Skip to main content
Log in

The Construction of a Simple Book

  • Published:
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A book is made for a horse race, and punters place their bets. The problem considered here is how the bookmaker should construct his book. Before this can be solved, it has to be determined how the punters will react to any proposed book. Much of the detailed discussion is confined to a race with two horses, though some results apply in the general case. The punters' problem is solved using a utility function, special attention being paid to the case of constant risk-aversion. Two solutions are provided for the bookmaker's problem, dependent on whether it is desired to maximize expected gain, or achieve the same gain whatever horse wins.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Arrow, K. J. 1965. Aspects of the Theory of Risk-bearing. Yrjo Jahnsson Lectures. Helsinki: Academic Book Store.

    Google Scholar 

  • Berger, J. O. 1985. Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis. Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Copeland, T., and D. Galai. 1983. “Information Effects on the Bidask Spread, ” Journal of Finance 38, 1457–1469.

    Google Scholar 

  • Feller, W. 1950. An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Glosten, L., and P. Milgrom. 1985. “Bid, Ask and Transaction Prices in a Specialist Market with Heterogeneously Informed Traders, ” Journal of Financial Economics 14, 71–100.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gould, J. P., and R. E. Verrecchia. 1985. “The Information Content of Specialist Pricing, ” Journal of Political Economy 93, 66–83.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grinblatt, M. S., and S. A. Ross. 1985. “Market Power in a Securities Market with Endogenous Information, ” Quarterly Journal of Economics 100, 1143–1167.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kyle, A. 1985. “Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading, ” Econometrica 53, 1315–1335.

    Google Scholar 

  • Laffont, J.-J., and E. Maskin. 1990. “The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Insider Trading on the Stock Market, ” Journal of Political Economy 98, 70–93.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lindley, D. V. 1985. Making Decisions. London: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pratt, J. 1964. “Risk Aversion in the Small and in the Large, ” Econometrica 32, 122–136.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sauer, R. D. 1998, “The Economics of Wagering Markets, ” Journal of Economic Literature 36, 2021–2064.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shin, H. S. 1991. “Optimal Betting Odds against Insider Traders, ” Economic Journal 101, 1179–1185.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shin, H. S. 1992. “Prices of State-contingent Claims with Insider Traders, and the Favourite-longshot Bias, ” Economic Journal 102, 426–435.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shin, H. S. 1993. “Measuring the Incidence of Insider Trading in a Market for State-contingent Claims, ” Economic Journal 103, 1141–1153.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sidney, C. 1976. The Art of Legging. London: Maxline.

    Google Scholar 

  • Williams, L. V. 1999. “Information Efficiency in Betting Markets: A Survey, ” Bulletin of Economic Research 51, 1–30.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Cain, M., Law, D. & Lindley, D. The Construction of a Simple Book. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 20, 119–140 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007885423198

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007885423198

Navigation