Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vvkck Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T23:31:13.543Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Intergenerational equity and dual discounting

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 August 2011

Carmen Almansa
Affiliation:
Department of Business Management, Public University of Navarra, Spain. Email: carmen.almansa@unavarra.es
José M. Martínez-Paz
Affiliation:
Department of Applied Economics, University of Murcia, Campus de Espinardo – 30100 Murcia, Spain. Tel: +34-868887931. Fax: +34-868883745. Email: jmpaz@um.es

Abstract

Dual discounting is a new approach under consideration for use in environmental cost–benefit analysis. This paper updates the literature on this subject and subjects it to the assessment of an international panel of experts on environmental discounting by means of a Delphi study. Subsequently, a case study provides some findings deriving from the practical application of this strategy as the choice of discounting scenario in the economic evaluation of a plant for the desalination of irrigation return water, aimed at halting the degradation of a wetland. There are theoretical and practical reasons to support the use of this discounting approach in relation to projects with intergenerational impact, where the environmental effects are considerable in relation to market effects. Although still under investigation, the dual discounting approach appears to provide an appropriate methodological platform enabling the quantification of the degree of intergenerational equity implicit in the project.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Almansa, C. (2006), ‘El Análisis Coste Beneficio con valoración de externalidades ambientales: aplicación al proyecto de restauración hidrológico forestal de Lubrín (Almería)’, Ph.D. thesis, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain [in Spanish].Google Scholar
Almansa, C. and Calatrava, J. (2007), ‘Reconciling sustainability in cost benefit analysis: a methodological proposal’, Ecological Economics 60: 712725.Google Scholar
Anandarup, R. (1997), ‘Cost–benefit analysis and the environment’, Environment and Development Economics 2: 195221.Google Scholar
Azar, C. and Sterner, T. (1996), ‘Discounting and distributional considerations in the context of global warming’, Ecological Economics 19: 169184.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brouwer, R. and Van Ek, R. (2004), ‘Integrated ecological, economic and social impact assessment of alternative flood control policies in the Netherlands’, Ecological Economics 50: 12.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bürgenmeier, B. (1994), ‘The misperception of Walras’, American Economic Review 84: 342352.Google Scholar
Carreño, M., Esteve, M., Martínez, J., Palazón, J., and Pardo, M. (2008), ‘Habitat changes in coastal wetlands associated to hydrological changes in the watershed’, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 77: 475483.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chichilnisky, G. (1996), ‘An axiomatic approach to sustainable development’, Social Choice and Welfare 13: 219248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chichilnisky, G. (1997), ‘The costs and benefits of benefit-cost analysis’, Environment and Development Economics 2: 195221.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
CHS (2008), ‘Informe de los artículos 5, 6 y 7 de la Directiva Marco del Agua. Confederación Hidrográfica del Segura y Ministerio de Medio Ambiente’, CHS-MMA, Spain [in Spanish].Google Scholar
Dalkey, N. and Helmer, O. (1963), ‘An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts’, Management Science 9: 458467.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dasgupta, P., Mäler, K., and Barrett, S. (1999), ‘Intergenerational equity, social discount rates, and global warming’, in Portney, P. and Weyant, J. (eds), Discounting and Intergenerational Equity, Washington, DC: Resources for the Future, pp. 5179.Google Scholar
De Marchi, B., Funtowicz, S., Lo-Cascio, S., and Munda, G. (2000), ‘Combining participative and institutional approaches with multicriteria evaluation: an empirical study for water issues for Troina, Sicily’, Ecological Economics 34: 267282.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ehrlich, P. (2008), ‘Key issues for attention from ecological economists’, Environment and Development Economics 13: 120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
European Commission (1998), ‘Externalities of energy, “ExternE” project’, Report on Climate Change Damage Assessment, Brussels: European Commission.Google Scholar
European Commission (2003), ‘Guide to cost-benefit analysis of investment projects – Structural Funds-ERDF, Cohesion Fund and ISPA’, Brussels: Evaluation Unit, DG Regional Policy.Google Scholar
European Commission (2008), ‘Guide to cost-benefit analysis of investment projects – Structural Funds-ERDF, Cohesion Fund and ISPA’, Brussels: Evaluation Unit, DG Regional Policy.Google Scholar
Fearnside, P. (2002), ‘Time preference in global warming calculations: a proposal for a unified index’, Ecological Economics 41: 2132.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fischer, T. (2003), ‘Strategic environmental assessment in post-modern times’, Environmental Impact Assessment Review 23: 155170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frederick, S., Loewenstein, G., and O'Donoghue, T. (2002), ‘Time discounting and time preference: a critical review’, Journal of Economics Literature 40: 351401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Funtowicz, S. and Ravetz, J. (1994), ‘The worth of a songbird: ecological economics as a post-normal science’, Ecological Economics 10: 197207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
