Abstract
We provide formulae for calculating approximate p-values for the non-standard asymptotic null distributions of a variety of tests used for detecting multiple structural change in a wide range of models. Our approximations are based on simulated quantiles obtained from 100,000 replications, and the latter are more accurate than the quantiles reported in the literature by increasing the number of replications by a factor of 10. The p-value response surfaces are approximated using a parametric method proposed by Hansen and their use is illustrated with an example. Using our p-value response surfaces, it is shown that the use of Bai and Perron’s response surfaces for the critical values of these tests can lead to misleading inferences, and thus should be used with extreme caution.
Appendix
p-Value | SupF | F(1+l|l) | UDmax | WDmax | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | Maximum | Median | Maximum | Median | Maximum | Median | Maximum | |
0.00 | 0.0001 | 0.0003 | 0.0002 | 0.0007 | 0.0002 | 0.0007 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
0.01 | 0.0003 | 0.0012 | 0.0008 | 0.0033 | 0.0011 | 0.0032 | 0.0014 | 0.0033 |
0.02 | 0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0009 | 0.0037 | 0.0013 | 0.0038 | 0.0016 | 0.0047 |
0.03 | 0.0004 | 0.0014 | 0.0009 | 0.0037 | 0.0014 | 0.0034 | 0.0016 | 0.0043 |
0.04 | 0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0008 | 0.0038 | 0.0014 | 0.0032 | 0.0016 | 0.0041 |
0.05 | 0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0008 | 0.0034 | 0.0014 | 0.0031 | 0.0015 | 0.0045 |
0.06 | 0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0007 | 0.0035 | 0.0013 | 0.0028 | 0.0012 | 0.0038 |
0.07 | 0.0004 | 0.0014 | 0.0007 | 0.0036 | 0.0011 | 0.0027 | 0.0011 | 0.0047 |
0.08 | 0.0004 | 0.0014 | 0.0006 | 0.0030 | 0.0010 | 0.0023 | 0.0012 | 0.0040 |
0.09 | 0.0004 | 0.0014 | 0.0007 | 0.0033 | 0.0007 | 0.0020 | 0.0010 | 0.0041 |
0.10 | 0.0004 | 0.0013 | 0.0006 | 0.0026 | 0.0005 | 0.0020 | 0.0010 | 0.0041 |
0.15 | 0.0003 | 0.0014 | 0.0007 | 0.0033 | 0.0007 | 0.0025 | 0.0013 | 0.0038 |
0.20 | 0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0007 | 0.0042 | 0.0011 | 0.0027 | 0.0013 | 0.0033 |
0.25 | 0.0004 | 0.0017 | 0.0006 | 0.0035 | 0.0013 | 0.0032 | 0.0014 | 0.0043 |
0.30 | 0.0004 | 0.0016 | 0.0006 | 0.0034 | 0.0010 | 0.0031 | 0.0012 | 0.0048 |
0.40 | 0.0004 | 0.0018 | 0.0007 | 0.0035 | 0.0005 | 0.0014 | 0.0013 | 0.0045 |
0.50 | 0.0004 | 0.0017 | 0.0008 | 0.0036 | 0.0012 | 0.0035 | 0.0019 | 0.0044 |
0.60 | 0.0005 | 0.0016 | 0.0008 | 0.0036 | 0.0013 | 0.0042 | 0.0016 | 0.0055 |
0.70 | 0.0005 | 0.0021 | 0.0009 | 0.0043 | 0.0006 | 0.0019 | 0.0014 | 0.0059 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ε=0.25 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –1.41 | 1.08 | 3.76 | –1.17 | 1.05 | 3.34 | –1.01 | 1.02 | 3.02 | –0.86 | 1.00 | 2.78 | –0.74 | 0.98 | 2.55 |
2 | –2.34 | 1.11 | 5.53 | –1.99 | 1.06 | 4.94 | –1.70 | 1.03 | 4.56 | –1.44 | 1.02 | 4.36 | –1.26 | 0.99 | 4.01 |
3 | –3.27 | 1.13 | 6.94 | –2.66 | 1.10 | 6.56 | –2.22 | 1.07 | 6.25 | –1.84 | 1.06 | 6.05 | –1.58 | 1.04 | 5.67 |
4 | –4.08 | 1.16 | 8.46 | –3.29 | 1.14 | 8.21 | –2.77 | 1.11 | 7.81 | –2.45 | 1.07 | 7.22 | –2.08 | 1.05 | 6.87 |
5 | –4.86 | 1.14 | 9.44 | –4.10 | 1.11 | 8.88 | –3.55 | 1.07 | 8.39 | –3.00 | 1.05 | 8.11 | –2.50 | 1.04 | 7.91 |
6 | –5.81 | 1.14 | 10.25 | –4.83 | 1.11 | 9.96 | –3.89 | 1.12 | 10.34 | –3.20 | 1.12 | 10.25 | –2.65 | 1.10 | 9.95 |
7 | –6.30 | 1.15 | 11.80 | –5.26 | 1.11 | 11.20 | –4.28 | 1.11 | 11.47 | –3.66 | 1.08 | 10.98 | –3.15 | 1.05 | 10.43 |
8 | –7.23 | 1.14 | 12.42 | –5.94 | 1.13 | 12.38 | –4.97 | 1.11 | 12.28 | –4.26 | 1.08 | 11.86 | –3.74 | 1.05 | 11.28 |
9 | –8.07 | 1.14 | 13.19 | –6.57 | 1.13 | 13.43 | –5.67 | 1.10 | 12.97 | –4.63 | 1.11 | 13.42 | –4.15 | 1.06 | 12.45 |
10 | –8.90 | 1.11 | 13.42 | –7.51 | 1.10 | 13.54 | –6.32 | 1.09 | 13.78 | –5.32 | 1.08 | 13.78 | –4.24 | 1.08 | 14.05 |
11 | –9.36 | 1.15 | 15.51 | –7.82 | 1.13 | 15.34 | –6.45 | 1.13 | 15.79 | –5.57 | 1.09 | 15.07 | –4.73 | 1.07 | 14.82 |
12 | –10.56 | 1.09 | 14.42 | –8.84 | 1.08 | 14.85 | –7.73 | 1.05 | 14.43 | –6.60 | 1.05 | 14.69 | –5.65 | 1.03 | 14.53 |
13 | –10.83 | 1.14 | 16.97 | –9.07 | 1.11 | 16.79 | –8.12 | 1.06 | 15.61 | –6.7 | 1.06 | 16.26 | –5.51 | 1.07 | 16.73 |
14 | –8.36 | 1.13 | 17.72 | –9.68 | 1.09 | 17.30 | –8.36 | 1.06 | 16.90 | –7.36 | 1.04 | 16.61 | –5.82 | 1.08 | 18.08 |
15 | –12.53 | 1.11 | 17.47 | –10.74 | 1.07 | 17.00 | –9.23 | 1.05 | 17.07 | –7.82 | 1.06 | 17.84 | –6.60 | 1.06 | 18.11 |
16 | –13.26 | 1.08 | 17.40 | –11.61 | 1.01 | 15.94 | –10.00 | 1.03 | 17.20 | –8.47 | 1.05 | 18.24 | –7.42 | 1.02 | 17.63 |
