Unlocking challenges and opportunities presented by COVID-19 pandemic for cross-cutting disruption in agri-food and green deal innovations: Quo Vadis?

COVID-19 pandemic is on a trajectory to cause catastrophic global upheaval with the potential to alter geopolitical and socio-economic norms. Many countries are frantically responding with staggering financial stimulus recovery initiatives. This opinion-paper reviews challenges, opportunities, and potential solutions for the post-COVID-19 era that focuses on intensive sustaining of agri-food supply chain in tandem with meeting the high demand for new green deal innovation. For example, the development of wet peatland innovation, known as Paludiculture, can intensively sustain and blend agri-food and green innovations that will help support COVID-19 pandemic transitioning. The future looks bright for the creation of new sustainability multi-actor innovation hubs that will support, connect, and enable businesses to recover and pivot beyond the COVID-19 pandemic. The nexus between first ‘Green Deal’ initiative supporting 64 selected European Startups and SMEs (European Innovation Council) and 43 Irish Disruptive Technology projects are addressed in the context of cross-cutting developments and relevance to COVID-19. Candidate areas for future consideration will focus on climate action, digitization, manufacturing, and sustainable food production, security, and waste mitigation. Recommendations are also provided to facilitate community transitioning, training, enterprise, and employment to low carbon economy.


H I G H L I G H T S
• COVID-19 pandemic presents opportunities for sustainable agri-food production and to accelerate green innovation.
• Sensible yet ambitious technicaleconomical recovery plans are urgently needed when countries reopen. • COVID-19 may create disruptive technologies that cross-cuts agri-food, ICT, health, and environment. • Multi-agency converging innovation hubs have the potential to accelerate socio-economic recovery.

G R A P H I C A L A B S T R A C T
a b s t r a c t a r t i c l e i n f o

Introduction
Coronavirus  has caused dramatic and unprecedented upheaval to socio-economic norms since first reported in Wuhan, China, earlier this year Guan et al., 2020). COVID-19 pandemic is impossible to predict, with many countries experiencing second or successive waves of infection. Akin to a 'Black Swan' event, there is a significant gap in published research to inform companies where most have neither prepared for it nor have they planned to transition beyond it (Taleb, 2010;Reid et al., 2020). COVID-19 impacts upon health systems, governments, and businesses alike with unprecedented implications for companies worldwide. Companies are feeling the market and financial shock of the COVID-19 outbreak by factories' shutdown, labor shortages to cash flow stress, and disruptions in the supply chain (Reid et al., 2020). The global mitigation response has focused on public health strategies to curtail and reduce the spread of viral transmission through hand hygiene, social distancing, lockdown (staying-at-home, cocooning), and, community wearing of protective face masks that now occurs in 50 countries Silva et al., 2020). This fact has resulted in an unprecedented technical-socioeconomic earthquake that has left many sectors seeking emergency COVID-19-related unemployment benefits Guan et al., 2020). The food supply chain sector does not comprise an exception (Galanakis, 2020). Sarkis et al. (2020) noted that there is a window now for transitioning to sustainable supply chains in the aftermath of COVID-19 that includes rethinking vulnerabilities created by over-reliance on 'just-in-time' or 'business-as-usual' practices. Barcèló (2020) highlighted challenges affecting the environment and health caused by COVID-19 pandemic along with recommendations for monitoring and mitigation.
Similarly to other countries, the Republic of Ireland has been in lockdown for 3 months to flatten the curve in COVID-19 cases. On the other hand, it is in a relatively privileged position where it is adopting a phased reopening of the country that commenced 18th May 2020, with phase five intimated for 10th August 2020 (Fig. 1). While Ireland is emerging from the first phase of reopening, likely, the vast majority of foodservice and businesses will not return to regular operation for several weeks. Covid-19 adjusted employment in the Republic of Ireland has reached 28.2%, compared with traditional 5.4% for the same month last year, which is estimated to cost the Irish exchequer €6.4bn until the country reopens. COVID-19 pandemic has introduced dramatic uncertainty and unpredictability where this volatility has the potential to cause socio-economic chaos across many sectors when Ireland and other countries reopen for business (Guan et al., 2020).
While there are financial stimulus support packages (Government of Ireland, 2020), there is an unprecedented dearth in critical information (such as marketing of new consumer trends and behavioural change to offset sheltering-in-place and social distancing) in order to enabling businesses to make priority decisions on core needs for recovery post-COVID-19 (Sarkis et al., 2020). As there was almost simultaneous closure of countries due to COVID-19 mediated lockdowns (Guan et al., 2020), the Republic of Ireland will re-emerge from the COVID-19 bubble ahead of many other trading countries that will provide a useful lens to gaze through to inform recovery. This scenario will help inform realtime situational-analysis and will reveal the main challenges where different geopolitical and socio-economic landscape now potentially exists internationally. The lack of food security means that countries are dependent upon imports but may not earning sufficient foreign currency to purchase vital imported goods. The post-COVID-19 era also presents equal opportunities to address climate change and to advance green innovation matched with driving sustainable food production and security.

