The long-term impact of the Leprosy Post-Exposure Prophylaxis (LPEP) program on leprosy incidence: A modelling study
Fig 1
Comparison of modelled trends with the observed leprosy new case detection rates in LPEP areas across states and districts in seven countries.
Each panel represents the trends in subnational states or districts (arranged in descending order of baseline endemicity level): India (Union Territory Dadra and Nagar Haveli); Brazil (Alta Floresta city and region and Rondonópolis city in Mato Grosso, Araguaína and Colinas do Tocantins in Tocantins, Petrolina city and region in Pernambuco); Indonesia (Sumenep district); Tanzania (Kilombero, Liwale and Nanyumbu); Nepal (Jhapa, Morang and Parsa districts); Sri Lanka (Kalutara and Puttalam districts); Myanmar (Nyaung Oo, Myingyan and Tharyarwaddy Townships). Data are represented by black dots and crosses. The solid line represents the mean model estimate and the shaded area the 95% prediction interval.