Temporal causality and the dynamics of crime in Turkey
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to study empirically the dynamics of crime in Turkey at aggregate and disaggregate levels and provide empirical evidence of temporal causality between crime, health, income, divorce, urbanization and security expenditures.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper employs bounds testing cointegration procedure, augmented causality tests and variance decompositions.
Findings
The empirical results suggest the existence of cointegration amongst the variables. Augmented Granger causality tests and variance decomposition analyses indicate the different level, long‐term associations between the variables.
Practical implications
Conclusions drawn from this study could be useful for the policy makers and practitioners in international law organizations.
Originality/value
The paper provides first‐time, comprehensive, time‐series evidence on the dynamics of crime in Turkey using the framework of cointegration and causality tests.
Keywords
Citation
Halicioglu, F. (2012), "Temporal causality and the dynamics of crime in Turkey", International Journal of Social Economics, Vol. 39 No. 9, pp. 704-720. https://doi.org/10.1108/03068291211245727
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2012, Emerald Group Publishing Limited