International financial recovery stimulus support initiatives for business during and post COVID-19
Europe needs to be reopened as quickly as sensible, but this will involve significant risk. In response, there has been major national, EU, and international stimulus financial aid to offset this potential socioeconomic crisis potentially. On 27th May 2020, the European Commission presented an economic stimulus plan of €750 billion to help mitigate the shock from this COVID-19 pandemic and pave the way for a sustainable future. While there is a commitment to support recovery financially, there is currently a lack in specific detail underpinning a techno-socio-economic ecosystem unroadmap to guide F&D companies through and beyond COVID-19 when countries reopen. There is a recognition that the EU will still need to prioritize climate actions and a digital strategy, but also to update the new EU health program. This action is important to ensure continuity of supply chain for food and medical products, services across the EU to offset critical shortages arising for existing and future pandemics. In the Republic of Ireland, the Department of Health and the Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine (DAFM) are collaborating as part of a holistic response to COVID-19, e.g., although remaining open for business sector (DAFM, 2020). At the time of writing, two very stark documents published in Irelandthe Irish Fiscal Advisory Council (2020) and the ESRI UK and Ireland (2020) both warned of ballooning unemployment, huge deficits, massive accumulations of public debt and painful budgetary adjustments to the tune of up to €14bn by 2025. IBEC (2020), the group that represents Irish business, published proposed solutions to COVID-19 imposed liquidity crisis, e.g., supporting vulnerable businesses using emergency cashflow and liquidity measures from the Irish government. IBEC also denoted the importance of maintaining the operation of food and other processing facilities. This action includes specific liquidity and financing needs of farmers, fishers, and agri-food businesses and for the banks to offer flexibility to their customers at an early stage to discuss emerging cashflow issues.
3. Agri-food industryan example of challenges ahead post COVID-19 The agri-food sector comprises a dynamic societal-technical innovation ecosystem and is one of the largest manufacturing industries (Saguy et al., 2018;Rowan, 2019). In the EU, this increasingly important sector accounts for €1098 billion turnovers and employs 4.24 million (Saguy et al., 2018). The food and drink (F&D) industry has doubled in size in the United States over the past decade, where it was estimated to be worth £6 trillion in 2015 with packaging comprising almost £1.9 trillion (Statista, 2020a). Revenue in the food market amounts to US $924,389m in 2020; the market is expected to grow annually by 1.8% (Statista, 2020a). The rate of global population growth is staggering, and there is a commensurate need to match this demand that will put increasing pressure on food production and security (Richie et al., 2018;Michelini et al., 2018). There is a pressing need to diversify the food supply chain and identify sustainable technologies across food systems that will meet changing diets, increasingly aging, ethnic and cultural population, diet-related diseases, more personalized products (Galanakis, 2020). DBEI (2018) projects that there will be a ca. 70% rise in demand for more food products and services over the next 40 years. In the years ahead, it is envisaged that organic, unprocessed, and healthy food will drive growth in domestic markets (Statista, 2020b). For example, the estimated value of shipments of the industry was US$795.4 billion in 2019, where. 15.1% of the cost of shipments generated from dairy product manufacturing.
The agri-food and beverage sector is Ireland's most important indigenous industry where the sector produced €13bn of exports to overseas markets in 2019 on foot of decades of accelerated growth where the value of exports in this sector increased by 67% (Duffy, 2020). However, at this time of writing, the impact of COVID-19 pandemic with associated international lockdown has pretty much instantaneously shut down world economies. Duffy (2020) reported that COVID-19 would also bring about a dramatic collapse in merger and acquisition activity with deals stalled, put on hold, or canceled outright. With such uncertainty and unpredictabilitypost-crisis, the likely immediate focus of business owners will be on managing core business and recovery. It is very challenging to forecast at this stage, for the F&D sector, the outcome and when new dawn may emerge. Duffy (2020) postulated that deals likely to be created from COVID-19 circumstances include "(a) forced mergers and acquisitions transactions as those companies unable to recover from this crisis will seek buyers, (b) corporate entitles with competitive cost structures, strong balance sheets, and case resources may seek cheaper deals including lower valuations for businesses post COVID-19, (c) consolidation of some companies of similar size to withstand market uncertainties and strengthen their financial standing by securing new customers/markets; (d) companies may seek to remedy supply chain problems, such as cash-rich retailers transitioning to procure certainty of supply for certain food products; (e) companies to see out value by adding traceability solutions to improve food securitywhere they will find themselves facing enhanced requirements to satisfy consumer needs for accurate and transparent information on the food they are producing". COVID-19 will be trying to understand if changes to consumer purchasing practices are permanent and how/where to adjust post-COVID-19.
4. Transitioning COVID-19 crisis by exploiting green peatland innovations (Paludiculture) -a useful nexus between agri-food, climate action, and circular economy Europe has set out its ambitious vision to become the world's first climate-neutral continent by 2050 (A European Green Deal, 2020), while in 2019, the Irish Government published of the All of Government Climate Action Plan -to tackle Climate Breakdown. The food and environmental sectors are tightly bound. The environmental industry is nowadays facing societal changes that force companies to pay more The opening of all other non-essenƟal retail outlets will be phased in on basis of a restricƟon on number of staff and customers per square metre so that social distancing can be maintained. This is to be limited to retail outlets with a streetlevel entrance and exit and does not include those in enclosed shopping centres due to higher risk.
RestricƟons will gradually be decreased on the numbers travelling in major urban centres on public transport and in private cars.
Specific measures will be introduced at ports and airports.
Enclosed shopping centres can reopen, with social distancing. A further loosening of restricƟons for services involving direct physical contact for periods of Ɵme between people for which there is not a populaƟon-wide demand for later phases due to risks . Non-resident tourist travel to offshore islands can resume. Social distancing and hygiene measures are to conƟnue for public and private transport. Data source -hƩps://www.gov.ie/en/news/58bc8b-taoiseach-announces-roadmap-for-reopening-society-and-business-and-u/ (accessed June 4 th , 2020)  To support the restoration of 95 ha of peatland, and support the restoration of 3 peatland lakes. The project Creating a New Approach to Peatland Ecosystems responds to these issues by restoring wetland areas to reduce their CO 2 emissions and improve their capacity to store water, and by aiming to develop the markets for products produced from wetland ecosystems -a type of farming known as Paludiculture. Physical restoration of the landscape, raising water levels in drained bogs and fens, and restoring lake edges to improve their water quality. This will halt the release of CO 2 that occurs on drained peatlands, and restore the capacity of the land to act as a buffer to floods and droughts. Improving water quality will improve the recreational value of the In the project the emissions and storage of greenhouse gases, the water level as well as the wildlife (flora and fauna) will be documented, analysed and compared. This helps to prove rewetting measures and gives the chance to regulate aberrations quickly. Also the potential climate effects of the rewetting can be calculated.
