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From the kinetic theory of strength and fracture concentration criterion to the seismogenic fracture density and earthquake forecasting

  • Proceedings of the Conference Dedicated to S. N. Zhurkov (1905–1997)
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Abstract

The evolution of the concepts of the concentration criterion of fracture of solids, proposed by Zhurkov, in connection with its use for forecasting strong seismic events in earthquake source physics is considered. The results of long-term testing of the seismogenic fracture density as an earthquake precursor are analyzed in various seismically active regions of the world. Data on its forecasting efficiency are considered.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Schmidt Joint Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Bol’shaya Gruzinskaya 10, Moscow, 123995, Russia

    A. D. Zavyalov

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  1. A. D. Zavyalov
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__________

Translated from Fizika Tverdogo Tela, Vol. 47, No. 6, 2005, pp. 1000–1008.

Original Russian Text Copyright © 2005 by Zavyalov.

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Zavyalov, A.D. From the kinetic theory of strength and fracture concentration criterion to the seismogenic fracture density and earthquake forecasting. Phys. Solid State 47, 1034–1041 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1134/1.1946852

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