García-Pintado, J., Martínez-Mena, M., Barbera, G., Albaladejo, J., and Castillo, V. (2007), ‘Anthropogenic nutrient sources and loads from a Mediterranean catchment into a coastal lagoon: Mar Menor, Spain’, Science of the Total Environment 373: 220239.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gintis, H. (2000), ‘Beyond Homo economicus: evidence from experimental economics’, Ecological Economics 35: 311322.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gollier, C. (2010), ‘Ecological discounting’, Journal of Economic Theory 145: 812829.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grindlay, A., Zamorano, M., Rodriguez, M., Molero, E., and Urrea, M. (2011), ‘Implementation of the European Water Framework Directive: integration of hydrological and regional planning at the Segura River Basin, southeast Spain’, Land Use Policy 28: 242256.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Groom, B., Hepburn, C., Koundouri, C., and Pearce, D. (2005), ‘Declining discount rates: the long and the short of it’, Environmental and Resource Economics 32: 445493.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guesnerie, R. (2004), ‘Calcul économique et Développement Durable’, Working Paper No. 2004-02, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Paris [in French].CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gulli, F. (2006), ‘Social choice, uncertainty about external costs and trade-off between intergenerational environmental impacts: the emblematic case of gas-based energy supply decentralization’, Ecological Economics 57: 282305.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guo, J., Hepburn, C., Tol, R., and Antoff, D. (2006), ‘Discounting and the social cost of carbon: a closer look at uncertainty’, Environmental Science and Policy 9: 205216.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Treasury, H.M. (2003), The Green Book: Appraisal and Evaluation in Central Government, London: H.M. Treasury.Google Scholar
Hansen, A. (2006), ‘Do declining discount rates lead to time inconsistent economic advice?’, Ecological Economics 60: 138144.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hasselmann, K. (1999), ‘Intertemporal accounting of climate change: harmonizing economic efficiency and climate stewardship’, Climate Change 41: 333350.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hasselmann, K., Hasselmann, S., Giering, R., Ocana, V., and Storch, H. (1997), ‘Sensitivity study of optimal CO2 emissions using a simplified structural integrated assessment model (SIAM)’, Climate Change 37: 345386.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heal, G. (1998), Valuing the Future: Economic Theory and Sustainability, New York: Columbia University Press.Google Scholar
Henderson, N. and Bateman, I. (1995), ‘Empirical and public choice evidence for hyperbolic social discount rates and the implications for intergenerational discounting’, Environmental and Resource Economics 5: 413423.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hepburn, C. (2005), ‘Concerning the future: declining discount rates and intergenerational equity’, Ph.D. thesis, Oxford University, Oxford.Google Scholar
Klaassen, G. and Opschoor, J. (1991), ‘Economics of sustainability or the sustainability of economics: different paradigms’, Ecological Economics 4: 93115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kögel, T. (2009), ‘On the relation between dual-rate discounting and substitutability’, Economics Discussion Paper No. 2009-10, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kopp, R. and Portney, P. (1999), ‘Mock referenda for intergenerational decision making’ in Portney, P. and Weyant, J. (eds), Discounting and Intergenerational Equity, Washington, DC: Resources for the Future, pp. 87130.Google Scholar
Krutilla, J. and Fisher, A. (1975), The Economics of Natural Environments, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Kula, E. (1981), ‘Future generations and discounting rules in public sector investment appraisal’, Environment and Planning A 13: 899910.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kula, E. (1998), Time Discounting and Future Generations: the Harmful Effects of an Untrue Economic Theory, London: Quorum of Greenwood Group.Google Scholar
Kula, E. (2008), ‘Economics of discounting: British experience and lessons to be learned’, Paper presented at the 15th World Congress of the International Economic Association, 25–29 June, Istanbul.Google Scholar
Kula, E. and Evans, D. (2011), ‘Dual discounting in cost-benefit analysis for environmental impacts’, Environmental Impact Assessment Review 31: 180186.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Landeta, J. (2006), ‘Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 73: 467482.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Linstone, H. and Turoff, M. (1975), The Delphi Method. Techniques and Applications, Massachusetts: Addison Wesley Publishing.Google Scholar
