본문 바로가기
KCI 등재

Welfare States’ Policy Response to New Social Risk: Sequence Analysis for Welfare Policy

Journal of Asian Sociology
약어 : -
2014 vol.43, no.2, pp.269 - 296
DOI : 10.21588/dns.2014.43.2.007
발행기관 : 서울대학교 사회발전연구소
연구분야 : 사회학
Copyright © 서울대학교 사회발전연구소
415 회 열람

This paper focuses on the trajectories of welfare state change through policy responseto new social risks and methodologically categorizes the pattern of trajectories withsequence analysis. New social risks are the risks that people face in their life course due tothe economic and social changes related to post-industrialization. By comparing a typologyof welfare states based on trajectories of policy change in last three decades with Esping-Andersen’s threefold typologies of welfare states, we can determine whether welfare statesmaintain their existing welfare systems or change them. The results of sequence analysis onsocial expenditures and total tax revenue show that welfare regimes undergo a substantialchange. In particular, conservative welfare regime countries show various trajectories whenreacting to new social risks. This finding empirically supports studies that assert thetransformation of the welfare state.

Typology of Welfare State, Sequence Analysis, New Social Risk, Trajectory of Welfare State Change
복지국가 유형론, 시퀀스 분석, 새로운 사회적 위험, 복지국가 변화의 궤적

