مدل‌سازی لوجیت چندجمله‌ای انتخاب شیوۀ دسترسی زمینی به فرودگاه مطالعۀ موردی: فرودگاه بین‌المللی امام‌خمینی (ره)

نوع مقاله : پژوهشی

نویسندگان

دانشگاه صنعتی خواجه نصیرالدین طوسی

چکیده

در این پژوهش سعی­شده نحوۀ رفتار مسافران هوایی در انتخاب بین 6 شیوۀ حمل­و­نقل مترو، اتوبوس، همسفری (coorpoling)، تاکسی، خودروی شخصی (پارک­کردن) و خودروی شخصی (پیاده­شدن) درجهت دسترسی زمینی به فرودگاه بین­المللی امام­خمینی تهران مورد بررسی قرار گیرد. جمع­آوری اطلاعات این پژوهش در 3 روز از تابستان 1393 انجام شده و به‌منظور مدل‌سازی از مدل لوجیت چندجمله­ای (multinomial logit model)  استفاده شده‌است. پیمایش‌‌ مذکور در قالب رجحان­ بیان­شده (stated preference) به‌شکل مصاحبۀ حضوری در فرودگاه‌ بین­المللی امام­خمینی تهران انجام گرفته‌است. تعداد پرسش­نامه‌های جمع‌آوری­شده 257 عدد بوده و مقدار اعتبارسنجی (validation) داده­ها 34% می­باشد. از مهم­ترین نتایج این پژوهش می­توان به این موضوع اشاره کرد که درصد بسیاری از مسافران فرودگاه امام­خمینی از درآمد (حدود 90% مسافران درآمد بالای 1.5 میلیون تومان در ماه دارند) و مالکیت خودروی (حدود 92% مسافران حداقل 1 خودرو در خانواده­شان دارند) بالایی برخوردارند و با در نظرگیری نتیجۀ به‌دست‌آمده برای این مسافران که تمایلی به استفاده از مترو ندارند، افزایش زمان سفر و هزینه­های حمل­و­نقل شخصی (مثل افزایش هزینۀ پارکینگ) و در مقابل سرویس­دهی بسیار بالاتر مترو (مثل فراهم کردن توشۀ بار، اعتمادپذیری و کاهش زمان سفر) مسافران فرودگاه امام­خمینی را متمایل به استفاده از مترو می‌کند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

An investigation in to the choice of Ground Access to Airport using Multinomial Logit Modelling

نویسندگان [English]

  • ali rezaei jafari
  • ali edrisi
M.Sc. K. N. Toosi university of technology, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

This study aimed at investigating air travellers’ behaviour with regard to choices for ground access to Imam Khomeini International Airport. The choices included subway, bus, carpooling, taxi, private car (parking) and private car (car drop-off). Data collection for this study was done during three days in summer, 2014, and Multinomial logit modelling was employed for this purpose. The survey was administered as a face to face interview in Imam Khomeini International Airport, which is located in Tehran, Iran. A total number of 257 questionnaires were collected, with the degree of validation being 34%. The most important results of this research indicate that the majority of imam Khomeini passengers have a high income(%90of them have 1.5 million tomans per month or higher) and car ownership(%92 of them have at least one car in their household). Considering that these passengers don’t have intention for using metro, with increasing the travel time, public transportation costs (e.g. parking cost) and improving metro service qulity (e.g. increasing the reliability and decreasing the travel time) , it may be possible to absorb them to use metro.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Ground access to Airport
  • Imam Khomeini Airport
  • Subway
  • Multinomial logit
  • Stated Preference

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