17 | –13.90 | 1.08 | 18.34 | –11.72 | 1.07 | 18.92 | –10.10 | 1.06 | 19.08 | –8.46 | 1.07 | 20.14 | –7.27 | 1.06 | 20.17 |
18 | –14.83 | 1.07 | 18.44 | –12.61 | 1.03 | 18.35 | –11.06 | 1.02 | 18.60 | –9.38 | 1.03 | 19.61 | –7.70 | 1.05 | 20.93 |
19 | –15.33 | 1.06 | 19.24 | –13.13 | 1.02 | 18.70 | –11.46 | 1.02 | 19.50 | –9.62 | 1.04 | 20.96 | –8.55 | 1.02 | 20.29 |
20 | –16.16 | 1.06 | 19.56 | –13.55 | 1.07 | 21.37 | –11.53 | 1.08 | 22.45 | –10.02 | 1.07 | 22.78 | –8.50 | 1.07 | 23.09 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ε=0.25 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –5.19 | 2.32 | 8.09 | –3.06 | 2.19 | 7.31 | –2.08 | 2.09 | 6.34 | –1.59 | 1.95 | 5.11 | –1.19 | 1.90 | 4.24 |
2 | –7.92 | 2.32 | 10.62 | –5.17 | 2.22 | 10.06 | –3.47 | 2.18 | 9.73 | –2.46 | 2.12 | 8.81 | –1.79 | 2.02 | 7.46 |
3 | –10.35 | 2.20 | 11.49 | –6.89 | 2.17 | 11.98 | –4.60 | 2.19 | 12.43 | –3.40 | 2.11 | 11.30 | –2.38 | 2.07 | 10.28 |
4 | –12.34 | 2.19 | 13.24 | –8.50 | 2.19 | 14.25 | –5.62 | 2.24 | 15.43 | –3.77 | 2.20 | 14.91 | –2.78 | 2.09 | 12.98 |
5 | –14.08 | 2.18 | 14.97 | –9.95 | 2.16 | 15.86 | –7.10 | 2.14 | 16.31 | –4.77 | 2.17 | 16.89 | –2.57 | 2.21 | 17.17 |
6 | –16.01 | 2.25 | 17.50 | –11.22 | 2.25 | 19.09 | –8.15 | 2.20 | 19.18 | –6.18 | 2.12 | 17.95 | –4.01 | 2.12 | 17.73 |
7 | –17.49 | 2.26 | 19.74 | –12.51 | 2.18 | 20.12 | –9.00 | 2.18 | 21.15 | –7.32 | 2.03 | 18.57 | –5.28 | 1.99 | 17.73 |
8 | –19.36 | 2.14 | 19.18 | –14.35 | 2.03 | 19.00 | –10.65 | 2.06 | 20.80 | –8.13 | 2.04 | 20.70 | –5.94 | 1.99 | 19.74 |
9 | –20.97 | 2.19 | 21.63 | –15.02 | 2.19 | 24.05 | –11.02 | 2.19 | 25.31 | –7.48 | 2.22 | 26.81 | –4.76 | 2.19 | 26.22 |
10 | –22.72 | 2.13 | 21.82 | –16.63 | 2.16 | 24.91 | –11.65 | 2.24 | 28.59 | –8.27 | 2.20 | 28.64 | –4.31 | 2.26 | 30.40 |
11 | –24.32 | 2.06 | 21.59 | –17.63 | 2.18 | 27.35 | –13.92 | 2.04 | 25.41 | –10.73 | 2.02 | 25.77 | –7.27 | 2.04 | 26.71 |
12 | –25.92 | 2.13 | 24.56 | –19.66 | 2.02 | 24.80 | –15.56 | 1.96 | 24.97 | –12.49 | 1.95 | 25.16 | –8.54 | 1.99 | 27.12 |
13 | –27.50 | 2.16 | 26.68 | –20.87 | 2.13 | 28.83 | –15.70 | 2.13 | 31.02 | –11.13 | 2.16 | 33.37 | –8.48 | 2.07 | 31.16 |
14 | –28.85 | 2.09 | 26.65 | –22.03 | 2.02 | 27.74 | –17.06 | 2.04 | 30.36 | –11.72 | 2.17 | 35.69 | –8.08 | 2.13 | 35.10 |
15 | –30.75 | 2.00 | 25.10 | –22.71 | 2.18 | 33.97 | –16.26 | 2.25 | 38.83 | –11.33 | 2.24 | 40.42 | –7.95 | 2.16 | 38.59 |
16 | –31.86 | 2.02 | 27.00 | –24.20 | 2.07 | 32.19 | –18.86 | 2.02 | 33.34 | –14.37 | 2.03 | 35.12 | –10.29 | 2.02 | 35.71 |
17 | –33.45 | 2.03 | 28.50 | –24.73 | 2.17 | 37.13 | –19.48 | 2.08 | 36.74 | –14.05 | 2.14 | 40.56 | –10.05 | 2.10 | 40.26 |
18 | –34.58 | 1.92 | 26.70 | –26.76 | 2.03 | 33.95 | –20.39 | 2.10 | 39.08 | –15.11 | 2.10 | 41.06 | –12.18 | 1.99 | 37.85 |
19 | –35.69 | 1.89 | 27.16 | –28.22 | 1.90 | 31.12 | –21.65 | 2.03 | 38.46 | –15.84 | 2.08 | 42.44 | –12.17 | 2.02 | 40.98 |
20 | –37.70 | 1.97 | 30.37 | –29.17 | 2.03 | 36.76 | –20.79 | 2.20 | 46.98 | –16.72 | 2.09 | 44.26 | –13.21 | 2.00 | 41.81 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –6.01 | 3.37 | 11.95 | –3.08 | 3.29 | 11.04 | –2.25 | 3.04 | 8.42 | –1.69 | 2.88 | 6.23 |
2 | –10.04 | 3.29 | 14.94 | –5.92 | 3.25 | 14.81 | –3.62 | 3.20 | 13.75 | –2.82 | 2.98 | 10.39 |
3 | –13.07 | 3.31 | 18.34 | –8.24 | 3.16 | 17.51 | –5.44 | 3.10 | 16.57 | –3.28 | 3.12 | 15.25 |
4 | –15.85 | 3.23 | 20.46 | –9.57 | 3.36 | 23.32 | –5.20 | 3.43 | 24.37 | –4.26 | 3.10 | 18.50 |
5 | –17.63 | 3.47 | 26.97 | –11.02 | 3.40 | 27.55 | –8.59 | 3.05 | 22.23 | –5.80 | 3.00 | 20.29 |
6 | –21.00 | 3.37 | 27.66 | –12.91 | 3.41 | 30.90 | –9.57 | 3.16 | 26.85 | –7.42 | 2.93 | 21.97 |
7 | –23.07 | 3.35 | 30.45 | –14.93 | 3.33 | 32.65 | –10.33 | 3.20 | 31.02 | –7.02 | 3.08 | 27.87 |
8 | –25.42 | 3.43 | 34.56 | –17.15 | 3.21 | 33.40 | –11.16 | 3.22 | 34.69 | –9.46 | 2.88 | 26.80 |
9 | –26.61 | 3.64 | 42.26 | –17.72 | 3.34 | 39.40 | –12.35 | 3.19 | 37.39 | –8.89 | 3.06 | 33.48 |
10 | –30.66 | 3.23 | 35.25 | –21.12 | 3.09 | 36.01 | –13.58 | 3.21 | 40.68 | –11.55 | 2.85 | 31.47 |
11 | –33.11 | 3.13 | 35.05 | –22.51 | 3.16 | 40.16 | –14.86 | 3.16 | 42.64 | –9.98 | 3.09 | 40.48 |
12 | –35.16 | 3.15 | 37.93 | –24.33 | 3.13 | 42.05 | –17.59 | 3.06 | 42.00 | –10.76 | 3.16 | 44.73 |
13 | –37.66 | 3.24 | 41.97 | –24.76 | 3.33 | 50.20 | –18.03 | 3.20 | 48.38 | –9.26 | 3.35 | 53.53 |
14 | –39.57 | 3.25 | 44.82 | –25.36 | 3.41 | 55.92 | –18.69 | 3.21 | 51.96 | –8.59 | 3.42 | 59.52 |
15 | –41.97 | 3.17 | 44.49 | –28.17 | 3.27 | 53.94 | –18.83 | 3.28 | 57.51 | –9.06 | 3.39 | 62.63 |
16 | –43.78 | 2.86 | 38.05 | –30.57 | 3.15 | 52.74 | –19.18 | 3.31 | 62.00 | –15.34 | 3.02 | 52.19 |
