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Abstract

We consider the problem of analyzing long-term experiments with panels of nonlinear time-series data in the framework of generalized additive models. Our approach is developed for testing and estimating the (partial) common dynamic structure across treatment groups. We illustrate our approach with a detailed analysis of an ecotoxicological experiment on the effect of sublethal doses of a toxic substance (cadmium) on the long-run dynamic structure of the greenbottle blowfly (Lucilia sericata). The general model for the blowfly experiment is a generalized additive model which is derived from a stage-structured ecological model. We discuss the relationship between the components of the generalized additive model and those of the underlying stage-structured model. In particular, our proposed approach casts new insights on the effect of toxic diet on the population dynamic structure of the blowfly.

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Correspondence to Grace Chan.

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Chan, G., Chan, KS., Stenseth, N.C. et al. Analyzing nonlinear population dynamics data. JABES 9, 200–215 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1198/1085711043587

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1198/1085711043587

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