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ISHS Acta Horticulturae 499: V International Symposium on Computer Modelling in Fruit Research and Orchard Management

DIRECTIONS IN MODELLING FRUIT GROWTH AND ORCHARD PROCESSES

Author:   T.A. Atkins
DOI:   10.17660/ActaHortic.1999.499.2
Abstract:
This paper is a personal view of the future of modelling in research and technology transfer related to fruit and fruit production systems. The roles that modelling will play in horticultural research and technology transfer will be influenced and enhanced greatly by the availability of new technologies including those for the acquisition, management, and visualisation of data in 3 dimensions; the development of embedded systems technology with communications to central databases for information exchange and updating, principally via Internet or Intranets; and by the will and whims of the funding agencies.

A number of factors currently favour an increase in the use of modelling techniques in research, research management, and technology transfer. I believe we will see a renewed interest in use of models and modelling techniques, though they are likely to continue to be under-utilised as frameworks for managing research programmes and assessing research programme funding decisions. A limit to the use of a modelling approach will be that the educational system will continue to produce insufficient numbers of modellers, and horticultural specialists with generally inadequate IT and quantitative skills.

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