17 | –45.72 | 3.17 | 49.32 | –33.33 | 2.95 | 48.46 | –25.99 | 2.82 | 46.76 | –14.63 | 3.15 | 59.31 |
18 | –48.01 | 2.92 | 43.42 | –33.08 | 3.22 | 60.34 | –26.04 | 2.95 | 53.67 | –17.45 | 3.03 | 57.25 |
19 | –49.73 | 2.84 | 42.89 | –35.89 | 3.03 | 55.61 | –23.20 | 3.20 | 67.17 | –19.52 | 2.87 | 54.79 |
20 | –52.17 | 3.04 | 50.67 | –36.45 | 3.18 | 63.72 | –23.87 | 3.24 | 71.46 | –13.67 | 3.31 | 75.81 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.15 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –6.31 | 4.60 | 17.10 | –2.95 | 4.38 | 14.24 | –2.47 | 3.96 | 9.47 |
2 | –11.33 | 4.46 | 21.22 | –6.68 | 4.16 | 18.05 | –4.11 | 4.09 | 15.44 |
3 | –15.32 | 4.36 | 24.62 | –9.13 | 4.09 | 22.23 | –6.01 | 4.01 | 19.41 |
4 | –18.80 | 4.28 | 27.77 | –10.69 | 4.34 | 29.45 | –6.62 | 4.21 | 26.15 |
5 | –20.52 | 4.63 | 37.24 | –11.44 | 4.51 | 37.17 | –8.66 | 4.10 | 29.04 |
6 | –23.68 | 4.71 | 42.45 | –13.32 | 4.53 | 42.05 | –10.88 | 3.99 | 31.20 |
7 | –27.90 | 4.40 | 40.53 | –16.21 | 4.42 | 44.12 | –10.93 | 4.18 | 38.75 |
8 | –29.74 | 4.65 | 49.46 | –18.19 | 4.39 | 47.86 | –10.75 | 4.30 | 45.93 |
9 | –29.93 | 4.98 | 62.12 | –18.78 | 4.44 | 54.12 | –12.20 | 4.24 | 49.06 |
10 | –36.15 | 4.44 | 52.23 | –23.30 | 4.14 | 50.30 | –16.36 | 4.00 | 46.50 |
11 | –39.96 | 4.15 | 48.54 | –24.71 | 4.26 | 56.73 | –14.81 | 4.20 | 56.58 |
12 | –41.45 | 4.49 | 60.50 | –25.94 | 4.33 | 62.50 | –16.70 | 4.23 | 60.30 |
13 | –43.96 | 4.62 | 67.11 | –27.97 | 4.38 | 67.17 | –17.26 | 4.30 | 66.46 |
14 | –47.61 | 4.33 | 62.45 | –27.01 | 4.59 | 78.56 | –19.52 | 4.16 | 66.58 |
15 | –51.32 | 4.06 | 57.25 | –33.35 | 4.12 | 66.77 | –19.18 | 4.29 | 74.64 |
16 | –53.71 | 4.01 | 58.80 | –32.38 | 4.41 | 80.22 | –17.28 | 4.48 | 86.24 |
17 | –56.40 | 3.96 | 59.85 | –36.95 | 4.15 | 74.35 | –26.75 | 3.92 | 68.48 |
18 | –58.88 | 4.01 | 64.08 | –39.13 | 4.11 | 76.36 | –27.05 | 3.99 | 74.65 |
19 | –59.11 | 4.42 | 82.05 | –37.29 | 4.31 | 88.96 | –23.23 | 4.23 | 89.69 |
20 | –63.31 | 4.25 | 78.24 | –37.90 | 4.48 | 99.04 | –27.58 | 4.08 | 86.01 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –6.95 | 5.49 | 19.54 | –3.30 | 5.26 | 15.53 | –2.20 | 4.78 | 8.86 |
2 | –11.84 | 5.58 | 27.13 | –7.24 | 5.06 | 20.65 | –3.72 | 4.83 | 14.82 |
3 | –15.49 | 5.78 | 35.52 | –8.97 | 5.18 | 28.19 | –5.26 | 4.79 | 19.76 |
4 | –21.31 | 5.19 | 33.28 | –11.35 | 5.31 | 35.00 | –5.16 | 5.13 | 28.41 |
5 | –21.94 | 5.87 | 49.15 | –11.50 | 5.61 | 45.64 | –6.29 | 5.16 | 34.00 |
6 | –25.60 | 5.88 | 54.75 | –14.33 | 5.52 | 49.78 | –9.83 | 4.72 | 33.02 |
7 | –31.25 | 5.44 | 51.16 | –16.61 | 5.50 | 54.99 | –11.17 | 4.79 | 38.12 |
8 | –32.69 | 5.79 | 63.43 | –20.66 | 5.23 | 54.53 | –9.92 | 5.06 | 48.27 |
9 | –27.66 | 6.70 | 93.08 | –18.94 | 5.56 | 68.47 | –10.30 | 5.16 | 55.24 |
10 | –39.50 | 5.67 | 70.78 | –23.40 | 5.31 | 67.01 | –16.06 | 4.59 | 47.78 |
11 | –45.00 | 5.29 | 65.11 | –24.98 | 5.37 | 73.57 | –14.84 | 4.90 | 59.03 |
12 | –46.84 | 5.49 | 75.01 | –30.09 | 5.05 | 69.06 | –13.15 | 5.17 | 70.88 |
13 | –45.99 | 6.06 | 96.55 | –29.42 | 5.42 | 83.89 | –12.58 | 5.32 | 80.00 |
14 | –51.46 | 5.75 | 91.70 | –25.36 | 5.83 | 103.75 | –14.71 | 5.16 | 80.98 |
15 | –57.68 | 5.21 | 78.73 | –27.35 | 5.72 | 106.59 | –16.66 | 5.10 | 83.84 |
16 | –58.94 | 5.49 | 92.09 | –34.38 | 5.40 | 98.93 | –19.91 | 4.97 | 83.72 |
17 | –64.70 | 5.09 | 81.92 | –36.91 | 5.40 | 102.89 | –22.89 | 4.86 | 84.01 |
18 | –68.18 | 4.84 | 77.74 | –42.06 | 5.15 | 97.81 | –25.46 | 4.80 | 85.73 |
19 | –66.71 | 5.56 | 107.76 | –38.65 | 5.39 | 114.30 | –21.03 | 5.02 | 100.86 |
20 | –70.06 | 5.56 | 111.62 | –37.12 | 5.68 | 131.05 | –26.94 | 4.80 | 94.89 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –7.24 | 6.47 | 22.42 | –3.99 | 6.00 | 15.46 |
2 | –12.22 | 6.69 | 32.68 | –7.24 | 6.08 | 23.63 |
3 | –15.57 | 7.01 | 44.17 | –9.09 | 6.14 | 31.90 |
4 | –22.75 | 6.31 | 41.55 | –11.70 | 6.28 | 39.65 |
5 | –22.38 | 7.08 | 60.94 | –10.24 | 6.81 | 55.14 |
6 | –28.25 | 6.75 | 61.49 | –17.16 | 6.13 | 50.21 |
7 | –32.94 | 6.67 | 65.53 | –17.11 | 6.49 | 62.97 |
8 | –34.16 | 6.99 | 79.02 | –21.06 | 6.22 | 64.02 |
9 | –32.09 | 7.60 | 101.85 | –18.41 | 6.69 | 81.74 |
10 | –42.45 | 6.83 | 87.30 | –24.25 | 6.33 | 78.78 |
11 | –49.15 | 6.37 | 80.66 | –26.28 | 6.33 | 84.79 |
12 | –47.08 | 7.05 | 106.03 | –32.02 | 5.98 | 80.48 |
13 | –44.98 | 7.53 | 128.72 | –28.86 | 6.54 | 102.30 |
14 | –50.66 | 7.33 | 127.99 | –25.11 | 6.85 | 120.57 |
15 | –62.21 | 6.33 | 100.46 | –30.00 | 6.59 | 118.34 |
16 | –61.31 | 6.94 | 126.03 | –36.85 | 6.29 | 112.43 |
17 | –69.62 | 6.35 | 110.21 | –38.42 | 6.36 | 120.20 |
18 | –73.51 | 6.20 | 110.01 | –43.53 | 6.15 | 117.34 |
19 | –67.09 | 7.13 | 152.80 | –35.19 | 6.73 | 149.05 |