Poland, Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, Germany The LIFE Project Peat Restore aims to rewet degraded peatlands in the partner countries Poland, Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania and Germany, covering an area of 5300 ha to restore the function as carbon sinks. National events, information materials, a photo exhibition and a documentary film will contribute to raise public awareness and to inform about the project's progress.
During the drainage of peatlands, oxygen gets into the peat, which leads to aeration and decomposition of organic matter into smallest parts.
In this aerobic zone microorganisms are extremely active, so the rate of decomposition is especially high. As a result the greenhouse gases (CO 2 , N 2 O) are emitted into the atmosphere, what reverses the function of peatlands as a store into a source of greenhouse gases.
considerable attention to develop services, processes, and products that meet the strict legislative requirements as well as a result in a greener production, cleaner environment, and a more sustainable world. Simultaneously, companies deal with increasingly competitive markets in which innovation is regarded as a survival requirement (Galanakis, 2019). Subsequently, there is a pressing need to consider smart new solutions for ensuring the intensive sustainability of agriculture and food production processes that respond to the challenges of pandemics and climate change.
Globally, peatlands account at present for ca. 3% of the earth's surface and play a significant role in offsetting CO2 emissions through sequestration. Peatlands store 1.4 trillion tonnes of carbon-equivalent to 75% of all carbon in the atmosphere, which is twice that stored in forests. Bord Na Mona, the Irish state body that owns 80,000 ha of peatlands, are transitioning from burning peat to transitioning to a green footprint. For example, there is a strong trajectory for Bord Na Mona to develop wet peatland innovation (known as paludiculture) for new business models with academic partners and other industries under a new Empower Eco Sustainability HUB platform that is also supported by the government (Just Transition Programme, 2020). Bord Na Mona is exploiting the 'Empower Eco' platform to accelerate its transition from 'Brown to Green' during COVID-19 that will also stimulate regional development, community transitioning to low carbon economy, training, enterprise, and employment. These transitioning activities will be informed by necessary knowledge transfer from several related European-funded Interreg projects that seek to restore peatlands, including measuring greenhouse gases (GHGs), to improve biodiversity and carbon sequestration, along with developing green paludiculture innovations and blue services such as water retention (Table 1). Wet peatland crops such as cattail, sphagnum mosses, moor-grasses, Alder carr, wild rice, typha, reed, and waste wood for the food and construction industry (Carbon Connects, 2020: Restore, 2020; Care-Peat, 2020; Canape, 2020). Those mentioned above will enable carbon and blue credit scheme for the peatlands. Paludiculture will also facilitate the ambitious of advancing EU collective agriculture policy beyond 2020 (Peatlands in the EU, 2020). This approach will also facilitate the urgent need for sustainable alternatives and innovative business models for farmers and land managers on rewetted peatlands, which will also enable significant carbon sinking. O'Neill et al. (2020) have recently reported on the development of freshwater aquaculture for high-value perch and trout in the Irish peatlands using cut-away flooded peatlands using organic principles, which is powered by a wind turbine (Fig. 2). Water quality and waste remediation are maintained in this paludiculture-based aquaculture process by using natural microalgae and duckweed. Naughton et al. (2020) also reported on the use of this freshwater aquaculture process for testing new innovations, such as the real-time relationship between the use of hand-held AlgalTorch™ on the farm and relationship with flow-cytometry to measure vital physicochemical parameters. O'Neill et al. (2019) also used this freshwater aquaculture process to demonstrate the efficacy of using microalgae as a smart green innovative tool to evaluate the ecotoxicological quality of effluent that included robustness for used during climate change, such as drought. Advances in bioinformatics and next-generation sequencing will also help with improvements in different microalgae used for this purpose as well as the determination of microbial populations in the system, including the emergence of pathogens or problematic microorganisms (Naughton et al., 2020). This is particularly relevant as less than 5% of aquatic microorganisms are culturable on conventional agar media (Rowan, 2011;Rowan et al., 2015;Fitzhenry et al., 2019). It is envisaged that there will be continued advances and potential for technology disruption in forestry and horticulture for future environmental-proofing such as the delivery of cocktail of helper microorganisms and bioactives through hydrogels from adjacent manufacturing and materials industry to respond variances in climate change and resilience. Peatlands also present an opportunity for improving pollination and ecosystem service management (Naughton et al., 2017;All Ireland Pollinator Plan, 2020). These actions include supporting new medical plant and herbs (such as Calendula, Meadowsweet, Plantain, Valerian, Marsh Mellow, Peppermint), extraction of medicinal sap from birch trees, and production of honey as a social enterprise for rural communities. These timely activities align strongly with the finding of Robroek et al. (2017), who reported that plants that makeup peat bogs adapt exceptionally well to climate change compared to diverse plant communities (such as dunes and grasslands). Peatlands lose fewer plant species as a result of climate and environmental change as they are more resilient. Robroek et al. (2017) also noted that peatlands protect ca. 10% of global CO 2 emissions and act as a sponge in our landscape for holding vast amounts of drinking water, which can be used to offset uncertainty for climate change, such as drought.
