-Toukhy et al., 2008). While limited studies concentrated on measuring EMT at embryo transfer day, recent data are shedding the light on dynamic changes of EMT after P administration in frozen cycles as a predictors for pregnancy outcomes albeit with controversial conclusions (Forman, 2019).
In medicated-FET cycle, endometrial receptivity are induced arti icially. Hence, every effort are seem necessary to mimic normal physiology by optimizing steroid hormones concentration specifically P around a window of implantation (WOI) as endometrial receptivity acquired by the action of P on estrogen primed endometrium via its interaction with steroid receptors which are induced by estrogen itself (Lessey and Young, 2019). Progesterone down-regulates estrogen and epithelial progesterone receptors (ERs, PRs), while stromal PRs remains constant leading to antagonize the proliferative effect of estrogen ultimate in endometrial decidualization with structural, molecular changes resulting in a synthesis of many growth factors & cytokines facilitating embryo implantation (Punyadeera et al., 2003). There are robust agreements that serum P threshold must exceeding 5 ng/ml during WOI for acquiring endometrial secretory changes & receptivity. However, debates still persist about the adequacy of this level in expression all necessary genes for implantation and to tolerate pregnancy in arti icial cycles (Haas et al., 2019;Smith and Paulson, 2019).
Anyway, measurement of serum P at the end of estrogen phase in medicated-FET is logical as level exceeding 1.5 ng/ml indicating premature luteinazation perhaps due to escape ovulation in1 .9-7.4% of cycles that's required cycles cancellation (Mackens et al., 2017). However, controversial opinions regarding ideal serum P around the implantation period, especially at embryo transfer day in FET cycles utilizing different progesterone routes still persist (Coroleu and Gaggiotti-Marre, 2019). Given this controversial backgrounds, we performed a prospective study to observe serum P levels association with dynamic EMT changes on the embryo transfer day especially endometrial compaction and to see if both parameters can pre-dict Ong PR in frozen-thaw cycles of cleavage-stage embryo transfer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS
This was a prospective observational study of (60) FET cycles from October 2019 to April 2020 in the IVF department at AL Hayatt private Hospital in Najaf Ashraf-Iraq. The study was approved by the Institutional Review of Arab Board of Medical Specializations & from Iraqi Fellowship of Reproductive Medicine. Counselling & writing agreements were taken from all patients.
On cycle day 1-2 oral estradiol (as hemihydrate) (Estrace, Estrofem; Novo Nordisk) was started in (2mg/ bid) for the irst 4-5 days then increased in step-up protocol until adequate EMT was reached, in the meantime serial US via ACUSON NX3 Elite ultrasound system with linear endocavity transducer of THI=7.6 MHz (©Siemens Medical Solutions USA, Inc.) was used for EMT tracking. At the end of estrogen phase (usually ranged from 10-14 days in all patients) serum P was measured using compact automated immunoassay system (MINI VIDAS ® BIOMÉRIEUX, France) by VIDUS PRG Kit & when it is ≥1.5 ng/ml, FET cycle was cancelled. In addition to US measurement of EMT which is recorded as initial EMT, If it reached ≥ 7 mm with triple-line appearance micronized progesterone was given in the form of vaginal Cyclogest (400 mg bid; Actavis Uk Ltd) to all patients ± oil injection (Progesterone Injection USP 50 mg/ml intramuscular once daily; Watson). The last dose of vaginal P was taken rectally the night before the day of embryo transfer.
At the morning of FET day (one hour before transfer), serum P & EMT measurements were taken again. EMT was measured by expert Ultrasonographic practitioner independently assessed the images without known pregnancy outcomes. Day3 (grade A & B) embryos resulted from ICSI cycles were thawed after vitri ication using Vitrifreeze Es TM -Vitrithaw Es TM universal media (Technical Support Assistance Technique, Ferti Pro N.V. Belgium) and by an open device techniques. Thereafter thawed embryos were transferred to an equilibrated culture dish for 2-3 hours where viability & grading of embryos have been assessed again by expert embryologist depending on grading system proposed by the Istanbul Consensus Workshop on Embryo assessment (Balaban et al., 2011). Only (grades A± B) embryos with viability 100-75% based on the percentage of intact blastomeres post thawing were chosen for transfer on 4 th day of P administration via Soft Catheter (Gynétics Medical Products N.V. Belgium) under abdominal US guidance.