20 | –69.97 | 7.19 | 160.97 | –31.19 | 7.04 | 170.03 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –8.08 | 7.17 | 23.23 | –4.08 | 6.98 | 16.07 |
2 | –12.31 | 7.78 | 37.87 | –7.49 | 6.98 | 24.68 |
3 | –17.16 | 7.80 | 47.07 | –9.56 | 7.05 | 33.69 |
4 | –24.42 | 7.16 | 46.28 | –11.28 | 7.38 | 44.50 |
5 | –22.19 | 8.33 | 73.08 | –9.58 | 7.97 | 61.55 |
6 | –28.40 | 8.01 | 75.22 | –16.42 | 7.32 | 58.77 |
7 | –30.84 | 8.22 | 87.47 | –19.00 | 7.23 | 64.75 |
8 | –34.86 | 8.16 | 94.27 | –18.41 | 7.53 | 78.38 |
9 | –32.95 | 8.74 | 117.45 | –18.69 | 7.67 | 89.63 |
10 | –45.23 | 7.83 | 100.34 | –26.61 | 7.05 | 81.84 |
11 | –52.67 | 7.35 | 93.96 | –28.98 | 7.08 | 88.74 |
12 | –43.70 | 8.66 | 140.63 | –36.27 | 6.57 | 81.03 |
13 | –45.38 | 8.74 | 152.33 | –30.74 | 7.40 | 110.29 |
14 | –53.94 | 8.33 | 145.31 | –22.89 | 8.00 | 139.26 |
15 | –69.56 | 6.85 | 103.40 | –32.72 | 7.35 | 125.13 |
16 | –65.72 | 7.95 | 145.04 | –34.56 | 7.47 | 134.78 |
17 | –71.20 | 7.73 | 143.63 | –19.46 | 8.49 | 182.98 |
18 | –78.58 | 7.21 | 131.01 | –38.01 | 7.55 | 151.04 |
19 | –51.71 | 9.31 | 230.80 | –33.83 | 7.79 | 170.45 |
20 | –71.62 | 8.46 | 195.76 | –28.67 | 8.17 | 195.04 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –8.74 | 7.95 | 24.30 | –3.59 | 8.09 | 15.84 |
2 | –12.36 | 8.85 | 42.54 | –7.11 | 7.82 | 23.81 |
3 | –17.03 | 8.94 | 54.17 | –8.90 | 8.03 | 34.12 |
4 | –24.55 | 8.36 | 55.55 | –11.17 | 8.18 | 43.54 |
5 | –22.79 | 9.42 | 81.86 | –9.77 | 8.73 | 59.77 |
6 | –29.47 | 9.07 | 84.82 | –18.10 | 7.72 | 53.23 |
7 | –33.21 | 9.03 | 93.61 | –16.50 | 8.33 | 70.78 |
8 | –37.74 | 9.00 | 101.32 | –21.74 | 7.84 | 69.96 |
9 | –38.06 | 9.39 | 120.01 | –19.72 | 8.31 | 87.41 |
10 | –50.94 | 8.31 | 100.42 | –23.51 | 8.16 | 91.53 |
11 | –53.52 | 8.62 | 115.01 | –31.34 | 7.50 | 83.27 |
12 | –43.60 | 9.83 | 161.54 | –29.50 | 8.09 | 103.61 |
13 | –36.25 | 10.55 | 197.66 | –24.07 | 8.73 | 129.72 |
14 | –56.51 | 9.36 | 163.33 | –27.56 | 8.42 | 130.58 |
15 | –71.50 | 8.16 | 130.66 | –43.05 | 7.12 | 98.98 |
16 | –69.34 | 8.94 | 163.69 | –40.80 | 7.68 | 121.29 |
17 | –66.95 | 9.38 | 189.36 | –37.24 | 8.16 | 144.16 |
18 | –73.45 | 9.17 | 188.75 | –22.73 | 9.12 | 190.43 |
19 | –59.52 | 10.14 | 243.14 | –34.95 | 8.46 | 172.41 |
20 | –66.70 | 10.01 | 244.45 | 12.34 | 10.57 | 283.52 |
q | ε=0.05 | ||
---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –9.32 | 8.69 | 25.10 |
2 | –12.20 | 9.93 | 47.07 |
3 | –14.57 | 10.50 | 66.24 |
4 | –24.91 | 9.42 | 62.67 |
5 | –22.70 | 10.56 | 91.44 |
6 | –29.64 | 10.16 | 95.11 |
7 | –30.04 | 10.53 | 114.25 |
8 | –38.89 | 10.00 | 112.09 |
9 | –37.56 | 10.56 | 136.33 |
10 | –53.14 | 9.23 | 111.33 |
11 | –54.89 | 9.61 | 129.09 |
12 | –34.69 | 11.59 | 202.38 |
13 | –45.52 | 11.06 | 195.16 |
14 | –55.04 | 10.61 | 189.53 |
15 | –71.78 | 9.44 | 157.89 |
16 | –74.81 | 9.69 | 173.25 |
17 | –60.45 | 10.94 | 233.31 |
18 | –67.03 | 10.79 | 236.23 |
19 | –47.35 | 11.87 | 301.11 |
20 | –43.71 | 12.18 | 328.79 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ε=0.25 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –2.4 | 1.17 | 4.8 | –2.00 | 1.14 | 4.44 | –1.75 | 1.11 | 4.06 | –1.48 | 1.11 | 3.93 | –1.28 | 1.10 | 3.72 |
2 | –3.82 | 1.25 | 7.07 | –3.24 | 1.20 | 6.54 | –2.78 | 1.19 | 6.35 | –2.44 | 1.18 | 6.10 | –2.16 | 1.15 | 5.67 |
3 | –5.43 | 1.20 | 7.63 | –4.61 | 1.20 | 7.61 | –3.92 | 1.21 | 7.78 | –3.37 | 1.22 | 7.83 | –2.94 | 1.20 | 7.54 |
4 | –6.72 | 1.25 | 9.21 | –5.82 | 1.22 | 8.92 | –5.13 | 1.19 | 8.60 | –4.47 | 1.18 | 8.54 | –3.91 | 1.18 | 8.46 |
5 | –7.82 | 1.23 | 10.20 | –6.85 | 1.18 | 9.54 | –6.11 | 1.16 | 9.27 | –5.29 | 1.19 | 9.77 | –4.56 | 1.18 | 9.81 |
6 | –9.15 | 1.17 | 10.02 | –8.06 | 1.14 | 9.69 | –7.16 | 1.17 | 10.33 | –6.46 | 1.16 | 10.19 | –5.76 | 1.14 | 9.85 |
7 | –10.10 | 1.23 | 12.06 | –8.76 | 1.21 | 11.98 | –7.81 | 1.20 | 12.01 | –6.92 | 1.19 | 12.04 | –6.16 | 1.17 | 11.79 |
8 | –11.33 | 1.15 | 11.18 | –10.06 | 1.14 | 11.38 | –8.93 | 1.14 | 11.74 | –8.01 | 1.14 | 11.79 | –7.13 | 1.15 | 12.10 |
9 | –12.32 | 1.21 | 13.25 | –10.91 | 1.16 | 12.55 | –9.80 | 1.16 | 13.00 | –8.96 | 1.14 | 12.63 | –7.97 | 1.14 | 12.74 |
10 | –13.29 | 1.16 | 13.07 | –11.92 | 1.11 | 12.30 | –10.81 | 1.12 | 12.82 | –9.68 | 1.14 | 13.57 | –8.51 | 1.17 | 14.53 |
11 | –14.55 | 1.17 | 13.76 | –12.83 | 1.16 | 14.18 | –11.55 | 1.16 | 14.60 | –10.18 | 1.20 | 15.93 | –9.29 | 1.15 | 15.04 |
12 | –15.34 | 1.10 | 13.07 | –13.65 | 1.10 | 13.70 | –12.43 | 1.09 | 13.77 | –11.29 | 1.09 | 13.99 | –10.40 | 1.04 | 13.10 |
13 | –16.44 | 1.16 | 15.04 | –14.56 | 1.15 | 15.55 | –13.20 | 1.12 | 15.14 | –11.92 | 1.14 | 16.16 | –10.87 | 1.12 | 15.95 |
14 | –17.29 | 1.15 | 15.70 | –15.42 | 1.12 | 15.69 | –13.85 | 1.15 | 17.12 | –12.62 | 1.14 | 17.10 | –11.67 | 1.11 | 16.41 |
