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Economic issues with follow-on protein products

Abstract

The economic effects of the possible introduction of 'follow-on' protein products have been the subject of recent debate. Here, we aim to explore the economic issues surrounding this debate using three measures: total sales, product complexity and patent expiry. Our analysis shows that the sales of therapeutic protein products are concentrated in a relatively small number of branded products, which may be the most attractive targets for follow-on development. For the years 2013–2015, we estimate that products representing US$20 billion in annual sales — approximately half of all sales in 2006 — can be expected to lose patent protection.

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Figure 1: Therapeutic protein products displayed by US sales and molecular weight.
Figure 2: Selected therapeutic protein products by product class.
Figure 3: Current sales and estimated patent expiry of selected protein products.

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Correspondence to Michael Lanthier.

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Lanthier, M., Behrman, R. & Nardinelli, C. Economic issues with follow-on protein products. Nat Rev Drug Discov 7, 733–737 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1038/nrd2636

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