The development of peatlands presents opportunities to accelerate leading-edge knowledge and competency through innovation hubs, which would tap into abundant, diverse natural resources for enterprise development and to facilitate transition beyond COVID-19. This will inform the next generation of entrepreneurs to stimulate regional creation and environmental knowledge base with a low carbon orientation. Exploiting wet peatland innovation, known as "paludiculture"), will contribute to the new EU Farm to Fork Strategy, which is at the heart of the European Green Deal, aiming to make food systems fair, healthy, and environmentally-friendly. It will also support Europe's ambitious vision to become the world's first climate-neutral continent by 2050 (A European Green Deal, 2020). In so doing, accelerating paludiculture innovation will advance the economic diversification of territories most affected by the climate transition and the reskilling and active inclusion of their workers and jobseekers. Companies are coming under pressure to engage in sustainability and eco-friendly innovation, but lack a clear progression pathway. This new paludiculture multi-actor ecosystem platform will accelerate entrepreneurship and commercialization that will contribute to supporting the recovery from COVID-19, and possibly other future pandemics. Such a paludiculture innovation platform is being actively pursued in the Irish midlands, known as Empower Eco, which will provide sustainable transitioning-solutions for those unemployed and underemployed as a result of reliance upon burning peat as fossil fuel. It is envisaged that exploiting digitization will also advance the rate of paludiculture innovation along with creating opportunities for promoting the recovery of tourism with the support of Citizen Science. Multi-actor sustainable Hubs will also build enterprise programs by bundling added value through R & D collaboration, facilitating design and technological maturation activities, and commercial planning that should encompass financial, legal, supply chain, and market entry activities. This platform should support startup and SME funding instruments to be leveraged through elevant regional, national and European funding models, such as under Green deal and sustainable agriculture that will potentially inform technology disruption. The core tenets of multi-actor transnational innovation hubs, that connects complimentary technological core facilitities, have been successfully delineated through Interreg Atlantic Area Sharebiotech Project (2012). Such activities will also be supported and accelerated thourugh transnational modelling (Interreg Atlantic Area Neptunus Project, 2018).

First "Green
Deal" funding from European Innovation Council to support the recovery plan for Europestrong alignment with Paludiculture platform ambitions On 23rd July 2020, the European Innovation Council (EIC) announced the awarding of over €307 million in funding to 64 gamechanging 'green deal' startups and SMEs that will contribute to the objectives of the European Green Deal Strategy (2020), and the Recovery Plan for Europe (2020). Successful proposals ranged from innovative solutions for the automotive, aerospace, and maritime sectors to advanced materials or Internet of Things technologies (full listing of selected projets are highlighted at European Innovation Council, 2020). Many of these EIC-funded 'Green Deal' projects align with the core tenets of Science Foundation Ireland Disruptive Technology Innovation Funded projects of 2018 and 2019 (Figs. 3 and 4). Examples of EIC 'Green Deal' selected projects that focus on pollination, bioplastics, renewable energy and GHG emission reduction, waste remediation along with specific COVID-19 interventions are noted in Table 2. Over one-third of EIC-funded companies are led by women CEOs, which is a significant increase (tripling) of the number in previous EIC funding rounds.
This paludiculture research platform aligns with The European Innovation Council (EIC), which supports visionary entrepreneurs who create transformative solutions to pressing societal and environmental challenges, supporting the Green Deal and the recovery plan for Europe (European Commision, 2020; European Innovation Council, 2020; Green Deal for Start-Ups and SMEs, 2020). These startups and SMEs are set to scale up, creating jobs and growth, and giving Europe the global leader in green technologies and solutions. Akin to the EIC's Green Deal, the paludiculture-based hub also supports companies to benefit from exclusive business acceleration services to enable rapid growth and scale (Table 3). It is noteworthy that the EIC is currently in a €3.3 billion pilot phase and is due to be fully-fledged in 2021 as part of the new Horizon Europe program (European Innovation Council, 2020). In March 2020, the Commission amended the pilot EIC 2020 Work Programme to include a €300 m budget through the EIC pilot Accelerator for funding game-changing, market-creating innovations that contribute to the goals of The European Green Deal and the United Nation's 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The scheme offers startups and SMEs the option to apply for either grants or blended finance (grant or equity support). Since the start of the EIC Accelerator Pilot in autumn 2019, a total of 140 startups and SMEs active in all technology-intensive sectors (health, digital, energy, etc.) have been pre-selected for equity financing for a total of over €500 m. The amended pilot EIC Work Programme also introduced special provisions to support applications by SMEs and startups with female CEOs.
Climate change and environmental degradation are an existential threat to Europe and the world. To overcome these challenges, Europe needs a new growth strategy that transforms the Union into a modern, resource-efficient, and competitive economy where there are no net emissions of greenhouse gases by 2050 (European Innovation Council, 2020). The European Green Deal is an ambitious roadmap for making the EU's economy sustainable, which will happen by turning climate and environmental challenges into opportunities across all policy areas and making the transition just and inclusive for all. The European Green Deal provides a timely roadmap with actions that will (1) boost the efficient use of resources by moving to a clean, circular economy, (2) to restore biodiversity and cut pollution. It outlines the investments needed and financing tools available and explains how to ensure a just and inclusive transition. Those mentioned above paluciculturefocused transitioning initiative strongly aligns with A European Green Deal Action Plan (2020) including (1) climate ambition, (2) clean, affordable and secure energy, (3) industrial strategy for a clean and circular economy, (4) sustainable and smart mobility; (5) greening the ordinary agricultural policy / 'Farm to Fork Strategy, (6) preserving and protecting biodiversity, (7) towards a zeropollution ambition for a toxic-free environment, (8) mainstreaming sustainability in EU policies, and (10) supporting the EU as a global leader in the green innovation.
6. Solutions to accelerate agri-food recovery for post-COVID-19 potential technology disruption Several economies across the globe are braced for a short-term economic slowdown (Guan et al., 2020), where they have implemented economic stimulus measures. Reid et al. (2020) suggested that corporate leaders should consider five key steps they can take to reshape their business and plan for recovery: (i) prioritize people safety, (ii) reshape strategy for business continuity through stress-testing to evaluate short-term liquidy and risks, (iii) communicate with relevant stakeholders in a clear, transparent and timely manner, (iv) maximize the use of government support policies and packages, and finally (v) build resilience in preparation of the new reality with bold strategies based on stress tests. Companies will then have to define internal guidelines based on experience learned from the first COVID-19 wave, as well as to develop contingency to respond better to a second wave, and faster to future pandemic crises.