15 | –18.35 | 1.12 | 15.45 | –16.36 | 1.11 | 15.77 | –14.82 | 1.12 | 16.75 | –13.62 | 1.10 | 16.50 | –12.53 | 1.06 | 15.73 |
16 | –19.02 | 1.09 | 15.46 | –16.99 | 1.12 | 17.21 | –15.64 | 1.02 | 14.69 | –14.52 | 1.02 | 14.86 | –13.30 | 1.01 | 14.92 |
17 | –20.00 | 1.11 | 16.50 | –17.92 | 1.07 | 16.31 | –16.40 | 1.05 | 16.08 | –15.14 | 1.04 | 16.07 | –13.92 | 1.06 | 17.11 |
18 | –20.95 | 1.09 | 16.36 | –18.76 | 1.13 | 18.63 | –17.04 | 1.13 | 19.41 | –15.67 | 1.09 | 18.60 | –14.44 | 1.06 | 17.96 |
19 | –21.59 | 1.06 | 16.18 | –19.32 | 1.12 | 19.30 | –17.84 | 1.05 | 17.42 | –16.48 | 1.02 | 16.92 | –15.29 | 1.00 | 16.64 |
20 | –22.57 | 1.05 | 16.40 | –20.45 | 1.02 | 16.39 | –18.89 | 1.02 | 16.92 | –17.53 | 1.01 | 17.10 | –16.22 | 1.03 | 17.91 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –3.15 | 1.22 | 5.34 | –2.66 | 1.20 | 5.08 | –2.31 | 1.18 | 4.82 | –2.00 | 1.18 | 4.69 |
2 | –5.05 | 1.30 | 7.52 | –4.30 | 1.27 | 7.25 | –3.76 | 1.27 | 7.18 | –3.36 | 1.25 | 6.86 |
3 | –6.90 | 1.22 | 7.66 | –6.04 | 1.22 | 7.69 | –5.37 | 1.22 | 7.75 | –4.79 | 1.23 | 7.88 |
4 | –8.48 | 1.24 | 8.86 | –7.54 | 1.22 | 8.55 | –6.74 | 1.22 | 8.75 | –6.08 | 1.22 | 8.72 |
5 | –9.73 | 1.23 | 9.78 | –8.64 | 1.22 | 9.70 | –7.83 | 1.20 | 9.55 | –7.06 | 1.23 | 10.11 |
6 | –11.11 | 1.22 | 10.32 | –9.95 | 1.16 | 9.61 | –9.16 | 1.18 | 10.01 | –8.45 | 1.14 | 9.42 |
7 | –12.44 | 1.30 | 12.76 | –11.10 | 1.25 | 12.01 | –10.18 | 1.22 | 11.56 | –9.30 | 1.19 | 11.25 |
8 | –13.50 | 1.20 | 11.70 | –12.16 | 1.12 | 10.44 | –11.23 | 1.14 | 10.93 | –10.34 | 1.12 | 10.77 |
9 | –14.99 | 1.23 | 12.91 | –13.43 | 1.17 | 12.05 | –12.37 | 1.19 | 12.57 | –11.38 | 1.14 | 11.83 |
10 | –15.93 | 1.19 | 12.77 | –14.40 | 1.15 | 12.33 | –13.30 | 1.12 | 11.90 | –12.34 | 1.15 | 12.89 |
11 | –17.25 | 1.14 | 12.12 | –15.66 | 1.17 | 13.34 | –14.47 | 1.17 | 13.63 | –13.32 | 1.20 | 14.78 |
12 | –18.09 | 1.14 | 13.07 | –16.39 | 1.11 | 12.93 | –15.23 | 1.14 | 13.90 | 13.99 | 1.18 | 15.27 |
13 | –19.30 | 1.15 | 13.83 | –17.59 | 1.13 | 13.80 | –16.22 | 1.12 | 14.19 | –15.16 | 1.13 | 14.55 |
14 | –20.27 | 1.12 | 13.76 | –18.51 | 1.12 | 14.29 | –17.24 | 1.15 | 15.56 | –16.03 | 1.14 | 15.68 |
15 | –21.45 | 1.12 | 14.21 | –19.50 | 1.11 | 14.77 | –18.15 | 1.13 | 15.69 | –16.93 | 1.12 | 15.79 |
16 | –22.29 | 1.12 | 15.08 | –20.47 | 1.14 | 16.20 | –18.70 | 1.08 | 15.05 | –17.47 | 1.07 | 15.14 |
17 | –23.40 | 1.12 | 15.42 | –21.36 | 1.12 | 16.25 | –19.69 | 1.08 | 15.81 | –18.33 | 1.08 | 16.04 |
18 | –24.34 | 1.10 | 15.29 | –22.56 | 1.13 | 17.16 | –20.96 | 1.13 | 17.70 | –19.42 | 1.13 | 18.29 |
19 | –24.91 | 1.07 | 15.11 | –23.26 | 1.12 | 17.50 | –21.40 | 1.06 | 16.22 | –19.96 | 1.08 | 17.53 |
20 | –25.70 | 1.04 | 14.72 | –23.61 | 1.01 | 14.70 | –22.08 | 1.00 | 14.81 | –20.98 | 1.02 | 15.70 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –3.77 | 1.26 | 5.81 | –3.22 | 1.25 | 5.60 | –2.72 | 1.27 | 5.67 |
2 | –6.05 | 1.31 | 7.60 | –5.21 | 1.30 | 7.49 | –4.64 | 1.30 | 7.50 |
3 | –7.95 | 1.23 | 7.68 | –7.12 | 1.21 | 7.39 | –6.45 | 1.20 | 7.40 |
4 | –9.63 | 1.23 | 8.47 | –8.68 | 1.19 | 8.03 | –7.94 | 1.23 | 8.58 |
5 | –11.11 | 1.28 | 10.17 | –9.98 | 1.22 | 9.42 | –9.11 | 1.21 | 9.41 |
6 | –12.59 | 1.27 | 10.81 | –11.29 | 1.19 | 9.77 | –10.56 | 1.20 | 9.96 |
7 | –14.28 | 1.34 | 12.76 | –12.79 | 1.26 | 11.74 | –11.82 | 1.23 | 11.30 |
8 | –15.30 | 1.31 | 13.34 | –13.73 | 1.20 | 11.58 | –12.75 | 1.15 | 10.82 |
9 | –16.82 | 1.22 | 11.98 | –15.18 | 1.19 | 11.81 | –14.17 | 1.19 | 12.01 |
10 | –17.73 | 1.19 | 12.20 | –16.18 | 1.17 | 12.38 | –15.07 | 1.16 | 12.40 |
11 | –18.79 | 1.11 | 10.91 | –17.58 | 1.16 | 12.46 | –16.41 | 1.16 | 12.90 |
12 | –19.83 | 1.13 | 12.12 | –18.32 | 1.14 | 12.89 | –17.24 | 1.16 | 13.56 |
13 | –21.37 | 1.16 | 13.40 | –19.63 | 1.13 | 13.19 | –18.18 | 1.11 | 13.12 |
14 | –22.09 | 1.10 | 12.50 | –20.40 | 1.10 | 13.13 | –19.37 | 1.12 | 13.89 |
15 | –23.33 | 1.11 | 13.19 | –21.63 | 1.12 | 13.97 | –20.38 | 1.13 | 14.70 |
16 | –24.51 | 1.13 | 14.50 | –22.82 | 1.15 | 15.71 | –21.04 | 1.12 | 15.36 |
17 | –25.57 | 1.11 | 14.18 | –23.78 | 1.13 | 15.48 | –22.11 | 1.12 | 15.84 |
18 | –26.50 | 1.09 | 14.36 | –25.00 | 1.12 | 15.81 | –23.55 | 1.14 | 16.78 |
19 | –27.03 | 1.06 | 14.03 | –25.70 | 1.11 | 16.12 | –23.76 | 1.06 | 15.33 |
20 | –28.00 | 1.05 | 14.26 | –25.85 | 1.03 | 14.35 | –24.20 | 1.00 | 13.94 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –4.33 | 1.29 | 6.07 | –3.73 | 1.29 | 5.94 | –3.24 | 1.30 | 5.99 |
2 | –6.85 | 1.33 | 7.64 | –6.00 | 1.31 | 7.57 | –5.41 | 1.31 | 7.46 |
3 | –8.75 | 1.22 | 7.48 | –7.89 | 1.20 | 7.30 | –7.26 | 1.21 | 7.34 |
4 | –10.56 | 1.29 | 9.20 | –9.47 | 1.17 | 7.67 | –8.85 | 1.21 | 8.24 |