According to our center policy, 2-3 embryos were replaced for each patient by one experienced IVF specialist. Serum (β-HCG) test was measured 14 days after embryos transfer, where the level >10 mIU/ml were considered positive for pregnancy. TV-US was performed to con irm clinical PR (intrauterine gestational sac with viable foetus <12weeks), Ong PR (viable pregnancy ≥12 weeks of gestation & miscarriage (loss of clinical pregnancy before 12week of gestation). Hormonal replacement therapy (HRT) was continued until 10-12 th weeks if pregnancy occurred.

Data collection & statistical analysis
Patients were grouped at embryo transfer day into; compacted endometrium group, that's EMT was decreased & non-compacted endometrium group; that's had either an increase or no changes in their EMT in response to serum P at that day. The main outcome was the impact of both serum P levels & dynamic EMT changes, especially endometrial compaction on the embryo transfer day in prediction ongoing pregnancy. Data analysis was carried out using SPSS-25 and presented in simple measures of frequency, percentage, means, standard deviation, and range (minimum-maximum values). For Quantitative data, Students-t-test or ANOVA test was used while the qualitative data Pearson Chi-square test was used. P-value was ≤ 0.05 indicated statistical signi icance. "ROC" curve technique was used to determine the predictive accuracy of serum P & compaction percentage for Ong PR.
The ROC curve was performed for the prediction of pregnancy outcomes in relation to endometrial compaction % & serum P as seen in Figure 3, compacted endometrium% was a weak predictor as Area under curve (AUC) = 0.646 (95% CI= 0.504-0.789) with (P-value =0.053) while the mean of serum P was poor predictor as (AUC) = 0.597 (95% CI= 0.453-0.742) with (P-value =0.200) for biochemical pregnancy.
However, ROC curves for Ong PR was seen in Figure 4 show AUC for P was 0.576 (95% CI= 0.425-0.727) with (P-value = 0.337) while AUC for endometrial compaction% was 0.630 (95% CI=0.478-0.782) with (P-value =0.099) indicating both measurements were poor predictors for Ong PR in our set data. Thus, no further analysis was done. Of interest, Ong PR was 52.4% when endometrium compacted at -5% however, increasing percentage of endometrial compaction ≥-5% had a negative effect on Ong PR as seen in Figure 5.
Our indings might be agreed with (Bu et al., 2019;Riestenberg et al., 2020) results who found no beneit from endometrial compaction on increasing pregnancy rates in FET cycles. In contrast (Haas et al., 2019;Zilberberg et al., 2020) con irmed a signi icant link between EMT compaction and Ong PR, where an increasing percentage of compaction could improve Ong PR. In addition (Gill et al., 2020;Kaye et al., 2020) stated that failure of compaction resulted in implantation failure of some euploid embryos. Hence, they were considering it as a promising noninvasive marker of endometrial receptivity to pre-   (Shaodi et al., 2020) who performed a large retrospective analysis of 10,165 HRT-FET cycles of cleavage stage embryos using TV-US for EMT measurement, they found that endometrial compaction on embryo transfer day has a negative consequence on pregnancy outcomes whereas the EMT cut-off value of 8.7 mm & interval of (8.7-14.5 mm) were correlated better with clinical outcomes than the delta of EMT before & after P administration, that's thin <7mm or thick >14.5mm EMT might lowered Live birth rate (LBR).
