Fluctuating epidemics on adaptive networks

Leah B. Shaw and Ira B. Schwartz
Phys. Rev. E 77, 066101 – Published 3 June 2008

Abstract

A model for epidemics on an adaptive network is considered. Nodes follow a susceptible-infective-recovered-susceptible pattern. Connections are rewired to break links from noninfected nodes to infected nodes and are reformed to connect to other noninfected nodes, as the nodes that are not infected try to avoid the infection. Monte Carlo simulation and numerical solution of a mean field model are employed. The introduction of rewiring affects both the network structure and the epidemic dynamics. Degree distributions are altered, and the average distance from a node to the nearest infective increases. The rewiring leads to regions of bistability where either an endemic or a disease-free steady state can exist. Fluctuations around the endemic state and the lifetime of the endemic state are considered. The fluctuations are found to exhibit power law behavior.

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  • Received 3 January 2008

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.77.066101

©2008 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Leah B. Shaw

  • Department of Applied Science, College of William and Mary, Williamsburg, Virginia 23187, USA

Ira B. Schwartz

  • US Naval Research Laboratory, Code 6792, Nonlinear Systems Dynamics Section, Plasma Physics Division, Washington, DC 20375, USA

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Issue

Vol. 77, Iss. 6 — June 2008

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