5 | –12.24 | 1.30 | 10.32 | –11.02 | 1.24 | 9.47 | –10.11 | 1.22 | 9.40 |
6 | –13.82 | 1.33 | 11.70 | –12.38 | 1.22 | 10.07 | –11.64 | 1.22 | 9.99 |
7 | –15.71 | 1.35 | 12.60 | –14.08 | 1.27 | 11.52 | –13.07 | 1.24 | 11.23 |
8 | –16.80 | 1.32 | 13.04 | –15.12 | 1.26 | 12.46 | –13.99 | 1.22 | 11.84 |
9 | –18.03 | 1.20 | 11.07 | –16.49 | 1.19 | 11.41 | –15.48 | 1.19 | 11.56 |
10 | –19.06 | 1.18 | 11.53 | –17.51 | 1.18 | 12.13 | –16.54 | 1.21 | 12.87 |
11 | –19.80 | 1.09 | 10.26 | –18.88 | 1.14 | 11.63 | –17.84 | 1.15 | 12.04 |
12 | –21.20 | 1.13 | 11.90 | –19.79 | 1.14 | 12.46 | –18.75 | 1.16 | 13.11 |
13 | –22.89 | 1.17 | 12.98 | –21.13 | 1.14 | 12.80 | –19.55 | 1.09 | 12.25 |
14 | –23.41 | 1.09 | 11.88 | –21.85 | 1.10 | 12.63 | –20.70 | 1.09 | 12.49 |
15 | –24.65 | 1.10 | 12.58 | –23.25 | 1.13 | 13.66 | –21.99 | 1.12 | 13.76 |
16 | –26.19 | 1.14 | 13.98 | –24.63 | 1.16 | 15.20 | –22.93 | 1.15 | 15.54 |
17 | –27.02 | 1.09 | 13.20 | –25.48 | 1.12 | 14.49 | –23.97 | 1.12 | 15.16 |
18 | –28.10 | 1.09 | 13.72 | –26.58 | 1.10 | 14.46 | –25.38 | 1.13 | 15.59 |
19 | –28.42 | 1.04 | 13.07 | –27.36 | 1.10 | 15.07 | –25.43 | 1.05 | 14.35 |
20 | –29.77 | 1.06 | 13.99 | –27.76 | 1.05 | 14.45 | –25.79 | 1.00 | 13.32 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –4.82 | 1.31 | 6.22 | –4.17 | 1.31 | 6.18 |
2 | –7.50 | 1.33 | 7.61 | –6.64 | 1.32 | 7.58 |
3 | –9.36 | 1.21 | 7.31 | –8.52 | 1.20 | 7.15 |
4 | –11.39 | 1.34 | 9.82 | –10.18 | 1.22 | 8.24 |
5 | –13.19 | 1.32 | 10.39 | –11.86 | 1.25 | 9.49 |
6 | –14.92 | 1.40 | 12.62 | –13.34 | 1.28 | 10.79 |
7 | –16.85 | 1.35 | 12.17 | –15.12 | 1.28 | 11.35 |
8 | –18.00 | 1.32 | 12.74 | –16.26 | 1.28 | 12.42 |
9 | –18.91 | 1.18 | 10.45 | –17.46 | 1.17 | 10.73 |
10 | –20.05 | 1.17 | 11.05 | –18.66 | 1.19 | 12.01 |
11 | –20.40 | 1.06 | 9.60 | –19.86 | 1.14 | 11.25 |
12 | –22.38 | 1.14 | 11.78 | –20.85 | 1.13 | 11.78 |
13 | –23.94 | 1.15 | 12.30 | –22.26 | 1.13 | 12.23 |
14 | –24.46 | 1.09 | 11.54 | –23.10 | 1.11 | 12.53 |
15 | –25.89 | 1.11 | 12.43 | –24.54 | 1.13 | 13.37 |
16 | –27.52 | 1.14 | 13.59 | –25.97 | 1.15 | 14.37 |
17 | –28.09 | 1.08 | 12.54 | –26.73 | 1.11 | 13.67 |
18 | –29.18 | 1.08 | 12.85 | –27.62 | 1.08 | 13.34 |
19 | –29.53 | 1.04 | 12.37 | –28.52 | 1.08 | 14.04 |
20 | –31.17 | 1.07 | 13.71 | –29.22 | 1.06 | 14.13 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –5.24 | 1.32 | 6.31 | –4.57 | 1.33 | 6.36 |
2 | –8.06 | 1.32 | 7.47 | –7.20 | 1.32 | 7.56 |
3 | –9.82 | 1.19 | 7.08 | –9.02 | 1.19 | 7.05 |
4 | –12.16 | 1.36 | 9.88 | –10.84 | 1.26 | 8.70 |
5 | –13.99 | 1.33 | 10.29 | –12.56 | 1.26 | 9.50 |
6 | –15.93 | 1.42 | 12.70 | –14.20 | 1.33 | 11.50 |
7 | –17.79 | 1.34 | 11.67 | –16.02 | 1.29 | 11.39 |
8 | –18.93 | 1.31 | 12.21 | –17.24 | 1.29 | 12.32 |
9 | –19.63 | 1.16 | 9.92 | –18.17 | 1.15 | 10.12 |
10 | –20.89 | 1.17 | 10.86 | –19.60 | 1.19 | 11.77 |
11 | –21.16 | 1.07 | 9.58 | –20.60 | 1.13 | 10.82 |
12 | –23.28 | 1.14 | 11.40 | –21.76 | 1.13 | 11.52 |
13 | –24.70 | 1.14 | 11.65 | –23.10 | 1.12 | 11.68 |
14 | –25.43 | 1.10 | 11.46 | –24.26 | 1.13 | 12.71 |
15 | –26.92 | 1.12 | 12.26 | –25.52 | 1.12 | 12.84 |
16 | –28.68 | 1.15 | 13.42 | –27.14 | 1.16 | 14.07 |
17 | –28.78 | 1.06 | 11.78 | –27.68 | 1.10 | 13.05 |
18 | –29.89 | 1.06 | 11.98 | –28.48 | 1.07 | 12.64 |
19 | –30.35 | 1.02 | 11.75 | –29.23 | 1.05 | 12.89 |
20 | –32.21 | 1.07 | 13.19 | –30.42 | 1.07 | 13.89 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –5.63 | 1.31 | 6.26 | –4.96 | 1.33 | 6.36 |
2 | –8.52 | 1.32 | 7.41 | –7.68 | 1.32 | 7.44 |
3 | –10.25 | 1.20 | 7.14 | –9.41 | 1.17 | 6.84 |
4 | –12.83 | 1.37 | 9.93 | –11.43 | 1.27 | 8.77 |
5 | –14.66 | 1.32 | 10.00 | –13.15 | 1.26 | 9.39 |
6 | –16.81 | 1.43 | 12.51 | –15.02 | 1.38 | 12.31 |
7 | –18.55 | 1.33 | 11.17 | –16.80 | 1.30 | 11.35 |
8 | –19.70 | 1.30 | 11.66 | –18.07 | 1.29 | 12.10 |
9 | –20.27 | 1.16 | 9.62 | –18.79 | 1.14 | 9.83 |
10 | –21.58 | 1.17 | 10.63 | –20.39 | 1.20 | 11.59 |
11 | –22.14 | 1.10 | 10.11 | –21.15 | 1.11 | 10.40 |
12 | –24.11 | 1.15 | 11.28 | –22.51 | 1.12 | 11.13 |
13 | –25.26 | 1.12 | 11.11 | –23.62 | 1.09 | 10.92 |
14 | –26.20 | 1.10 | 11.24 | –25.26 | 1.15 | 12.81 |
15 | –27.86 | 1.13 | 12.23 | –26.35 | 1.12 | 12.45 |
16 | –29.60 | 1.15 | 13.09 | –28.04 | 1.15 | 13.61 |
17 | –29.18 | 1.04 | 10.98 | –28.38 | 1.08 | 12.41 |
18 | –30.66 | 1.06 | 11.66 | –29.19 | 1.06 | 12.10 |
19 | –31.09 | 1.02 | 11.40 | –29.76 | 1.03 | 11.96 |
20 | –32.98 | 1.06 | 12.70 | –31.41 | 1.07 | 13.62 |
q | ε=0.05 | ||
---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –5.99 | 1.29 | 6.08 |
2 | –8.93 | 1.32 | 7.35 |
3 | –10.66 | 1.20 | 7.13 |
4 | –13.44 | 1.39 | 9.99 |
5 | –15.24 | 1.32 | 9.79 |