Loewenstein, G. and Prelec, D. (1992), ‘Anomalies in intertemporal choice: evidence and interpretation’, Quarterly Journal of Economics 107: 573597.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Luckert, M. and Admowicz, W. (1993), ‘Empirical measures of factors affecting social rates of discount’, Environmental and Resource Economics 3: 121.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lumley, S. (1997), ‘The environment and the ethics of discounting: an empirical analysis’, Ecological Economics 20: 7182.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Markandya, A. and Murty, M. (2004), ‘Cost–benefit analysis of cleaning the Ganges: some emerging environment and development issues’, Environment and Development Economics 9: 6181.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martínez-Alier, J., Munda, G., and O'Neill, J. (1998), ‘Weak comparability of values as a foundation for ecological economics’, Ecological Economics 2: 277286.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martínez-Paz, J., Martínez-Fernández, J., and Esteve, M. (2007), ‘Evaluación económica del tratamiento de drenajes agrícolas en el Mar Menor (SE España)’, Revista Española de Estudios Agrosociales y Pesqueros 215: 211232 [in Spanish].Google Scholar
Munda, G. (2000), ‘Multicriteria methods and process for integrated environmental assessment’, in Oñate, E. (ed.), Métodos Numéricos en Ciencias Sociales, Barcelona: CIMNE-UPCE.Google Scholar
Neumayer, E. (1999), ‘Global warming: discounting is not the issue but substitutability is’, Energy Policy 27: 3343.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Padilla, E. (2002), ‘Intergenerational equity and sustainability’, Ecological Economics 41: 6983.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pearce, D. and Turner, R. (1990), Economics of Natural Resources and the Environment, Hertfordshire: Harvester Wheatsheaf.Google Scholar
Pearce, D., Groom, B., Hepburn, C., and Koundouri, P. (2003), ‘Valuing the future: recent advances in social discounting’, World Economics 4: 121139.Google Scholar
Pérez-Ruzafa, A., Marcos, C., and Pérez-Ruzafa, I. (2011), ‘Mediterranean coastal lagoons in an ecosystem and aquatic resources management context’, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C 36: 160166.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Perni, A., Martínez-Carrasco, F., and Martínez-Paz, J. (2011), ‘Economic valuation of coastal lagoon environmental restoration: the Mar Menor (Spain)’, Ciencias Marinas, 37: 175190.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Philibert, C. (1999), ‘The economics of climate change and the theory of discounting’, Energy Policy 27: 913929.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Portney, P. and Weyant, J. (1999), Discounting and Intergenerational Equity, Washington, DC: Resources for the Future.Google Scholar
Rabl, A. (1996), ‘Discounting of long term cost: what would future generations prefer us to do?’, Ecological Economics 17: 137145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ramsey, F. (1928), ‘A mathematical theory of saving’, The Economic Journal 38: 543559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rawls, J. (1971), A Theory of Justice, Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rigby, D., Alcon, F., and Burton, M. (2010), ‘Supply uncertainty and the economic value of irrigation water’, European Review of Agricultural Economics 37: 97117.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rowe, G. Wright, G., and McColl, A. (2005), ‘Judgment change during Delphi like procedures: the role of majority influence, expertise, and confidence’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 72: 377399.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stemplewski, J., Krull, D., Wermter, P., Nafo, I., Palm, N., and Lange, C. (2008), ‘Integrative socioeconomic planning of measures in the context of the Water Framework Directive’, Water and Environment Journal 22: 250257.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stern, N. (ed.) (2006), Stern Review: The Economics of Climate Change, London: H.M. Treasury.Google Scholar
Sterner, T. (1994), ‘Discounting in a world of limited growth’, Environmental and Resource Economics 4: 527534.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Strassert, G. and Prato, T. (2002) ‘Selecting farming systems using a new multiple criteria decision model: the balancing and ranking method’, Ecological Economics 40: 269277.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sumaila, U. and Walters, C. (2005), ‘Intergenerational discounting: a new intuitive approach’, Ecological Economics 52: 135142.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, C., Adamowicz, W., and Luckert, M. (2003), ‘Preferences over the timing of forest resource use’, Journal of Forest Economic 9: 223240.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tol, R. (1994), ‘The damage costs of climate change: a note on tangibles and intangibles, applied to DICE’, Energy Policy 22: 436438.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Trepel, M. (2010), ‘Assessing the cost-effectiveness of the water purification function of wetlands for environmental planning’, Ecological Complexity 7: 320326.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weitzman, M. (1999), ‘Just keep discounting, but …’, in Portney, P. and Weyant, J. (eds), Discounting and Intergenerational Equity, Washington, DC: Resources for the Future, pp. 2329.Google Scholar
Weitzman, M. (2001), ‘Gamma discounting’, American Economic Review 91: 261271.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yang, Z. (2003), ‘Dual-rate discounting in dynamic economic-environmental modelling’, Economic Modelling 20: 941957.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zanou, B., Kontogianni, A., and Skourtos, M. (2003), ‘A classification approach of cost effective management measures for the improvement of watershed quality’, Ocean and Coastal Management 46: 957983.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Almansa Supplementary Table

Table A1. Summary statistics for the traditional and environmental profitability indicators: EDR and SDR according to HM Treasury, 2003

Download Almansa Supplementary Table(PDF)
PDF 43.1 KB