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Causal Probability

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Abstract

Examples growing out of the Newcomb problem have convinced many people that decision theory should proceed in terms of some kind of causal probability. I endorse this view and define and investigate a variety of causal probability. My definition is related to Skyrms' definition, but proceeds in terms of objective probabilities rather than subjective probabilities and avoids taking causal dependence as a primitive concept.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Philosophy, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85721, U.S.A.

    John L. Pollock

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  1. John L. Pollock
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Pollock, J.L. Causal Probability. Synthese 132, 143–185 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019631104110

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1019631104110

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