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BEAST 2: A Software Platform for Bayesian Evolutionary Analysis

Figure 3

Bayesian estimate of the effective reproduction number R_e over time (from simulated data).

Towards the end of the 3.5 years of the underlying epidemic process, R_e decreases below 1, which indicates a declining epidemic.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003537.g003