Skip to main content
Log in

Site characterisation and probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Tura City, Meghalaya

  • Published:
Journal of Earth System Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Tura city is situated in a seismically active area of the Western Garo Hills of Meghalaya (India) that experienced the devastating 1897 Assam Earthquake of Mw~8.1. The city lies in the southwest corner of the Shillong plateau, which is influenced by the complex geodynamics of the Himalayan orogeny, the Indian plate subduction beneath the Burmese counterpart and the adjacent Bengal basin evolution process. The present study aims to provide some geotechnical information for earthquake hazard assessment in some of the densely populated sites within Tura city by using two methods: PSHA (probabilistic seismic hazard assessment) in the CRISIS2015 platform and MASW (multi-channel analysis of surface waves) for site characterisation. Hazard maps for different structural periods have been prepared considering fixed intensity and fixed return of 475 years. Hazard curves and uniform hazard response spectra are prepared for different sites within Tura city based on estimated Vs30 value, indicating the estimated PGA value is 0.59 g for 10% probability of exceedance. This integrated approach is an attempt to mitigate probable earthquake hazards in Tura City from a geotechnical engineering perspective.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abrahamson N A 2006 Seismic hazard assessment: Problems with current practice and future developments, First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (a joint event of the 13th ECEE and 30th General Assembly of the ESC) Geneva, Switzerland, 3–8 September, pp. 1–17.

  • Abrahamson N A and Bommer J J 2005 Probability and uncertainty in seismic hazard analysis; Earthq. Spectra 21(2) 603–607, https://doi.org/10.1193/1.1899158.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Abrahamson N A and Silva W J 1997 Empirical response spectral attenuation relations for shallow crustal earthquakes; Seismol. Res. Lett. 68(1) 94–127.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson J G and Biasi G P 2016 What is the basic assumption for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment?; Seismol. Res. Lett. 87(2A) 323–326, https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150232.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson J G and Luco J E 1983 Consequences of slip rate constraints on earthquake occurrence relations; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 73 471–496.

    Google Scholar 

  • Angelier J and Baruah S 2009 Seismotectonics in Northeast India: A stress analysis of focal mechanism solutions of earthquakes and its kinematic implications; Geophys. J. Int. 178 303–326.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bajaj K and Anbazhagan P 2019 Regional stochastic GMPE with available recorded data for active region – application to the Himalayan region; Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng. 126 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baker J W and Jayaram N 2008 Correlation of spectral acceleration values from NGA ground motion models; Earthq. Spectra 24(1) 299–317.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baker J W, Bradley B A, and Stafford P J 2021 Seismic hazard and risk analysis; Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baro Olympa and Abhishek Kumar 2015 A review on the tectonic setting and the seismic activity of the Shillong plateau in the light of past studies; Disaster Adv. 8(7) 34–45.

    Google Scholar 

  • Baruah S, Baruah S, Bora P K, Duarah R, Kalita A, Biswas R, Gogoi N and Kayal J R 2012 Moment magnitude (MW) and local magnitude (ML) relationship for earthquakes in northeast India; Pure Appl. Geophys. 169 1977–1988, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-012-0465-9.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bilham R and England P 2001 Plateau ‘Pop-up’ in the great 1897 Assam earthquake; Nature 410 806–809, https://doi.org/10.1038/35071057.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • BIS 2002 IS 1893 (Part 1): Indian Standard Criteria for Earthquake Resistant.

  • Bommer J J 2012 Challenges of building logic trees for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis; Earthq. Spectra 28(4) 1723–1735, https://doi.org/10.1193/1.4000079.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bommer J J, Scherbaum F, Bungum H, Cotton F, Sabetta F and Abrahamson N A 2005 On the use of logic trees for ground-motion prediction equations in seismic-hazard analysis; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 95(2) 377–389, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120040073.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bommer J J, Stafford P J, Alarcón J E and Akkar S 2007 The influence of magnitude range on empirical ground-motion prediction; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97(6) 2152–2170, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120070081.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boore D M and Atkinson G M 2008 Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s; Earthq. Spectra 24(1) 99–138.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BSSC 2003 NEHRP recommended provisions for seismic regulations for new buildings and other structures, Fema 450, Contract Emw-2001-Co-0269.

