Skip to main content
Log in

In Search of Warmer Climates? The Impact of Climate Change on Flows of British Tourists

  • Published:
Climatic Change Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of climate change on the chosendestinations of Britishtourists. Destinations are characterised in terms of ‘attractors’ includingclimate variables, traveland accommodation costs. These variables are used to explain the currentobserved pattern ofoverseas travel in terms of a model based upon the idea of utilitymaximisation. The approachpermits the trade-offs between climate and holiday expenditure to be analysedand effectivelyidentifies the ‘optimal’ climate for generating tourism. The findings are usedto predict the impactof various climate change scenarios on popular tourist destinations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bockstael, N., McConnell, K., and Strand, I.: 1991, ‘Recreation’, in Braden, J. and Kolstadt, C. (eds.), Measuring the Demand for Environmental Quality, Elsevier, North Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Caulkins, P., Bishop, R., and Bouwes, N.: 1986, ‘The Travel Cost Model for Lake Recreation: A Comparison of Two Methods for Incorporating Site Quality and Substitution Effects’, Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 68, 2910–297.

    Google Scholar 

  • Central Statistical Office: 1995, Travel Trends, HMSO, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cramer, J.: 1991, The Logit Model: An Introduction for Economists, Edward Arnold, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Delft Hydraulics: 1990, Strategies for Adaptation to Sea Level Rise, Report of the Coastal Management Zone Subgroup for WMO and UNEP, Geneva.

  • Freeman, A.: 1993, The Measurement of Environmental and Resource Values, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

  • Houghton, J., Jenkins, G., and Ephraums, J.: 1990, Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johansson, P.-O.: 1987, The Economic Theory and Measurement of Environmental Benefits, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maddala, G.: 1977, Econometrics, McGraw-Hill, Singapore.

    Google Scholar 

  • McConnell, K.: 1992, ‘On-Site Time in the Demand for Recreation’, Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 74, 918–925.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearce, E. and Smith, C.: 1993, The World Weather Guide, Helicon, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Perry, A.: 1993, ‘Weather and Climate Information for the Package Holiday Maker’, Weather 48, 410–414.

    Google Scholar 

  • Perry, A. and Ashton, S.: 1994, ‘Recent Developments in the U.K.s Outbound Package Tourism Market’, Geography 79, 313–321.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, K.: 1991, ‘Recreation and Tourism’, in Parry, M. (ed.), The Potential Effects of Climate Change in the United Kingdom, HMSO, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, V. and Kopp, R.: 1980, ‘The Spatial Limits of the Travel Cost Recreational Demand Model’, Land Econ. 56, 64–71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, V., Desvouges, W., and Fisher, A.: 1986, ‘A Comparison of Direct and Indirect Methods for Estimating Environmental Benefits’, Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 68, 280–290.

    Google Scholar 

  • Syriopolous, T. and Sinclair, T.: 1993, ‘An Econometric Study of Tourism Demand: The AIDSModel of U.S. and European Tourism in Mediterranean Countries’, Appl. Econ. 25, 1541–1552. The Times World Atlas: 1992, Times Books, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations Development Programme: 1995, Human Development Report 1995, Oxford University Press, Oxford.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wall, G.: 1992, ‘Tourism Alternatives in an Era of Global Climate Change’, in Smith, V. and Eadington, W. (eds.), Tourism Alternatives, University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia. (Received 10 February 1999; in revised form 28 June 2000)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Maddison, D. In Search of Warmer Climates? The Impact of Climate Change on Flows of British Tourists. Climatic Change 49, 193–208 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010742511380

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010742511380

Keywords

Navigation