Correlations of Record Events as a Test for Heavy-Tailed Distributions

J. Franke, G. Wergen, and J. Krug
Phys. Rev. Lett. 108, 064101 – Published 7 February 2012

Abstract

A record is an entry in a time series that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. If the time series consists of independent, identically distributed random variables with a superimposed linear trend, record events are positively (negatively) correlated when the tail of the distribution is heavier (lighter) than exponential. Here we use these correlations to detect heavy-tailed behavior in small sets of independent random variables. The method consists of converting random subsets of the data into time series with a tunable linear drift and computing the resulting record correlations.

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  • Received 9 September 2011

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.108.064101

© 2012 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

J. Franke, G. Wergen, and J. Krug

  • Institute of Theoretical Physics, University of Cologne, Zülpicher Strasse 77, 50937 Köln, Germany

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Vol. 108, Iss. 6 — 10 February 2012

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