Measurement of EMT at embryo transfer day is equivalent to the early luteal phase, Meanwhile, P causes gradual decline ERs until their absence in (1.14-80) *Signi icant difference between two independent means using Students-t-test at≤ 0.05 levels. #Signi icant difference among more than two independent means using ANOVA-test at ≤0.05 levels the endometrium during the mid-luteal phase (Jabbour et al., 2006). As such endometrial proliferation persists for irst 2-3 days after ovulation where EMT becomes plateau during early luteal phase but the glandular and vascular stromal growth continues under the peak of P during mid-luteal phase then EMT growth ceases prior to menstrual shedding at the late luteal phase, these morphological endometrial changes parallel with dynamic genes expression necessary for implantation (Malhotra et al., 2014;Diedrich et al., 2007). Thus, a decrease or increased EMT after P administration in FET cycles looks comparable to normal endometrial changes & explains pregnancy occurrence in both compacted & non-compacted endometrium as seen in multiple studies.
Furthermore, we observed no signi icant association between serum P levels & endometrial changes at embryo transfer day. Also, serum P was poor predictors for Ong PR. Our indings might be dif-ferent from some studies (Ko inas et al., 2015;Labarta et al., 2017) where they could determine the cut-off level of P that's diminished pregnancy outcomes despite their differences in serum threshold, doses & routes of progesterone medications, While (Boynukalin et al., 2019) could determine serum P threshold for improving pregnancy outcomes in FET cycles. Nerveless our results might be closer to (Volovsky et al., 2020) study who performed a large retrospective study of 2010 blastocyst-FET cycles utilized vaginal P stated that neither serum P ≥10 ng/mL nor ≥ 20 ng/ml on embryo transfer day signi icantly improved pregnancy outcomes while level ≥5 ng/ml might improve LBR considering it as the lowest threshold to salvage FET cycles.
Evidences from many studies recognized unreliable associations between actual serum P with histological & molecular endometrial maturation, on the other hand, they stated that serum P exceed-  ing threshold & the duration of P exposure to endometrium might be the key factors in acquiring endometrial receptivity (Usadi et al., 2008). Similarly, (Young et al., 2017) stated that serum P beyond a threshold can induce secretory changes, but higher levels were needed to up-regulated the essential genes for embryo implantation. However, some genes expression appeared multiphasic & dose-response dependant, suggesting constant supraphysiological doses of P maybe not optimal. A recent Cochrane trial in 2016 stated that serum P were affected by routes of administrations but not affected on EMT or CPR as both could similarly occurred across different P levels in medicated FET cycles which was consistent with our indings (Torelli et al., 2016). Lastly, (Polat et al., 2020) suggested that neither the serum P level nor the type of P administrations were independent predictors of Ong PR in FET cycles.
Strengths of our study are prospective in nature, TV-US was done for EMT measurements, using same HRT protocol & EMT cut-off was ≥ 7mm at the end of the estrogen phase for all patients, at least two top-qualities of D3 embryos were transferred by one professional IVF specialist beside good endometrial compaction rate was seen in our study. However, limitation of this study was a small sample size, US endometrial assessment is a subjective test with some imprecision regardless operator's expert, utilized Day3 not blastocyst embryos, included only medicated FET cycles & it was only observational study with no medical interventions.
Further research are needed to correlate endometrial compaction to other endometrial receptivity markers like 3D-Power Doppler US or endometrial receptivity array (ERA) test to see whether this new non-invasive US marker linked to functional endometrium. However, we advise measuring of endometrial thickness at FET day to ensuring it's in an ideal range rather than depend on changed ratio only, as proofed by (Ye et al., 2020), besides that evaluation of serum P to ensuring its exceeding low-est threshold at embryo transfer day which are indicating a favourable response to progesterone medications ultimate in optimizing pregnancy outcomes, certainly further studies are essential to validate these topics.

CONCLUSIONS
Measurements of endometrial compaction or serum P levels at embryo transfer day in frozen-thaw cycles were poor predictors for Ong PR since pregnancy can occurred at a lexible range of endometrial thickness & serum P levels, that's any kind of EMT changes (decreased or not) seen after P administration not signi icantly affect pregnancy outcomes in frozen-thaw cycles of cleavage stage embryos transfer.