초록

21세기 동아시아는 미국과 일본의 상대적 퇴조와 중국의 부상이라는 권력의 이중 전이(dual transition)가 동시에 진행됨에 따라 지역 아키텍처가 재설계되는 과정에 돌입했다. 동아시아 지역아키텍처 재설계 과정에는 다층화, 복합화, 분화의 세 가지 동학이 동시다발적으로 진행되는 특징이 나타나고 있다. 첫째, 미국과 중국이 지역아키텍처를 재설계하는 기본 축을 형성하는 가운데, 중국과 일본이 두 번째 축, 한국과 아세안이 세 번째 축을 형성하는 다층화가 나타나고 있다. 둘째, 이 과정에서 역내 국가들이 다양한 이슈들을 상호 연계하는 복합화가 진행되고 있다. 셋째, 진영 간 대립과 진영 내 협력을 기본 메커니즘으로 했던 냉전기와 달리, 역내 국가들이 선택을 서로 달리하는 정책 분화의 현상이 나타나고 있다. 본 연구는 이와 같은 다층화, 복합화, 분화의 메커니즘을 최근 중요한 이슈가 되고 있는 거대 FTA와 아시아인프라투자은행(Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank: AIIB)의 사례를 통해 분석한다.

키워드

동아시아, 지역아키텍처, TPP, AIIB, 중견국

참고문헌(45)open

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