  • 1. [학술지] Abbott, Andrew / 2000 / Reply to Levine and Wu : Sequence analysis / Sociological methods & research / 29 (1) : 65 ~ 1
  • 2. [단행본] Abbott, Andrew / 1992 / The welfare state as transnational event: evidence from sequences of policy adoption / Social Science History : 245 ~
  • 3. [학술지] Abbott, Andrew / 2000 / Sequence analysis and optimal matching methods in sociology review and prospect / Sociological methods & research / 29 (1) : 3 ~ 1
  • 4. [단행본] Amenta, Edwin / 2010 / The Oxford handbook of the welfare state / Oxford University Press
  • 5. [단행본] Arts, Wil / 2010 / The Oxford handbook of the welfare state / Oxford University Press : 569 ~
  • 6. [학술지] Baumol, William J. / 1967 / Macroeconomics of unbalanced growth: the anatomy of urban crisis / The American Economic Review : 415 ~
  • 7. [단행본] Bleses, Peter / 2004 / The dual transformation of the German welfare state / Palgrave Macmillan
  • 8. [학술지] Bonoli, Giuliano / 2007 / Time Matters Postindustrialization, New Social Risks, and Welfare State Adaptation in Advanced Industrial Democracies / Comparative Political Studies / 40 (5) : 495 ~ 5
  • 9. [단행본] Bonoli, Giuliano / 2012 / The politics of the new welfare state / Oxford University Press
  • 10. [단행본] Bonoli, Giuliano / 2011 / in Regulating the Risk of Unemployment: National Adaptations to Post-Industrial Labour Markets in Europe / Oxford University Press : 318 ~
  • 11. [학술지] Brzinsky-Fay, Christian / 2010 / New developments in sequence analysis / Sociological methods & research / 38 (3) : 359 ~ 3
  • 12. [학술지] Castles, Francis G / 2009 / What welfare states do: a disaggregated expenditure approach / Journal of Social Policy / 38 (1) : 45 ~ 1
  • 13. [학술지] Caswell, Dorte / 2013 / Disability Pensions and Active Labor Market Policy / Journal of Social Service Research / 39 (4) : 572 ~ 4
  • 14. [학술지] Cureton, Edward E. / 1957 / The upper and lower twenty-seven per cent rule / Psychometrika / 22 (3) : 293 ~ 3
  • 15. [단행본] Emmenegger, Patrick / 2011 / The Age of Dualization: The Changing Face of Inequality in Deindustrializing Societies / Oxford University Press
  • 16. [단행본] Esping-Andersen, Gosta / 1990 / The three worlds of welfare capitalism / Princeton University Press
  • 17. [단행본] Esping-Andersen, Gosta / 1999 / Social foundations of postindustrial economies / Oxford University Press
  • 18. [단행본] Esping-Andersen, Gosta / 2010 / in The Oxford handbook of the welfare state / Oxford University Press : 11 ~
  • 19. [학술지] Ferragina, Emanuele / 2011 / Thematic Review: Welfare regime debate: past, present, futures? / Policy & Politics / 39 (4) : 583 ~ 4
  • 20. [학술지] Ferragina, Emanuele / 2012 / Unemployment Protection and Family Policy at the Turn of the 21st Century: A Dynamic Approach to Welfare Regime Theory / Social Policy & Administration / 47 (7) : 783 ~ 7
  • 21. [단행본] Ferrera, Maurozio / 2010 / The Oxford handbook of the welfare state / Oxford University Press : 616 ~
  • 22. [단행본] Fitzgerald, Eithne / 2005 / Contemporary Irish Social Policy / University College Dublin Press : 115 ~
  • 23. [학술지] Gelman, Andrew / 2009 / Splitting a predictor at the upper quarter or third and the lower quarter or third / The American Statistician / 63 (1)
  • 24. [단행본] Guillén, Ana Marta / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 183 ~
  • 25. [학술지] Han, Shin-Kap / 1999 / Clocking out: Temporal patterning of retirement 1 / American Journal of Sociology / 105 (1) : 191 ~ 1
  • 26. [인터넷자료] Harrell, F. / Problems Caused by Categorizing Continuous Variables
  • 27. [단행본] Häusermann, Silja / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?:the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 207 ~
  • 28. [단행본] Hemerijck, Anton / 2012 / Towards a social investment welfare state? Ideas, Policies and Challenges / Policy : 33 ~
  • 29. [단행본] Hemerijck, Anton / 2013 / Changing welfare states / Oxford University Press
  • 30. [단행본] Hemerijck, Anton / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 129 ~
  • 31. [단행본] Huber, Evelyne / 2007 / The politics of post-industrial welfare states: Adapting post-war social policies to new social risks / Routledge : 143 ~
  • 32. [학술지] Iversen, Torben / 1998 / Equality, employment, and budgetary restraint: the trilemma of the service economy / World politics / 50 (4) : 507 ~ 4
  • 33. [단행본] Jessoula, Matteo / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 157 ~
  • 34. [단행본] Kautto, Mikko / 2010 / The Oxford handbook of the welfare state / Oxford University Press : 586 ~
  • 35. [학술지] Kruskal, Joseph B / 1983 / An overview of sequence comparison: Time warps, string edits, and macromolecules / SIAM review / 25 (2) : 201 ~ 2
  • 36. [학술지] Larsen, Christian Albrekt / 2009 / How new economic ideas changed the Danish welfare state: The case of neoliberal ideas and highly organized social democratic interests / Governance / 22 (2) : 239 ~ 2
  • 37. [단행본] Lesnard, Laurent. / 2006 / Optimal Matching and Social Sciences / Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique
  • 38. [단행본] MacIndoe, Heather / 2009 / Handbook of data analysis / Sage : 279 ~
  • 39. [단행본] Manow, Philip / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 279 ~
  • 40. [학술지] Nelson, Moira / 2013 / Making markets with active labor market policies: the influence of political parties, welfare state regimes, and economic change on spending on different types of policies / European Political Science Review / 5 (2) : 255 ~ 2
  • 41. [단행본] Obinger, Herbert / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press : 101 ~
  • 42. [학술지] O’Brien, Robert M / 1981 / Using rank category variables to represent continuous variables: defects of common practice / Social Forces / 59 (4) : 1149 ~ 4
  • 43. [단행본] Palier, Bruno / 2010 / A long goodbye to Bismarck?: the politics of welfare reforms in continental Europe / Amsterdam University Press
  • 44. [단행본] Pierson, Paul / 2001 / The new politics of the welfare state / Oxford University Press
  • 45. [단행본] Pierson, Paul / 2004 / Politics in time: History, institutions, and social analysis / Princeton University Press
  • 46. [학술지] Pollock, Gary / 2007 / Holistic trajectories: a study of combined employment, housing and family careers by using multiple‐sequence analysis / Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) / 170 (1) : 167 ~ 1
  • 47. [학술지] Powell, Martin / 2004 / Welfare regimes and the welfare mix / European journal of political research / 43 (1) : 83 ~ 1
  • 48. [학술지] Preacher, Kristopher J / 2005 / Use of the extreme groups approach: a critical reexamination and new recommendations / Psychological methods / 10 (2) : 178
  • 49. [학술지] Scruggs, Lyle / 2006 / The material consequences of welfare states benefit generosity and absolute poverty in 16 OECD countries / Comparative Political Studies / 39 (7) : 880 ~ 7
  • 50. [단행본] Soskice, David / 2008 / Beyond Varieties of Capitalism / Oxford University Press
  • 51. [학술지] Starke, Peter / 2008 / Convergence towards where: in what ways, if any, are welfare states becoming more similar? / Journal of European Public Policy / 15 (7) : 975 ~ 7
  • 52. [단행본] Streeck, Wolfgang / 2005 / Beyond continuity: Explorations in the dynamics of advanced political economies / Oxford University Press
  • 53. [단행본] Taylor-Gooby, P. / 2004 / New risks, new welfare: the transformation of the European welfare state / Oxford University Press
  • 54. [단행본] Taylor-Gooby, P. / 2004 / New risks, new welfare: the transformation of the European welfare state / Oxford University Press : 55 ~
  • 55. [학술지] Thelen, Kathleen / 2012 / Varieties of capitalism: Trajectories of liberalization and the new politics of social solidarity / Annual Review of Political Science / 15 : 137 ~
  • 56. [단행본] Van Kersbergen, Kees / 2013 / Comparative Welfare State Politics / Cambridge University Press
  • 57. [단행본] Vandenbroucke, Frank / 2012 / The Active Welfare State Revisited / Antwerp, Herman Deleeck Centre for Social Policy, University of Antwerp
  • 58. [단행본] Vrooman, Jan Cornelis / 2009 / Rules of relief: institutions of social security, and their impact / The Netherlands Institute for Social Research/SCP