Virtual accelerator hubs for connecting Micro with SMEs that exploit advances in ICT through immersive technologies will become more popular for informing disruptive innovation in situ and for remote end-user applications. This tendency will enable hurdling restrictions that may come with networking and training innovators or employees in meeting rooms that may persist as a barrier to innovate for post-COVID-19 disruptors. It can be actualized through ICT and Quality of Experience (QoE) such as virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) (Braga Rodrigues et al., 2020). Rowan (2019) reported on the potential benefits of combining immersive with educational technologies for remote workforce training that has significant implications for the future provision of remote workforce training for new skills linked to education. EIC 'Green Deal' startups and SME selected projects also focus on virtual reality and training that includes provision for COVID-19 (Table 2). There is a pressing need to exploit existing or to create new multi-agency enterprise-hubs related to academia that will support and accelerate innovators and businesses (such as in agri-food) as well as full-span commercialization of products and services using the 9-stage technology readiness assessment (Mankins, 2009). This fact should include off-site pilot-data generation where there is an increasing trajectory towards sustainable innovation, the green agenda, and digitization (Table 3). This multi-agency innovation HUB concept is under strategic development in the Irish midlands region to facilitate transitioning to green innovation and for recovery post-COVID-19 era, which will facilitate resource utilization, help recovery of businesses, and accelerate technology disruption post-COVID-19 (Just Transition, 2020).

Definitions of disruptive technologies
Disruptive technologies (DTs) or disruptive innovations were initially defined to address market disruption in established markets, where a new product or service (a technology) is introduced (Bower and Christensen, 1995;Christensen et al., 2004). DTs arise from a global drive to discover innovations that will lead to greater competitiveness, impact and value to businesses and society (Christensen and Bower, 1996;Lauer and D'Agostin, 2013;Yongfu et al., 2017;Geels, 2018;Li et al., 2018;Sousa and Rocha, 2018). Innovations may be viewed as disruptive when they take the place of established or broadly accepted ideas arising from scientific inquiry, or in methodologies or in paradigms that disrupts knowledge (Kuhn, 1962).
In recent times, definitions of DT focus on broad factors affecting the industry and address the nexus between learning experience arising from substitutable innovations that relate explicitly to competitive pricing and performance (Rowan, 2019). The recent review by Schuelke-Leech (2018) provides an excellent insight into a diversity of DTs -where products are reduced in size (such as exploiting leading developments in nanotechnology); more lightweight and efficient (such as utilizing additive manufacturing and material science); more competitively and affordably priced (such as exploiting resource management and production including advances in innovative service and business processes); more excellent dexterity and convenience in design and functionality (using researcher creativity blended with artificial intelligence, augmented and virtual reality and so forth that includes future-proofing for needs across various platforms); and more significant performing products and services (such as exploiting physico-chemical developments combined with the use of robotics and AI for design linked to advances in education and workforce training). For example, this concept may be applied to the food industry for the introduction and training of new technologies across the supply chain from production, distribution, and storage. Developing DTs in the agri-food domain is core to supporting and driving national strategic development plans as these generate jobs, add-value, troubleshoot, and enhance quality in changing marketplaces. These important deliverables are also strongly evident in Green Deal selected projects awarded by European Innovation Council (2020).
In the interesting work of Schuelke-Leech (2018), Beth Ann described a conceptual model to understand the orders of magnitude of DTs that may disrupt markets, businesses, institutions, and the societal norm, which constitute 'the innovation ecosystem.' Specifically, such disruptions occur at two different levels. First order-level disruption is the focus of much the business literature where it considers and addresses disrupters in innovation. Second-order includes technological disruptions that permeate through society, influencing substantial change. Second-order disruptions are more extensive than first-order disruptions. There is great desire to understand the process whereby one identify candidate technology disruptors as that is connected to innovation ecosystem (Nagji and Tuff, 2012) Schuelke-Leech (2018) noted that factors leading to the creation of DTs arise for the localized opportunity (Christensen, 2003), creativity and problem solving (Rowan, 2019), financial investments (such as from self-financing to Venture Capital and Angel investors, Rowan, 2019), networks (Rowan, 2019), broad applicability for an innovative technology (Schuelke-Leech, 2018), and supporting infrastructure and institutions (such as clustering of human capital, networking and so forth to enable a creative process to occur, Drucker, 1985).

How might DTs accelerate recovery post-COVID-19 and transition towards sustainable food systems?
Herrero et al. (2020) recently reviewed and identified technologies and approaches that have the potential to accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system. While this was a pre-COVID-19 study, it is evident that many of the innovations identified as future technologies may also be led to disruption and inform recovery post-COVID-19 pandemic in terms of sustainable food production and socio-economic recovery plans. For instance, preference for functional foods or nutraceuticals that boost immune-system and wellbeing for COVID-19 are likely to become popular (Masterson et al., 2019;Murphy et al., 2020;Galanakis, 2020). Given the gap in knowledge, there has been an increasing number of preprint publications that specifically focused on the potential benefits of nutraceuticals for used to improve the health and mental wellbeing of citizens, including a focus on those recovering post-COVID-19 pandemic. Target compounds under evaluation include vitamins, polysaccharides, natural polyphenols, bioactive lipids, and peptides (Gonzalez, 2020). Companies claim more recognition of immune-boosting ingredients (Daniells, 2020). They have seen an opportunity to develop relevant products (e.g., chocolate balls rich in β-glucan) targeting immunity during the post-lockdown era (Koe, 2020). These trends will most likely continue to drive the market within the next years (Galanakis, 2020). Subsequently, businesses will be seeking to fill the demand for nutraceuticals and functional foods to address the challenges and opportunities created by COVID-19 disease (Galanakis, 2020). These products may emerge from food processing by-products (Galanakis, 2012(Galanakis, , 2013, seaweeds, yeast, algae, plants, and fungi or mushrooms that reduce inflammatory responses that are typically associated with cytokine storm in severe COVID-19 patients . Masterson et al. (2020) also  reported on the novel use of bioactives from medicinal fungi ameliorates antibiotic-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae-induced pulmonary sepsis.
