Risk of second primary cancer after Hodgkin's disease in patients in the British National Lymphoma Investigation: relationships to host factors, histology and stage of Hodgkin's disease, and splenectomy

Abstract

The risks of second primary cancer were analysed in 2846 patients with Hodgkin's disease treated within the British National Lymphoma Investigation during 1970-87. The relative risk (RR) of leukaemia was significantly greater in women (RR = 30.1; 95% confidence limits (CL) 13.0-59.5) than in men (RR = 10.9; 95% CL 4.7-21.5), and showed a significant trend of greater risk with younger age at first treatment (P < 0.001). The relative risk of solid cancers was similar between the sexes, but again significantly greater at young than at older ages of first treatment (P < 0.01). Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma relative risks, although not related to sex or age, were significantly related to histology of the original Hodgkin's disease, and were greatest after lymphocyte predominant Hodgkin's disease (RR = 55.6; 95% CL 18.0-129.7). The relative risk of second cancers did not vary significantly according to whether or not splenectomy had been performed. Leukaemia risk was non-significantly greater after splenectomy than with no splenectomy, which accorded with previous evidence of a modest increased risk associated with this operation. If the greater relative risk of solid second cancers after treatment at young than at older ages persists with longer follow-up, the incidence rates of these second primaries in patients treated young for Hodgkin's disease will become very substantial as they age. This emphasises the need to maintain long-term follow-up surveillance of young Hodgkin's disease patients apparently cured of their disease, and to continue to develop new less carcinogenic treatment regimens.