  • Budnitz R J, Apostolakis G, Boore D M, Cluff L S, Coppersmith K J, Cornell C A and Morris P A 1997 Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: Guidance on uncertainty and use of experts; Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, NUREG/CR-6372, UCRL-ID-122160.

  • Chen W P and Molnar P 1990 Source parameters of earthquakes and intraplate deformation beneath the Shillong plateau and the northern Indo-Burman ranges; J. Geophys. Res. 95(B8) 12,527–12,552.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cornell C A 1968 Engineering seismic risk analysis; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58(5) 1583–1606.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dasgupta A B and Biswas A K 2000 Geology of Assam; Geol. Soc. of India, Bangalore, India, 170p.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dorman J and Ewing M 1962 Numerical inversion of seismic surface wave dispersion data and crust-mantle structure in the New York–Pennsylvania area; J. Geophys. Res. 67(13) 5227–5241, https://doi.org/10.1029/JZ067i013p05227.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Douglas R B, Sandikkaya M A, Segou M, Faccioli E and Theodoulidis N 2012 Toward a ground-motion logic tree for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Europe; J. Seismol. 16 451–473, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-012-9281-z.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Esteva L 1969 Seismicity prediction: A Bayesian approach; 4th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Santiago, Chile, pp. 172–184.

  • Evans P 1964 The tectonic frame work of Assam; J. Geol. Soc. India 5 80–96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gogoi A, Baruah S and Sharma S 2023 Regression analysis on ground motion parameters for the earthquakes (Mw≥4.0) in NE India with special emphasis on 3 Jan 2016 M6.7, Tamenglong earthquake; Phys. Chem. Earth 129 103316, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2022.10331.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gutenberg B and Richter C F 1945 Frequency of earthquakes in California; Nature 156(3960) 371–371.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gutenberg B and Richter C F 1954 Seismicity of the Earth and associated phenomena; Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, USA.

  • IS 1893:2016 2016 Part 1: General provisions and buildings, criteria for earthquake resistant design of structures; Bureau of Indian Standards, New Delhi, India.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kanamori H and Anderson D L 1975 Theoretical basis of some empirical relations in seismology; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 65 1073–1095.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kayal J R, Arefiev S S, Barua S, Hazarika D, Gogoi N, Kumar A, Chowdhury S N and Kalita S 2006 Shillong plateau earthquakes in northeast India region: Complex tectonic model; Curr. Sci. 91(1).

  • Kiremidjian A and Anagnos T 1984 Stochastic time-predictable model for earthquake occurrences; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74(6) 2593–2611, https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0740062593.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kramer S L 2007 Geotechnical earthquake engineering, Prentice Hall international series on Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanics, ISBN 0-13-374943-6.

  • Krinitzsky E L 1995 Deterministic versus probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for critical structures; Eng. Geol. 40(1–2) 1–7, https://doi.org/10.1016/0013-7952(95)00031-3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kumar A 2023 Seismic hazard analysis of Silchar city located in north-east India; Geomat. Nat. Hazards Risk 14(1) 2170831.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mari J L 1984 Estimation of static correction for shear-wave profiling using the dispersion properties of Love waves; Geophysics 49 1169–1179.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire R K 1995 Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and design earthquakes: Closing the loop; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 85(5) 1275–1284.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire R K 2001 Deterministic vs. probabilistic earthquake hazards and risks; Soil Dyn. Earthq. Eng. 21(5) 377–384, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0267-7261(01)00019-7.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire R K 2004 Seismic hazard and risk analysis; Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Oakland, California.

