Abstract
This paper empirically investigates the role of natural resources on industrialization in a sample of 128 developing countries from 1990 to 2019. Results reveal three main facts. First, resource dependence (rents-to-GDP) impedes total and manufacturing value-added and employment, except for the construction industry. Second, resource dependence increases (lowers) total industrial value-added below (above) a threshold of 70% of GDP, whereas this threshold is 48% for manufacturing sector. Third, productive and redistributive institutions lessen these adverse effects. This study revealed that resource dependence confirms the crowding-out effects of natural resource, raising concerns about a long-term curse. Nonetheless, strong institutions may effectively foster economic growth and structural change by offering a framework of resource wealth management. Results of this study suggest that, with proper management system, it is possible to use rents from natural resources to finance industrialization in developing countries.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The authors would like to thank the editor and anonymous reviewers whose comments greatly improved this paper.
See Toye and Toye (2003).
Judicial independence, impartial courts, protection of property rights, military interference in rule of law and politics, integrity of the legal system, legal enforcement of contracts, regulatory restrictions on the sale of real property, and reliability of police.
References
Andersen, J.J., N. Johannesen, and B. Rijkers. 2022. Elite capture of foreign aid: Evidence from offshore bank accounts. Journal of Political Economy 130(2): 388–425.
Anderson, T.W., and C. Hsiao. 1982. Formulation and estimation of dynamic models using panel data. Journal of Econometrics 18(1): 47–82.
Angrist, J.D., and J.S. Pischke. 2009. Mostly harmless econometrics: An empiricist’s companion. Princeton University Press.
Arellano, M., and S. Bond. 1991. Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies 58(2): 277–297.
Arellano, M., and O. Bover. 1995. Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics 68(1): 29–51.
Auty, R.M. 1994. Industrial policy reform in six large newly industrializing countries: The resource curse thesis. World Development 22(1): 11–26.
Auty, R.M. (ed.). 2001. Resource abundance and economic development. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Awoa, P.A., F.O. Efogo, and H.A. Ondoa. 2023. Oil dependence and entrepreneurship: Non-linear evidence. Economic Systems 47(1): 101059.
Badeeb, R.A., H.H. Lean, and J. Clark. 2017. The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey. Resources Policy 51: 123–134.
Beblawi, Hazem, and Giacomo Luciani (eds.). 1987. The rentier state: Nation, state and the integration of the Arab world. London: Croom Helm.
Bhattacharyya, S., and R. Hodler. 2010. Natural resources, democracy and corruption. European Economic Review 54(4): 608–621.
Blundell, R., and S. Bond. 1998. Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics 87(1): 115–143.
Bond, G., B. Kromer, J. Beer, R. Muscheler, M.N. Evans, W. Showers, and G. Bonani. 2001. Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the Holocene. Science 294(5549): 2130–2136.
Brunnschweiler, C.N., and E.H. Bulte. 2008. The resource curse revisited and revised: A tale of paradoxes and red herrings. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 55(3): 248–264.
Camara, A. 2023. The effect of foreign direct investment on tax revenue. Comparative Economic Studies 65(1): 168–190.
Chandra, R. 1992. Industrialization and development in the third word. London: Routledge.
Chenery, H.B. 1960. Patterns of industrial growth. The American Economic Review 50(4): 624–654.
Cherif, R. 2013. The Dutch disease and the technological gap. Journal of Development Economics 101: 248–255.
Cherif, R., and F. Hasanov. 2013. Oil exporters’ dilemma how much to save and how much to invest. World Development 52(C): 120–131.
Chu, A.C., P.F. Peretto, and X. Wang. 2022. Agricultural revolution and industrialization. Journal of Development Economics 158(C): 102887.
Clark, C. 1940. The conditions of economic progress, 3rd ed. London: Macmillan.
Corden, W.M. 1984. Booming sector and Dutch disease economics: Survey and consolidation. Oxford Economic Papers 36(3): 359–380.
Corden, W.M., and J.P. Neary. 1982. Booming sector and de-industrialisation in a small open economy. The Economic Journal 92(368): 825–848.
Dauvin, M., and D. Guerreiro. 2017. The paradox of plenty: A meta-analysis. World Development 94: 212–231.
De Cavalcanti, V., T.V.K. Mohaddes, and M. Raissi. 2015. Commodity price volatility and the sources of growth. Journal of Applied Econometrics 30(6): 857–873.
Deacon, R.T. 2009. Public good provision under dictatorship and democracy. Public Choice 139: 241–262.
Ebeke, C., L.D. Omgba, and R. Laajaj. 2015. Oil, governance and the (mis) allocation of talent in developing countries. Journal of Development Economics 114: 126–141.