6 | –17.58 | 1.44 | 12.41 |
7 | –19.17 | 1.31 | 10.74 |
8 | –20.39 | 1.30 | 11.37 |
9 | –20.81 | 1.15 | 9.40 |
10 | –22.00 | 1.15 | 10.11 |
11 | –23.09 | 1.14 | 10.67 |
12 | –24.83 | 1.15 | 11.18 |
13 | –25.67 | 1.10 | 10.55 |
14 | –27.12 | 1.12 | 11.48 |
15 | –28.73 | 1.14 | 12.25 |
16 | –30.33 | 1.15 | 12.67 |
17 | –29.48 | 1.02 | 10.37 |
18 | –31.18 | 1.05 | 11.20 |
19 | –31.68 | 1.02 | 11.10 |
20 | –33.62 | 1.05 | 12.29 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ε=0.25 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –4.73 | 1.45 | 4.36 | –3.04 | 1.34 | 4.06 | –2.12 | 1.26 | 3.76 | –1.49 | 1.18 | 3.39 | –1.06 | 1.11 | 2.97 |
2 | –6.71 | 1.34 | 4.86 | –4.68 | 1.24 | 4.73 | –3.47 | 1.18 | 4.62 | –2.56 | 1.14 | 4.52 | –1.85 | 1.09 | 4.28 |
3 | –8.19 | 1.23 | 4.99 | –5.96 | 1.18 | 5.27 | –4.55 | 1.15 | 5.51 | –3.44 | 1.12 | 5.59 | –2.52 | 1.08 | 5.47 |
4 | –9.56 | 1.20 | 5.42 | –7.20 | 1.15 | 5.85 | –5.59 | 1.13 | 6.24 | –4.32 | 1.10 | 6.36 | –3.22 | 1.08 | 6.45 |
5 | –10.68 | 1.15 | 5.72 | –8.21 | 1.11 | 6.18 | –6.48 | 1.07 | 6.45 | –5.10 | 1.06 | 6.87 | –3.85 | 1.07 | 7.30 |
6 | –11.89 | 1.13 | 6.03 | –9.28 | 1.09 | 6.66 | –7.48 | 1.08 | 7.22 | –5.94 | 1.07 | 7.76 | –4.52 | 1.06 | 8.17 |
7 | –12.88 | 1.10 | 6.32 | –10.05 | 1.05 | 6.89 | –8.18 | 1.05 | 7.64 | –6.55 | 1.03 | 8.10 | –5.04 | 1.02 | 8.60 |
8 | –13.80 | 1.05 | 6.22 | –11.01 | 1.03 | 7.10 | –9.01 | 1.01 | 7.79 | –7.34 | 1.01 | 8.49 | –5.74 | 1.02 | 9.27 |
9 | –14.98 | 1.06 | 6.81 | –11.94 | 1.03 | 7.69 | –9.87 | 1.02 | 8.58 | –8.12 | 1.03 | 9.46 | –6.36 | 1.02 | 10.16 |
10 | –15.69 | 1.01 | 6.59 | –12.80 | 1.00 | 7.72 | –10.69 | 1.01 | 8.93 | –8.77 | 1.01 | 9.87 | –6.80 | 1.03 | 11.18 |
11 | –16.64 | 1.00 | 6.91 | –13.60 | 0.99 | 8.27 | –11.41 | 1.01 | 9.73 | –9.37 | 1.01 | 10.69 | –7.36 | 1.02 | 11.76 |
12 | –17.36 | 0.96 | 6.75 | –14.32 | 0.96 | 8.08 | –12.11 | 0.95 | 9.10 | –10.23 | 0.96 | 10.03 | –8.22 | 0.98 | 11.43 |
13 | –18.44 | 0.97 | 7.26 | –15.16 | 0.95 | 8.32 | –12.83 | 0.94 | 9.27 | –10.78 | 0.96 | 10.85 | –8.69 | 0.98 | 12.25 |
14 | –18.92 | 0.93 | 7.14 | –15.63 | 0.91 | 8.29 | –13.44 | 0.93 | 9.87 | –11.39 | 0.94 | 10.90 | –9.14 | 1.00 | 13.50 |
15 | –19.89 | 0.93 | 7.36 | –16.62 | 0.92 | 8.71 | –14.33 | 0.95 | 10.55 | –12.10 | 0.95 | 11.79 | –9.94 | 0.96 | 13.18 |
16 | –20.30 | 0.90 | 7.22 | –17.20 | 0.90 | 8.85 | –14.87 | 0.91 | 10.16 | –12.71 | 0.94 | 12.03 | –10.48 | 0.94 | 13.24 |
17 | –21.44 | 0.91 | 7.67 | –18.01 | 0.90 | 9.34 | –15.43 | 0.89 | 10.27 | –13.26 | 0.92 | 12.07 | –11.00 | 0.95 | 14.11 |
18 | –22.11 | 0.89 | 7.70 | –18.64 | 0.88 | 9.28 | –16.19 | 0.89 | 10.64 | –13.93 | 0.91 | 12.45 | –11.49 | 0.95 | 14.95 |
19 | –22.16 | 0.85 | 7.25 | –19.02 | 0.85 | 8.84 | –16.83 | 0.89 | 11.09 | –14.49 | 0.92 | 13.21 | –12.13 | 0.92 | 14.59 |
20 | –23.56 | 0.87 | 7.96 | –20.00 | 0.86 | 9.50 | –17.61 | 0.90 | 11.89 | –15.26 | 0.93 | 14.00 | –12.64 | 0.96 | 16.38 |
q | ε=0.05 | ε=0.10 | ε=0.15 | ε=0.20 | ε=0.25 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | θ0 | θ1 | η | |
1 | –3.15 | 1.45 | 5.06 | –2.47 | 1.38 | 4.59 | –2.11 | 1.31 | 4.12 | –1.53 | 1.24 | 3.71 | –1.14 | 1.19 | 3.29 |
2 | –5.05 | 1.34 | 6.03 | –4.04 | 1.37 | 6.36 | –3.33 | 1.33 | 6.15 | –2.51 | 1.30 | 5.86 | –1.84 | 1.17 | 5.02 |
3 | –6.70 | 1.28 | 6.57 | –5.49 | 1.23 | 6.39 | –4.80 | 1.24 | 6.48 | –3.55 | 1.19 | 6.42 | –2.07 | 1.26 | 7.56 |
4 | –8.35 | 1.43 | 9.06 | –6.87 | 1.38 | 8.89 | –5.74 | 1.44 | 9.97 | –4.76 | 1.27 | 8.00 | –3.01 | 1.26 | 8.70 |
5 | –9.55 | 1.37 | 9.72 | –8.13 | 1.21 | 7.92 | –7.32 | 1.25 | 8.52 | –5.18 | 1.30 | 10.05 | –3.72 | 1.25 | 9.77 |
6 | –10.83 | 1.38 | 10.91 | –8.95 | 1.34 | 11.06 | –7.86 | 1.28 | 10.38 | –6.44 | 1.15 | 8.93 | –4.63 | 1.12 | 9.26 |
7 | –12.14 | 1.50 | 13.93 | –10.14 | 1.40 | 12.99 | –9.25 | 1.31 | 11.56 | –6.25 | 1.37 | 14.13 | –3.72 | 1.35 | 14.93 |
8 | –13.19 | 1.36 | 12.65 | –11.30 | 1.37 | 13.34 | –9.58 | 1.46 | 15.75 | –7.45 | 1.33 | 14.19 | –3.30 | 1.43 | 18.48 |
9 | –14.66 | 1.41 | 14.21 | –12.51 | 1.41 | 14.98 | –10.75 | 1.46 | 16.70 | –6.99 | 1.43 | 18.27 | –5.54 | 1.30 | 16.13 |
10 | –15.12 | 1.13 | 9.96 | –13.52 | 1.19 | 11.55 | –11.98 | 1.30 | 14.56 | –9.08 | 1.26 | 15.01 | –4.75 | 1.37 | 19.82 |
11 | –17.20 | 1.31 | 13.71 | –14.25 | 1.46 | 18.58 | –12.78 | 1.44 | 18.51 | –9.10 | 1.37 | 18.97 | –5.37 | 1.35 | 20.70 |
12 | –16.90 | 1.09 | 10.47 | –15.04 | 1.13 | 12.03 | –13.48 | 1.20 | 14.31 | –10.71 | 1.13 | 14.22 | –8.72 | 1.06 | 13.41 |
13 | –19.45 | 1.29 | 14.70 | –17.23 | 1.25 | 14.64 | –15.32 | 1.21 | 14.52 | –12.29 | 1.08 | 12.87 | –8.48 | 1.27 | 19.48 |
14 | –19.70 | 1.26 | 15.46 | –16.81 | 1.21 | 15.71 | –15.13 | 1.20 | 16.14 | –12.68 | 1.07 | 13.90 | –9.59 | 1.10 | 16.29 |