  • McGuire R K 2008 Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis: Early history; Earthq. Eng. Struct. D. 37(3) 329–338, https://doi.org/10.1002/eqe.765.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire R K and Arabasz W J 1990 An introduction to probabilistic seismic hazard analysis; In Geotechnical and environmental geophysics: Review and tutorial (ed.) S N Ward, Society of Exploration Geophysicists, 1 333–354, https://doi.org/10.1190/1.9781560802785.ch12.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Musson R M W 2003 Fatalities in British earthquakes; Astron. Geophys. 44(1) 1.14–1.16, https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1468-4004.2003.44114.x.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nandy D R 2001 Geodynamics of north eastern India and the adjoining region; ACB Publications, Kolkata.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nandy D R and Dasgupta S 1991 Seismotectonic domains of northeastern India and adjacent areas: Geology and geodynamics of Himalayan collision zone; Phys. Chem. Earth 18(1–11) 371–384.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nath S K and Thingbaijam K K 2012 Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of India; Seismol. Res. Lett. 83(1) 135–149, https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.83.1.135.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) 2011 Development of probabilistic seismic hazard map of India; New Delhi: Government of India, Technical Report of the Working Committee of Experts.

  • Ordaz M 1999 User’s manual for program CRISIS-99; Technical report, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, http://hdl.handle.net/2122/8562.

  • Reiter L 1991 Earthquake hazard analysis – issues and insights; Colombia University Press, New York, 254p.

  • Sarkar S and Shanker D 2017 Estimation of seismic hazard using PSHA in and around National Capital Region (NCR) of India; Geosciences 7(4) 109–116, https://doi.org/10.5923/j.geo.20170704.01.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sitaram M V D and Bora P K 2007 Signal duration and local Richter magnitudes in northeast India: An empirical approach; J. Geol. Soc. India 70 323–338.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sitharam T G and Sil A 2014 Comprehensive seismic hazard assessment of Tripura and Mizoram states; J. Earth Syst. Sci. 123 837–857.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spudich P, Joyner W B, Lindh A G, Boore D M, Margaris B M and Fletcher J B 1999 SEA99: A revised ground motion prediction relation for use in extensional tectonic regimes; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 89(5) 1156–1170.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stafford P J 2015 Variability and uncertainty in empirical ground-motion prediction for probabilistic hazard and risk analyses; In: Perspectives on European earthquake engineering and seismology, Geotechnical, geological and earthquake engineering, Springer, Cham, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16964-4_4.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Tesfamariam S and Goda K (eds) 2013 Handbook of seismic risk analysis and management of civil infrastructure systems; Woodhead Publishing.

  • Youngs R R and Coppersmith K J 1985 Implications of fault slip rates and earthquake recurrence models to probabilistic seismic hazard estimates; Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 75(4) 939–964.

    Google Scholar 

  • Youngs R R, Chiou S J, Silva W J and Humphrey J R 1997 Strong ground motion attenuation relationships for subduction zone earthquakes; Seismol. Res. Lett. 68 58–73.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank the Director, CSIR-North East Institute of Science and Technology (CSIR-NEIST), Jorhat, for his permission to publish the work. We sincerely acknowledge North Eastern Council (NEC), Shillong (No. NEC/ST/AS/689/2012, July 2018) and Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), New Delhi for necessary sponsorship of the project. We acknowledge all those personnel who helped us during field investigations with necessary logistics in inaccessible terrain.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Saurabh Baruah has conceptualised and executed the work besides writing. He is responsible for ensuring that all the descriptions are accurate and agreed upon by all authors. Himanta Borgohain has carried out field investigations and data analysis pertaining to MASW and PSHA. Sangeeta Sharma carried out the strong motion analysis and redrawing figures.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Saurabh Baruah.

Additional information

Communicated by Sagarika Mukhopadhyay

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Borgohain, H., Baruah, S. & Sharma, S. Site characterisation and probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Tura City, Meghalaya. J Earth Syst Sci 133, 84 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02291-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-024-02291-6

Keywords

Navigation