Future intensive sustainability of the food sector will also be influenced by pressures applied to supply chain, including uncertainties associated with the impact of global warming on crops that will include more flooding and droughts (O'Neill et al., 2019). Fisheries and seafood are viewed as desirable high protein, low carbon-intensive products with the emergence of smart aquaculture processes to meet growing consumer demands (Tahar et al., 2018a, 2018b, O'Neill et al., 2020. However, Ruiz-Salmón et al. (2020) also reported that the seafood and aquaculture sectors across European countries are embracing opportunities to mitigate key environmental pressure points (depletion of resources and climate change), social needs (changing customer attitudes and preferences) or growth in markets (services and business processes along with enhanced competition and worldwide competitiveness). Maintaining satisfactory water quality through developing sustainable innovations to meet growing populations globally will also present significant challenges and opportunities (Tahar et al., 2018c;Tiedeken et al., 2017). De-risking and policy decision making will be increasing influenced by predicitve modelling . These pressing challenges are influencing the innovation ecosystem from citizens to policymakers to adopt and foster more sustainable practices. Sharing of new knowledge across European seafood and aquaculture sector, including innovation in ecolabelling and ecodesign, will have far-reaching and crosscutting influences to the circular economy (Ruiz-Salmón et al., 2020). Smart changes in these areas may lead to disruptive products and businesses.
Blockchain offers a security-proof approach to recording every digital transaction that can inform a broad spectrum of smart innovations from business processes to 5G networks. In the food disruption context, it has the potential to radically transform and disrupt safety and quality, waste remediation and recycling, security, and authenticity and traceability (Medical Expo, 2020). The robotics industry is estimated to be worth ca. €2.2billlion by 2022 and has to potential to transform the food industry through automation, such as personalized food processing (StartUS-Insight, 2020). There has been a global push to re-address dependency on single-use plastics with a greater focus on smart packaging, including the emergence of potential for bioplastics led by large companies such as   Diago and Nestlé (Medical Expo, 2020). Food waste management is also the subject of many transnational research and innovation projects such as the European Commission Interreg Neptunus project that combines academic expertise with industry across the Atlantic area to address waste recycling in the fisheries and seafood area, including life cycle assessment, valorization, and ecolabeling (https://neptunus-project.eu/). There is also increasing interest in the development of 3D printers, also known as additive manufacturing, as a sustaining and potentially disruptive technology for a wide range of possibilities for the food industry. For example, 3D food bioprinters permit personalized and repeatable nutrition where it is considered to provide the correct amount of nutrients to match different lifestyles, gender, and health requirements (Brunner et al., 2018). Besides, experimental 3D Bioprinters are designed to prints living cells that have the potential to advance food supply chain needs (StartUS-Insight, 2020). However, the role of social marketing and communication to inform behavior changes and to seek feedback on attitudes, perceptions, and barriers for the uptake of this technology will be necessary (Brunner et al., 2018). Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to develop new foods and flavors, such as Coca Cola's research into the Cherry Stripe in 2017 (Medical Expo, 2020). AI will play a prominent role in the personalization of foods and nutrition, exploiting the vast potential of digitalization. Besides, food delivery companies are beginning to concentrate on using the position of artificial intelligence (AI) for problem-solving matched with automation, such as automated guided vehicles. As an example, slow-moving pavement droids to deliver food have been tested by Just Eat, who has partnered with Starship Technologies for this exciting opportunity (StartUS-Insight, 2020). The Internet of Things (IoT) is increasingly becoming relevant for the next-generation food industry, which includes forging innovation in services and business processes. For example, Innet introduced a change suitable for all kitchen devices such as analysis of items for food refrigeration, including taking note of expiration dates with provision for suggesting recipes along with meal preparation. Food security is also an essential factor to have to the fore post-COVID-19, where the monitoring of food from the field to fork using IoT technologies presents a logical solution to this challenge. Given the necessity for food globally, disruption in products and services is likely to emerge from innovations in the delivery and online retail sector as most people remain at home to prevent infection. This infers a focus on food security (such as blockchain and the internet of things in the food supply chain), safety including smart packaging, and alternative, disruptive approaches to food sources such as protein sources. Traceability of infected workers is also very important across the entire farm to fork continuum where there have been clusters of COVID-19 cases reported in meat packaging plants, such as in Ireland (Power, 2020) and Germany (Scally, 2020). The Republic of Ireland has introduced a new COVID-19 Tracker mobile phone app for it's citizens that has ca. 200,000 daily visits.