Echaudemaison, C.-D. 2003. Dictionnaire d’économie et de sciences sociales, 6e ed. Paris: Nathan.
Farhadi, M., M.R. Islam, and S. Moslehi. 2015. Economic freedom and productivity growth in resource-rich economies. World Development 72: 109–126.
Felipe, J., A. Mehta, and C. Rhee. 2019. Manufacturing matters… but it’s the jobs that count. Cambridge Journal of Economics 43(1): 139–168.
Frankel, J. 2012. The natural resource curse: A survey of diagnoses and some prescriptions. In Commodity price volatility and inclusive growth in low-income countries, ed. M.R. Arezki, M.C.A. Pattillo, M.M.G. Quintyn, and M. Zhu. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
Gollin, D., S. Parente, and R. Rogerson. 2002. The role of agriculture in development. American Economic Review 92(2): 160–164.
Gollin, D., R. Jedwab, and D. Vollrath. 2016. Urbanization with and without industrialization. Journal of Economic Growth 21(1): 35–70.
Gui-Diby, S.L., and M.F. Renard. 2015. Foreign direct investment inflows and the industrialization of African countries. World Development 74: 43–57.
Gwartney, J., and R. Lawson. 2003. The concept and measurement of economic freedom. European Journal of Political Economy 19(3): 405–430.
Hansen, B.E. 2000. Sample splitting and threshold estimation. Econometrica 68: 575–603.
Haraguchi, N., B. Martorano, and M. Sanfilippo. 2019. What factors drive successful industrialization? Evidence and implications for developing countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 49: 266–276.
Harris, A.S., R. Sigman, J.H. Meyer-Sahling, K.S. Mikkelsen, and C. Schuster. 2020. Oiling the bureaucracy? Political spending, bureaucrats and the resource curse. World Development 127: 104745.
Hartwell, C.A., R. Horvath, E. Horvathova, and O. Popova. 2019. Democratic institutions, natural resources, and income inequality. Comparative Economic Studies 61: 531–550.
Hauk, W.R., and R. Wacziarg. 2009. A Monte Carlo study of growth regressions. Journal of Economic Growth 14: 103–147.
Hirschman, A.O. 1958. The strategy of economic development. Boulder and London: Westview Press.
Humphreys, M., J. Sachs, and J.E. Stiglitz (eds.). 2007. Escaping the resource curse, 11–13. New York: Columbia University Press.
Joya, O. 2019. How should resource-rich countries diversify? Estimating forward-linkage effects of mining on productivity growth. Economics of Transition and Institutional Change 27(2): 457–473.
Kaldor, N. 1966. Causes of the slow rate of economic growth of the United Kingdom. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Kalyuzhnova, Y., A.M. Kutan, and T. Yigit. 2009. Corruption and economic development in energy-rich economies. Comparative Economic Studies 51(2): 165–181.
Kamguia, B., J. Keneck-Massil, Y. Nvuh-Njoya, and S. Tadadjeu. 2022. Natural resources and innovation: Is the R&D sector cursed too? Resources Policy 77: 102725.
Kim, D.H., and S.C. Lin. 2017. Human capital and natural resource dependence. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 40: 92–102.
Kremer, S., A. Bick, and D. Nautz. 2013. Inflation and growth: New evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis. Empirical Economics 44(2): 861–878.
Krugman, P. 1987. The narrow moving band, the Dutch disease, and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher: Notes on trade in the presence of dynamic scale economies. Journal of Development Economics 27(1–2): 41–55.
Kuznets, S.S. 1966. Modern economic growth. Yale University Press.
Lewis, A.W. 1972. Reflections on unlimited supplies of labor. In international economics and development-essays in honor of Raul Prebisch, ed. L.E. diMarco, 75–96. New York: Academic Press.
Mancini, L., and M.J. Paz. 2016. What conditions may foster an industrial development strategy based on extractive industries? The Extractive Industries and Society 3(3): 864–874.
Matallah, S. 2020. Economic diversification in MENA oil exporters: Understanding the role of governance. Resources Policy 66: 101602.
Matallah, S. 2022. Rampant corruption: The dilemma facing economic diversification in oil-abundant MENA countries. Resources Policy 75: 102541.
Mehlum, H., K. Moene, and R. Torvik. 2006. Institutions and the resource curse. The Economic Journal 116(508): 1–20.
Mien, E., and M. Goujon. 2022. 40 years of Dutch disease literature lessons for developing countries. Comparative Economic Studies 64: 351–383.
Morck, R., and M. Nakamura. 2018. Japan’s ultimately unaccursed natural resources-financed industrialization. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 47: 32–54.
