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Geological Probability of Success (POS), case study in the Late Miocene structures of the western part of the Sava Depression, Croatia

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Abstract

Geological probability calculation was applied to the Northern Croatian Neogene deposits in the western Sava Depression. Structures “A” and “B” (with sandstone hydrocarbon reservoirs inside the Kloštar Ivanić Formation, Upper Miocene) were analyzed using two different Probability of Success (POS) methodologies. The classical POS approach showed that, in such play and wider areas of selected two structures, the probability for discovering the new HC reservoirs is 42.18%. This is valid for minimum of 500,000 m3 of geological reserves. The modified POS approach has been used for calculation of waterflooding efficiency in selected structures “A” and “B.” The probability value of 56.25% indicates that future flooding would result in increased recovery.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. INA-Industry of Oil Plc., Av. V. Holjevca 10, Zagreb, Croatia

    Josip Ivšinović

  2. Faculty of Mining, Geology and Petroleum Engineering, University of Zagreb, Pierottijeva 6, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia

    Tomislav Malvić & Josipa Velić

  3. Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Horvatovac 102a, 10000, Zagreb, Croatia

    Jasenka Sremac

Authors
  1. Josip Ivšinović
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  2. Tomislav Malvić
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  3. Josipa Velić
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  4. Jasenka Sremac
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Correspondence to Josip Ivšinović.

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Responsible Editor: François Roure

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Ivšinović, J., Malvić, T., Velić, J. et al. Geological Probability of Success (POS), case study in the Late Miocene structures of the western part of the Sava Depression, Croatia. Arab J Geosci 13, 714 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-020-05640-z

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