Extremely Hot Ambient Temperature and Injury-related Mortality

Mien T N Nguyen; Man V M Nguyen; Huong V T Le; Hoai Viet Nguyen; Vu Anh Nguyen; Ngoan Tran Le

doi:10.21109/kesmas.v18i2.6645

Extremely Hot Ambient Temperature and Injury-related Mortality

Mien T N Nguyen, Man V M Nguyen, Huong V T Le, Hoai Viet Nguyen, Vu Anh Nguyen, Ngoan Tran Le

Abstract

This pilot study aimed to evaluate the effects of extremely hot ambient temperatures on the total number of fatal injuries. Data were collected from a population-based mortality registry of Thanh Hoa, a province in the North Central region of Vietnam. This study qualified the distributed lag non-linear model and calculated the RR and 95% CI adjusted for long-term trend and absolute humidity. For the entire study population with 3,949 registered deaths due to injuries collected during 2005-2007, after the onset of extremely hot ambient temperatures, an increased risk of death was observed on the 9th day RR (95% CI) = 1.44 (1.06–1.97) and reached the peak on the 12th day RR (95% CI) = 1.58 (1.14–2.17), and at the 15th day RR (95% CI) = 1.49 (1.08–2.06). Men and old adults were identified as the most vulnerable groups. This study confirmed a positive association between hot temperatures and injury-related deaths in the province of 3.6 million people. The findings motivated further investigation into the effect of warm climate changes and the risk of deaths related to other specific causes such as road traffic, work-related injury, and etc.

Keywords

distributed lag non-linear model; fatal injuries; hot ambient temperature

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21109/kesmas.v18i2.6645