The detection in 1987 of a supernova in the Large Magellanic Cloud has lead to an estimate of the maximum rate of galactic supernovae so unrestrictive that the best response must be to run neutrino detectors for decades on end.
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Maddox, J. Who will see a nearby supernova?. Nature 339, 335 (1989). https://doi.org/10.1038/339335a0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/339335a0