In terms of potential global economic recovery plans post-COVID-19, and the emergence of Food DTIFs, the significant value may be placed on such things as a review of antibody testing data. For this application, it is hoped that epidemiology will show that many people were infected where this may inform a v-shaped recession with a short sharp recovery. A desirable v-shape economic recovery trend may be more likely due to a wave of online shopping and people working from home. Approximately $6.2 trillion (12.5% of retail total) is spent on food and beverage in the USA: 2015 was the year that more food was brought in than prepared in the home. COVID-19 has shocked that trend, in the US in Q2, $100bn dollars shifted from restaurants to retail space. Monopolies in food grocery services may arise, where smaller independent stores may struggle. In the UK, 7% of the population shop for groceries online, with 4% in the US. Yet, one-third of the US population bought online during the 2nd week of March, and half of them was their first time. Confidence must be provided to ensure continuity in the food supply chain to avoid friction in the food system. It is uncertain as to the state with any degree of confidence what would be the specific impact caused by the global downturn (or potential recession) in the economy as it relates to particular needs and opportunities met by emergent technologies in agri-food (including ingress from adjacent industries). Reuters (2020) described that an alternative U-shaped economic recovery might occur, that takes more than a couple of quarters as economies have suffered a faster and deeper, which Reuters feel may be the likeliest outcome. This reflects thinking that lockdown impact may last for a while after their lifting with a gradual easing of the lockdown where social distancing will continue that will continue to influence the tourist industry and so forth negatively. The occurrences of these combined risks may affect the appearance of a COVID-19-induced recession. The flexibility and adaptability of companies to meet change and adjust business models, including provision for ICT, including online delivery for supply chain, will be better placed for sustain and for potentially cause food disruption practices.
In response to COVID-19, countries may consider nationalizing their supply chains for greater control as to avoid reliance on another country that will significantly affect exports. Yet global trade feeds one-third of the world, and producing locally means buying less and the need for more land. COVID-19 may cause a contraction in the extension of the supply chain, and countries will trade with who they can trust. Question of relative advantage, will countries afford to produce things they aren't familiar with or can do, or will this be a necessity arising from potential supply chain shortage issuesfor example, reprocessing Personal and Protection Equipment ? There is likely to be an increased demand for ICT, including areas such as robotics, blockchain, algorithms to improve processes, efficiency, and sustain or create more jobs. Industries will need to adapt in real-timewhich is challenging, given very little market data available to underpin critical decisions. COVID-19 has been hailed as the "big equalizer," but the reality is that we are not equally resilient as a society. It will fuel the next wave of innovators, both for economic and social impact. Given the importance of transitioning beyond COVID-19, there is likely to be increased interest internationally on providing strategic funding initiatives that merge academia and industry to identify the next disruptive technology. There is a shortage of strategic initiatives that specifically focus on DTs. Still, Enterprise-Ireland has been quick to embrace this need with its Disruptive Technology Innovation Fund (DTIF) that launched in 2018. This DTIF initiative has committed €500 m to identify and supporting DFs Project Ireland 2040 (https://dbei.gov.ie/DTIF) that will run over the period 2018 to 2027 aligned with enterprise co-funding. Relevant questions and responses are available to view on this host website. The nature of the 43 DTIF awards will also have relevance to tackling COVID-19 pressure points (Table 4). DTIF Fund is aligned with the Irish Government's Future Jobs Ireland framework with a focus on 'Embracing Innovation and Technological Change,' where there is an emphasis on creating and advancing technology disruption on a commercial footing. It is envisaged that pursuit of these strategic domains, and harnessing the potential of DTIFS emerging from these cross-cutting areas will also support national economic recovery plan for COVID-19 pandemic.
The DTIF funding initiative in Ireland is resourced to €65 m up to 2022 for projects across many thematic domains encompassing emergent preferences for advancing medical devices, ICT, artificial intelligence, blockchain, robotics, nutraceuticals, therapeutics, manufacturing and environmental and so forth. A more in-depth analysis of all funded project awards over the 2018 and 2019 period highlights the potential benefit of addressing COVID-19 often through cross-cutting contributions from these previously considered separate domains of innovation (Table 3).
Analysis of the data provided shows that increased funding for this vital initiative in the priority areas Innovations in Services and Business Processing (1 project, €3.9 m (2.7%)); Food (3 projects from DTIF 2, €5.2 m (3.6%)); Energy, Climate Action and Sustainability (6 projects, €8.3 m (5.6%); Manufacturing and Materials -Advanced and Additive Manufacturing (3 projects, €8.7 m (6.0%); ICT (11 projects,€31.1 m (21.6%)), and Health and Wellbeing including Medical Devices, Diagnostics, and Therapeutics (21 projects at €86.8 m (60.3%) (Figs. 3 and 4). These domains reflect the Republic of Ireland's priority strategic areas of research and innovation to 2023. Fig. 3 describes the number of DTIF project awards in the various fields, including food for this Republic of Ireland government initiative since its' launch in 2018. However, it is appreciated that distribution of funding award to date reflects in part the presence of global Medtech and ICT industries in Ireland, in addition to the crucial partnership with leading academic institutions, Science Foundation Ireland-funded Research Centres and Enterprise-Ireland Technology Gateways that all support MNC, SMEs, startups, and entrepreneurs in a closely-knit innovation ecosystem.
The strong performance of medical technologies and ICT (Table 3) reflects in part the significant presence of global multinationals in this space connected to benchmarking universities and Institutes of Technologies across Ireland. Primary production in Ireland is represented by agriculture, fisheries, and forestry (includes food, drink, and horticulture), which pre-COVID-19 accounted for 10% of total exports worth €13bn reaching 180 markets worldwide. Approximately 80% of Ireland's agricultural land is devoted to grasslands, which makes it highly suitable for food production (Bord Bia, 2020). The innovation ecosystem is such that many of the leading food companies such as Diageo, Kerry Group, Glanbia, and so forth also are key collaborating partners in national research and innovation centers, enterprise-technology gateways, and benchmarking academic institutions that are focused sustaining and food disruption. For example, the Enterprise-Ireland funded Technology Gateways in Athlone  Institute of Technology supports ca. 300 projects per year with different startups, SMEs, MNCs nationally with cross-cutting links to the agri-food sector, including smart packaging, 3D printing, and nutraceuticals in terms of intelligent delivery systems. Drivers for informing future technology disruption in the agri-food domain will be influenced by needs arising from COVID-19 pandemic along with balancing environmental concerns for more eco-sustainable, climate-friendly products and services.
