Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-jr42d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-23T07:33:25.341Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Conservative Policy Bias of US Senate Malapportionment

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 September 2022

Richard Johnson
Affiliation:
Queen Mary, University of London, UK
Lisa L. Miller
Affiliation:
Rutgers University, USA

Abstract

The US Senate is unique in the United States and rare internationally for its total disregard of population differences among its representational units. To analyze malapportionment’s policy impact, we devised a hypothetical reapportionment scheme that more closely approximates state population but remains favorable to small states. We developed a formula to reweight senators’ roll-call votes to reflect better state population differences. We recalculated 804 key US Senate votes between 1961 and 2019 and found that state equality in the Senate systematically biases policy outcomes toward Republican preferences.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Baker, Lynn, and Dinkin, Samuel. 1997. “The Senate: An Institution Whose Time Has Gone?Journal of Law Politics 13:21105.Google Scholar
Bartels, Larry. 2008. Unequal Democracy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Dahl, Robert. 1956. A Preface to Democratic Theory. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Gilens, Martin, and Page, Benjamin. 2014. “Testing Theories of American Politics.” Perspectives on Politics 12 (3): 564–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Griffin, John D. 2006. “Senate Apportionment as a Source of Political Inequality.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31 (3): 405–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hacker, Jacob, and Pierson, Paul. 2010. Winner-Take-All Politics. New York: Simon & Schuster.Google Scholar
Johnson, Richard, and Miller, Lisa L.. 2022. “Replication Data for ‘The Conservative Policy Bias of Senate Malapportionment.’” Harvard Dataverse. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/GQ75UG.Google Scholar
Lee, Frances. 2004. “Bicameralism and Geographic Politics.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 29 (May): 185213.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, Frances, and Oppenheimer, Bruce. 1997. “Senate Apportionment: Competitiveness and Partisan Advantage.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22 (1): 324.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lee, Frances, and Oppenheimer, Bruce. 1999. Sizing up the Senate. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Levy, Jack. 2015. “Counterfactuals, Causal Inference, and Historical Analysis.” Security Studies 24 (3): 378402.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Malhotra, Neil, and Raso, Conor. 2007. “Racial Representation and US Senate Apportionment.” Social Science Quarterly 88 (4): 1038–48.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mann, Thomas, and Ornstein, Norman. 2013. It’s Even Worse Than It Looks: How the American Constitutional System Collided with the New Politics of Extremism. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Matthews, Donald. 2001. “Reflections on Forty Years of the Senate.” In The Contentious Senate: Partisanship, Ideology, and the Myth of Cool Judgment, ed. Campbell, Colton and Rae, Nicol, 167–69. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield.Google Scholar
McCrone, Donald J. 1990. “The Representational Consequences of State Equality in the US Senate.” Unpublished paper presented at the 1990 Annual Meeting of the Western Political Science Association, March 22–24, Newport Beach, CA.Google Scholar
Mettler, Suzanne, and Brown, Trevor. 2022. “The Growing Rural–Urban Political Divide and Democratic Vulnerability.” ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 699 (1): 130–42.Google Scholar
Moffett, Samuel E. 1895. “Is the Senate Unfairly Constituted?Political Science Quarterly 10 (2): 413.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stephens, G. Ross. 1996. “Urban Underrepresentation in the US Senate.” Urban Affairs Review 31:404–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Woody, Carroll. 1926. “Is the Senate Unrepresentative?Political Science Quarterly 41 (June): 219–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Johnson and Miller Dataset

Link
Supplementary material: PDF

Johnson and Miller supplementary material

Johnson and Miller supplementary material

Download Johnson and Miller supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 129.3 KB