15 | –21.15 | 1.28 | 16.23 | –17.79 | 1.23 | 16.90 | –16.53 | 1.20 | 16.24 | –12.37 | 1.26 | 20.32 | –9.85 | 1.15 | 18.54 |
16 | –22.33 | 1.30 | 17.45 | –19.82 | 1.23 | 16.50 | –17.98 | 1.35 | 20.84 | –14.64 | 1.19 | 18.14 | –11.07 | 1.16 | 19.25 |
17 | –23.55 | 1.25 | 16.65 | –20.90 | 1.27 | 18.31 | –19.06 | 1.29 | 19.78 | –15.09 | 1.24 | 20.41 | –11.72 | 1.16 | 20.01 |
18 | –25.01 | 1.26 | 17.13 | –21.75 | 1.18 | 16.44 | –20.21 | 1.26 | 19.49 | –14.20 | 1.42 | 28.49 | –12.53 | 1.17 | 20.98 |
19 | –24.56 | 1.23 | 18.38 | –21.76 | 1.10 | 15.48 | –20.60 | 1.14 | 17.03 | –16.77 | 1.05 | 16.31 | –13.65 | 0.97 | 15.47 |
20 | –26.56 | 1.20 | 17.01 | –23.30 | 1.12 | 15.96 | –21.75 | 1.18 | 18.40 | –17.87 | 1.08 | 17.49 | –14.14 | 1.11 | 20.23 |
k | q=1 | q=5 | q=10 | q=15 | q=20 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BP | HS | BP | HS | BP | HS | BP | HS | BP | HS | |
1 | 0.0383 | 0.0485 | 0.0540 | 0.0494 | 0.0526 | 0.0497 | 0.0768 | 0.0496 | 0.1620 | 0.0492 |
2 | 0.0524 | 0.0490 | 0.0653 | 0.0499 | 0.0622 | 0.0494 | 0.1096 | 0.0487 | 0.2993 | 0.0490 |
3 | 0.0487 | 0.0494 | 0.0608 | 0.0495 | 0.0562 | 0.0491 | 0.1130 | 0.0494 | 0.3588 | 0.0497 |
4 | 0.0577 | 0.0497 | 0.0624 | 0.0499 | 0.0532 | 0.0492 | 0.1156 | 0.0496 | 0.4059 | 0.0495 |
5 | 0.0767 | 0.0494 | 0.0684 | 0.0496 | 0.0527 | 0.0495 | 0.1198 | 0.0503 | 0.4460 | 0.0497 |
6 | 0.1161 | 0.0496 | 0.0815 | 0.0497 | 0.0550 | 0.0493 | 0.1271 | 0.0508 | 0.4876 | 0.0495 |
7 | 0.1912 | 0.0498 | 0.1034 | 0.0497 | 0.0610 | 0.0501 | 0.1388 | 0.0507 | 0.5305 | 0.0502 |
8 | 0.3269 | 0.0504 | 0.1383 | 0.0499 | 0.0714 | 0.0503 | 0.1543 | 0.0501 | 0.5767 | 0.0498 |
9 | 0.5419 | 0.0501 | 0.1913 | 0.0501 | 0.0861 | 0.0505 | 0.1751 | 0.0497 | 0.6242 | 0.0494 |
The authors acknowledge the support of the ESRC grant RES-062-23-1351. We would like to thank Jonathan Boyle and Robin Pinning of the University of Manchester Research Computing Services for their assistance in using Condor. We are also grateful to Denise Osborn for useful comments on various aspects of the work. This paper was presented at the 4th CSDA international conference on computational and financial econometrics (CFE ’10), 10-12 December 2010, London, UK.
- 1
The error must also satisfy certain other conditions detailed in the sources mentioned below.
- 2
If p=0 then all parameters are regime specific and the model is said to exhibit pure structural change.
- 3
It should be noted that these limiting distributions only apply for the statistics based on FT(λ1,…,λk;q) if the regression error ut is homoscedastic and serially uncorrelated. If the errors are heteroscedastic and/or serially correlated then the same limiting distributions hold for the analogous functions of Wald statistics that satisfactorily account for the error structure; see Bai and Perron (1998) for further details.
- 4
Such large values of ε are reported because Andrews (1993) allows for asymmetric trimming.
- 5
This methodology has also been employed by Sen and Hall (1999) for the distributions of their overidentifying restrictions test (OT) and by Sen (1999) for the Ghysels, Guay, and Hall’s (1997) predictive test.
- 6
From the case of q=1, it can be seen that this case occurs for k=9. Further investigation reveals the main source of the distortion is Bai and Perron’s (2003b) response surface: the appropriate critical value reported in Bai and Perron (1998) is 5.20 which translates, using our response surfaces, to a p-value of 0.0758; the critical value predicted by Bai and Perron’s (2003b) response surface is 3.8023. In contrast, our simulations (based on an enhanced design) yield a critical value of 5.4210 for which our response surface gives a p-value of 0.05006.
- 7
In the original version of this paper, we restricted attention to q=1,5,10 but, given the nature of the results for those cases, a referee conjectured Bai and Perron’s (2003b) response surfaces would work well for cases q>10. While natural given results for q=1, 5, 10, this conjecture is erroneous as our results demonstrate. We therefore included these cases to avoid the reader making the same mistake. We attribute the inaccuracy of Bai and Perron’s (2003b) response surfaces to these cases to the fact that the surfaces were calculated using cases for which q≤10 only.
- 8
For completeness, we note that we performed similar calculations for ε=0.10,0.15,0.20,0.25 for q=1,5,10. The distortions are smaller than those reported for ε=0.05 but are nevertheless non-trivial in a number of circumstances. These results are available from the authors upon request.
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