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Evolution of drought and flood events on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and key issues for response

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Abstract

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is a climate-sensitive region. The characteristics of drought and flood events in this region are significantly different as compared to other areas in the country, which could potentially induce a series of water security, ecological and environmental problems. It is urgent that innovative theories and methods for estimation of drought and flood disasters as well as their adaptive regulations are required. Based on extensive literature review, this paper identifies new situations of the evolution of drought and flood events on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and analyzes the research progress in terms of monitoring and simulation, forecasting and early warning, risk prevention and emergency response. The study found that there were problems such as insufficient integration of multi-source data, low accuracy of forecasting and early warning, unclear driving mechanisms of drought and flood disaster chains, and lack of targeted risk prevention and regulation measures. On this basis, future research priorities are proposed, and the possible research and development paths are elaborated, including the evolution law of drought and flood on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the coincidence characteristics of drought and flood from the perspective of a water resources system, prediction and early warning of drought and flood coupled with numerical simulation and knowledge mining, identification of risk blocking points of drought and flood disaster chain and the adaptive regulations. Hopefully, the paper will provide technical support for preventing flood and drought disasters, water resources protection, ecological restoration and climate change adaptation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2022YFC3201705).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, 100038, China

    Jie Lu, Shu Xu, Tianling Qin, Xin He, Denghua Yan, Cheng Zhang & Sintayehu A. Abebe

  2. Yinshanbeilu National Field Research Station of Steppe Eco-hydrological System, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Hohhot, 010020, China

    Tianling Qin & Denghua Yan

  3. Hydraulic and Water Resources Engineering Department, Debre Markos University Institute of Technology, Debre Markos, 999047, Ethiopia

    Sintayehu A. Abebe

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  1. Jie Lu
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  2. Shu Xu
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Lu, J., Xu, S., Qin, T. et al. Evolution of drought and flood events on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and key issues for response. Sci. China Earth Sci. 66, 2514–2529 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-022-1168-0

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