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Variations of central pressure of intense tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal with latent heat flux and other parameters

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Abstract

This study aims to find out the variations of central pressure (intensity) of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) with sea surface temperature (SST), mid-tropospheric relative humidity (MRH), mid-tropospheric instability (MI), vertical wind shear (VWS), 200 hPa divergence, and surface latent heat flux (SLHF) during the lifetime of intense TCs, and determine the most crucial parameter which shows the highest correlation with central pressure (intensity). Out of all these parameters, SLHF is highly correlated (R2 = 0.74) with the central pressure of intense TCs. Increase and decrease of SLHF correspond to decrease and increase of TCs central pressure (increase and decrease in TCs intensity). The highest SLHF corresponds to the lowest central pressure (highest intensity).

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All the data used in this study have been collected from https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5 and it is readily available there.

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Acknowledgements

We gratefully acknowledge India Meteorological Department for encouraging us to carry out this study. We thank anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments to improve the manuscript. We also acknowledge Somnath Naskar for helping me from time to time. The contents and views expressed in this paper are the author’s views and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organization they belong to.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Meteorological office Port Blair, India Meteorological Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Port Blair, 744 106, India

    Pravat Rabi Naskar

  2. Office of the Director-General of Meteorology, India Meteorological Department, Ministry of Earth Sciences, New Delhi, 110 003, India

    Dushmanta Ranjan Pattanaik

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  1. Pravat Rabi Naskar
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Pravat Rabi Naskar: Concept, analysis and writing. Dushmanta Ranjan Pattanaik: Writing and suggestions.

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Correspondence to Pravat Rabi Naskar.

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Communicated by T Narayana Rao

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Naskar, P.R., Pattanaik, D.R. Variations of central pressure of intense tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal with latent heat flux and other parameters. J Earth Syst Sci 132, 44 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-023-02065-6

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