If one conducts a more in-depth review of the Irelands 43 DTIF projects, it becomes apparent that potentially 20 (46%) at a combined award value of €86.8 m (60.2%) have cross-cutting abilities to cause 2nd order disruption in the food domain (Fig. 3). This would include disruptive training using wearables via wireless communication, use of cytoflow5 for exploiting benefits of nutraceuticals, 3D printing of food, disruptive feed delivery, and future use of nutraceuticals for lung health using aerosol delivery under Health and Wellbeing domain. Disruption in the area of food security could be potentially achieved through the sole Innovative Services and Business Processes project (Table 3). Besides, disruption may be likely made in food distribution and storage through the Energy, Climate Action, and Sustainability project for reveals the use of a new zero-carbon emission, refrigerator-free, heat pump. Science Foundation Ireland has supported a Rapid COVID-19 Response Initiative that funded 26 of 350 applications to address health service readiness, medical countermeasures along with social and policy countermeasures with potential for disruption (Table 5). There is also good thematic agreement with recent Green Deal selected startup and SMEs for COVID-19 interventions (European Innovation Council, 2020).

Potential technology, product and business service disruptors in food beyond COVID-19 crisis
In recent times, there has been increasing interest in the augmented use of microorganisms, such as yeast, microalgae, and bacteria, in the form of protein sources. Microorganisms are commonly used in fermented products that we are very familiar with, such as yogurts and sauerkraut. This practice offers a more efficient, innovative approaches to producing the same proteins that we are already familiar with (Medical Expo, 2020). The demand for such alternative food ingredients is pushed by Millennials and Generation X, with changes in eating habits along with corresponding changes in personalized nutrition. From the disruption of introducing Greek yogurt to the emergence of new functional foods such as seaweeds (Mohamed et al., 2012), there has been increasing interest in food ingredients. Such things have informed a trend towards personalized nutrition. Considerable development in this space has been the recent partnership of Nestlé with Corbion. This combines exciting expertise of Corbion's microalgae innovation with Nestlé fermentation abilities that is renowned for its smart plant-based products. Other examples include Impossible Foods, who are making soy heme (typically found in soy plants) for plant-based burgers through microbial fermentation. Impossible food burger is made with soy leghemoglobin that mimics the taste of meat. Such innovations in food ingredients may also complement growing consumer demand for eco-sustainable food sources, which also reflects changing eating habits, diets, and the new role of personalized nutrition. Startup-Insight (2020) noted laboratory-cultured meat might provide an alternative or complementary source to actual meat where the latter requires approximately seven tons of water to produce 450 g of beef. Interestingly, the price for producing around 140 g of artificial meat dropped to €9,59 Euro in 2017 from a non-affordable initial costing base of €274.366. A useful trend to follow for disruption in food production and services is to monitor activities in the United States as more than a third of the world's top food and drink processing companies are headquartered there including Unilever, Danone, Diageo, Kirin, SABMiller, Cadbury Schweppes, Heineken and Asahi Breweries.
High protein feed for animal and human usage will prove relevant, which has been exemplified by an intensive focus on this product for intensive aquaculture production globally. Aquaculture is rapidly developing worldwide and highlights one of the fastest growth areas for the food industry (Fečkaninová et al., 2017;Liu et al., 2017;Tahar et al., 2018a;Tahar et al., 2018b;O'Neill et al., 2019). Aquacultures' pace and scale of expansion reflect a substantial increase in our worldwide population, and the commensurate demand for more safe, nutritious food (Seoane et al., 2014). Fish stocks are depleting on the oceans, and there is a countermeasure push to develop sustainable aquaculture processes to enhance disruption. Hatch-Blue is an example of accelerator SME focused on investing and progressing entrepreneurs to fast-track potential disruptive technologies for the fisheries, seafood, and aquaculture sector The project entails reinforcing the supply chain of Irish salmon production Yes, economic recovery (https://www.hatch.blue/) globally. Precisely, hatch-blue constitutes the first accelerator program for sustainable aquaculture that seeks out, develops, and nurtures Start-ups for disruptive innovation.

Conclusion
If one takes a long lens and examines how societies responded to previous catastrophic Black Swan events, (such as the Black Death the devastated the Byzantine Empire, the Cholera outbreak of the 1830s, the Spanish Flu of 1918-1920), World War II (1939)(1940)(1941)(1942)(1943)(1944)(1945), such traumas unleased tremendous changes in thinking, literature, and culture, inspiration, creativity, and ambition will prevail over austerity and fuel the discovery of next-generation disruptive innovations beyond this COVID-19 pandemic. Enhanced innovation leading to the creation of new disruptive technologies in the agri-food domain will inform new exciting new products and services that will address challenges and opportunities for the intensive sustainability of the industry. Modern-day and future disruptive technologies for the agri-food sector will be influenced by the growing demand to produce more safe, nutritious foods to meet growing populations that reflects dynamic changes in eating habits such as personalized nutrition, alternative protein sources, and attitudes towards climate change and digitization. The Black Swan and anti-fragile influences, such as shock to the economy by the occurrence of COVID-19 pandemic, will create both challenges and new opportunities that include emergent or disruptive innovations in service and business processes such as home delivery. A review of the recent 43 projects funded by the Irish government under Science Foundation Ireland's Disruptive Technology Initiatives was used to highlight trends in the innovation ecosystem and the potential for both crosscutting and future ground-breaking disruption in the agri-food, health, ICT, manufacturing and circular economy sectors with a global orientation. This trend is also reflected in the first 64 'Green Deal' selected startups and SME projects recently funded by the European Innovation Projects, which will help support transitioning beyond this COVID-19 pandemic and for future pandemics. Understanding where potential food technology disruptions are likely to occur will be aided by having a holistic perspective and appreciation of the complex socio-technological innovation ecosystem.