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Prospect Theory’s Focus on Gains, Losses, and Framing

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Behavioral Risk Management
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Abstract

People make decisions about which risks to assume based both on how they feel and how they think. When the Nobel committee announced in 2002 that psychologist Daniel Kahneman would be a Nobel laureate, they singled out work he had done with his late colleague Amos Tversky. Together, Kahneman and Tversky developed a framework they called “prospect theory,” which provides great insight into the cognitive aspects associated with the psychology of risk.1

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Notes

  1. See Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979), “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Making under Risk,” Econometrica, 5(2): 263–291;

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  2. Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman (1992), “Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 5: 297–323.

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  3. Richard H. Thaler and Eric J. Johnson (1990), “Gambling with the House Money and Trying to Break Even: The Effects of Prior Outcomes on Risky Choice,” Management Science 36 (6): 643–660.

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© 2016 Hersh Shefrin

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Shefrin, H. (2016). Prospect Theory’s Focus on Gains, Losses, and Framing. In: Behavioral Risk Management. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137445629_3

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