Müller, P. 2021. Impacts of inward FDIs and ICT penetration on the industrialisation of Sub-Saharan African countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 56(C): 265–279.
Murshed, S.M., and L.A. Serino. 2011. The pattern of specialization and economic growth: The resource curse hypothesis revisited. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics 22(2): 151–161.
Neves, A., R. Godina, S.G. Azevedo, and J.C. Matias. 2020. A comprehensive review of industrial symbiosis. Journal of Cleaner Production 247: 119113.
Nguimkeu, P., & Zeufack, A. 2019. Manufacturing in structural change in Africa. World Bank Policy research working paper, (8992).
Nickell, S. 1981. Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society 49: 1417–1426.
Omgba, L.D. 2009. On the duration of political power in Africa: The role of oil rents. Comparative Political Studies 42(3): 416–436.
Porter, D., and M. Watts. 2017. Righting the resource curse: institutional politics and state capabilities in Edo State, Nigeria. The Journal of Development Studies 53(2): 249–263.
Prebisch, R. 1950. The Economic Development of Latin America and Its Principal Problems. UN document no. E/CN.12/89/Rev.1. Lake Success, N.Y.: United Nations.
Rajan, R.G., and A. Subramanian. 2011. Aid, Dutch disease, and manufacturing growth. Journal of Development Economics 94(1): 106–118.
Robinson, J.A., R. Torvik, and T. Verdier. 2006. Political foundations of the resource curse. Journal of Development Economics 79(2): 447–468.
Rodriguez-Clare, A. 1996. Multinationals, linkages, and economic development. The American Economic Review 86(4): 852–873.
Rodrik, D. 2016. Premature deindustrialization. Journal of Economic Growth 21: 1–33.
Roodman, D. 2009. A note on the theme of too many instruments. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 71(1): 135–158.
Rosenstein-Rodan, P.N. 1943. Problems of industrialisation of eastern and south-eastern Europe. The Economic Journal 53(210–211): 202–211.
Ross, M.L. 2008. Oil, Islam, and women. American Political Science Review 102(1): 107–123.
Ross, M.L. 2015. What have we learned about the resource curse? Annual Review of Political Science 18: 239–259.
Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. 1995. Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth. NBER Working Paper, (w5398).
Seo, M.H., and Y. Shin. 2016. Dynamic panels with threshold effect and endogeneity. Journal of Econometrics 195(2): 169–186.
Seo, M.H., S. Kim, and Y.J. Kim. 2019. Estimation of dynamic panel threshold model using Stata. The Stata Journal 19(3): 685–697.
Singer, H.W. 1950. Economic progress in underdeveloped countries. Soc Res (New York) 1–11. Soper, D.S., Demir.
Sun, H.P., W.F. Sun, Y. Geng, and Y.S. Kong. 2018. Natural resource dependence, public education investment, and human capital accumulation. Petroleum Science 15: 657–665.
Tadadjeu, S., P. Ningaye, and H. Njangang. 2022. Are natural resources also bad for infrastructure quality? Journal of International Development 35(6): 1053–1079.
Tornell, A., and P.R. Lane. 1999. The voracity effect. American Economic Review 89(1): 22–46.
Torvik, R. 2001. Learning by doing and the Dutch disease. European Economic Review 45(2): 285–306.
Toye, J.F., and R. Toye. 2003. The origins and interpretation of the Prebisch-Singer thesis. History of Political Economy 35(3): 437–467.
Tsui, K.K. 2011. More oil, less democracy: Evidence from worldwide crude oil discoveries. The Economic Journal 121(551): 89–115.
Van Wijnbergen, S. 1984. The Dutch disease’: A disease after all? The Economic Journal 94(373): 41–55.
Venables, A.J. 2016. Using natural resources for development: Why has it proven so difficult? Journal of Economic Perspectives 30(1): 161–184.
Wagner, H. 2013. Challenges to China’s policy: Structural change. Comparative Economic Studies 55: 721–736.
Watkins, M.H. 1963. A staple theory of economic growth. Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science/revue Canadienne De Économiques Et Science Politique 29(2): 141–158.
Windmeijer, F. 2005. A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators. Journal of Econometrics 126(1): 25–51.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
PAA helped in methodology, software, data curation, investigation, writing—original and revised draft preparation, visualization, investigation, and supervision. HAO helped in methodology, software, data curation, investigation, writing—original and revised draft preparation, visualization, investigation, and supervision.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
Declarations of interest and financial support: none.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Awoa Awoa, P., Atangana Ondoa, H. Heterogeneous role of resource dependence on industrialization in developing countries. Comp Econ Stud (2024). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41294-023-00231-9
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/s41294-023-00231-9