Chapter Summary
In this chapter, Ray Kurzweil presents and defends his view that we will reach a technological singularity in the next few decades, which he defines as a “period during which the pace of technological change will be so rapid, its impact so deep, that human life will be irreversibly transformed.” Kurwzweil argues that the pace of technological change, particularly with respect to information technologies, is exponential, and that we are near the “knee” of the exponential curve (i.e. the point at which the curve changes from largely horizontal to largely vertical). Kurzweil predicts that a core feature of the singularity will be the merging of biological and machine intelligence, such that the majority of “human” intelligence will become non-biological, and the merging of virtual and physical reality. Kurzweil considers this the next step in human-machine co-evolution.
This chapter is excerpted from Ray Kurzweil (2005) The Singularity is Near (Viking). It appears here by permission of the author.
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Works Cited
D. Broderick (1997) The Spike: Accelerating into the Unimaginable Future (Sydney, Australia: Reed Books).
D. Broderick (2001) The Spike: How Our Lives Are Being Transformed by Rapidly Advancing Technologies, rev. ed. (New York: Tor/Forge).
R. Kurzweil (1999) The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence (New York: Viking).
H. Moravec (1988) Mind Children: The Future of Robot and Human Intelligence (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press).
H. Moravec (1999) Robot: Mere Machine to Transcendent Mind (New York: Oxford University Press).
S. Ulam (1958) ‘Tribute to John von Neumann,’ Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 64.3, pt. 2 May: 1–49.
V. Vinge, (1993) ‘The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era,’ VISION-21 Symposium, sponsored by the NASA Lewis Research Center and the Ohio Aerospace Institute, March (available at http://www.KurzweiW.net/vingesing).
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© 2014 Ray Kurzweil
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Kurzweil, R. (2014). The Singularity is Near. In: Sandler, R.L. (eds) Ethics and Emerging Technologies. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137349088_26
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137349088_26
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-0-230-36703-6
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